Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com
We have updated our Privacy Policy and our Cookie Policy effective May 25, 2018. Please review them.
X

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

7 Pages V  < 1 2 3 4 > »   
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> Potent Clipper To Affect Southern & Eastern ON, Monday/Tuesday December 11th/12th
SNOWBOB11
post Dec 8 2017, 01:29 PM
Post #21




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 915
Joined: 16-January 13
Member No.: 28,061





Looks like the euro caved to the GFS. Nice run for S ON by the look of the placement of the low.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
markj138
post Dec 8 2017, 01:54 PM
Post #22




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,106
Joined: 19-December 09
From: Agincourt,Scarborough
Member No.: 20,461





QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Dec 8 2017, 01:29 PM) *
Looks like the euro caved to the GFS. Nice run for S ON by the look of the placement of the low.


Are we aloud to post Euro maps here now that they are free ?
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
GreatWhiteTornad...
post Dec 8 2017, 02:18 PM
Post #23




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 955
Joined: 12-February 13
From: Vaughan, Ontario
Member No.: 28,279





Do you have a link to the euro.. Thanks a bunch
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Khaled
post Dec 8 2017, 02:26 PM
Post #24




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 73
Joined: 6-December 10
From: Mississauga
Member No.: 24,529





QUOTE(GreatWhiteTornado @ Dec 8 2017, 02:18 PM) *
Do you have a link to the euro.. Thanks a bunch


Here you go...
Attached File(s)
Attached File  ecmwf_acc_snow_ne_120.png ( 181.58K ) Number of downloads: 20
 
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
snowgeek93
post Dec 8 2017, 02:27 PM
Post #25




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,968
Joined: 7-September 09
From: Thornhill, Ontario
Member No.: 19,154





GFS would be a solid snowfall around here. People forget how much 5-10cm can really do to build up a bit of a snow base and make it look wintry. Any snow at all would be welcome with this cold.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
SNOWBOB11
post Dec 8 2017, 02:38 PM
Post #26




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 915
Joined: 16-January 13
Member No.: 28,061





QUOTE(markj138 @ Dec 8 2017, 01:54 PM) *
Are we aloud to post Euro maps here now that they are free ?


I believe so. I think it says on Ryan Maues site that you can share images so I guess you can.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
markj138
post Dec 8 2017, 02:40 PM
Post #27




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,106
Joined: 19-December 09
From: Agincourt,Scarborough
Member No.: 20,461





QUOTE(Khaled @ Dec 8 2017, 02:26 PM) *
Here you go...


So we can post the Euro maps !
It looks much better than it did yesterday for this storm.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
GreatWhiteTornad...
post Dec 8 2017, 03:01 PM
Post #28




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 955
Joined: 12-February 13
From: Vaughan, Ontario
Member No.: 28,279





QUOTE(Khaled @ Dec 8 2017, 02:26 PM) *
Here you go...

Thanks not too shabby
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
akula
post Dec 8 2017, 03:36 PM
Post #29




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 279
Joined: 15-December 08
Member No.: 16,489





oh boy this looks good
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
SNOWBOB11
post Dec 8 2017, 04:18 PM
Post #30




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 915
Joined: 16-January 13
Member No.: 28,061





18z NAM getting in on the action as well now. At the end of its run but itís interesting to start seeing more models getting on board. I think itís now less a matter of exact track and more a matter of strength.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MrMusic
post Dec 8 2017, 05:04 PM
Post #31




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 4,592
Joined: 6-February 13
Member No.: 28,218





For folks down my way at the west end of Lake Ontario, the GFS shows the potential with a track south of here across Lake Erie. E wind could provide Lake enhancement.
Nice to slowly see models getting closer. But still a long ways to go.
Should have a good idea by Sunday.


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
markj138
post Dec 8 2017, 05:06 PM
Post #32




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,106
Joined: 19-December 09
From: Agincourt,Scarborough
Member No.: 20,461





18Z GFS totals look decent,this includes some LES from Dec 9-11

Attached File  gfs_asnow_neus_19.png ( 174.97K ) Number of downloads: 21


This post has been edited by markj138: Dec 8 2017, 05:18 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MrMusic
post Dec 8 2017, 07:59 PM
Post #33




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 4,592
Joined: 6-February 13
Member No.: 28,218





Again, still too early for excitement but all 3 ensemble groups (GEFS, CMCE, EPS) have the low tracking across Lake Erie, or just south of Lake Erie.
The GFS OP and NAM also have this identical track.
As does the CFS.
The only OP run in it's own world is the CMC with the low up near Bruce Peninsula. But as mentioned above, it's ensembles are in line with everyone else.

Would be nice for 2 upcoming days with zero track changes, but all know what the odds of that are. Lol


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
puttin
post Dec 8 2017, 08:46 PM
Post #34




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,833
Joined: 22-January 08
From: Newmarket
Member No.: 12,834





QUOTE(MrMusic @ Dec 8 2017, 07:59 PM) *
Again, still too early for excitement but all 3 ensemble groups (GEFS, CMCE, EPS) have the low tracking across Lake Erie, or just south of Lake Erie.
The GFS OP and NAM also have this identical track.
As does the CFS.
The only OP run in it's own world is the CMC with the low up near Bruce Peninsula. But as mentioned above, it's ensembles are in line with everyone else.

Would be nice for 2 upcoming days with zero track changes, but all know what the odds of that are. Lol

What happened to the clipper tomorrow? EC just has scattered flurries and no accumulation as opposed to 2-4 yesterday...what up? I know clippers are flighty but....
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Jeremy404
post Dec 8 2017, 09:37 PM
Post #35




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 489
Joined: 6-February 13
From: Richmond Hill & Guelph
Member No.: 28,227





QUOTE(puttin @ Dec 8 2017, 08:46 PM) *
What happened to the clipper tomorrow? EC just has scattered flurries and no accumulation as opposed to 2-4 yesterday...what up? I know clippers are flighty but....


That thing dissipated more and more each run the last 72 hours dry.gif
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
puttin
post Dec 8 2017, 09:51 PM
Post #36




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,833
Joined: 22-January 08
From: Newmarket
Member No.: 12,834





QUOTE(Jeremy404 @ Dec 8 2017, 09:37 PM) *
That thing dissipated more and more each run the last 72 hours dry.gif

Light flurries in Newmarket, still nice to see, but I need the Charlie Brown kind
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MrMusic
post Dec 9 2017, 09:53 AM
Post #37




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 4,592
Joined: 6-February 13
Member No.: 28,218





much further northern track being depicted this morning by many models.
Rain or mixing now on the table for Hamilton-Niagara-Lake Erie regions.
I'm hoping for a southern track or a total miss instead of a slop-fest. With the cold blast coming behind this, regions that see a sloppy mix will become a slippery ice box on Tuesday with the cold.
We'll start to iron out the details by late Sunday I imagine.


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
SNOWBOB11
post Dec 9 2017, 09:55 AM
Post #38




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 915
Joined: 16-January 13
Member No.: 28,061





Things continue to look on track for the most part on the models. Some models are showing a slight dry slot around the west end of lake ontario mid way through the system as the energy moves to the coast. Weíll have to see if this look continues or not as it could impact totals in that area. Other than that track looks similar to yesterday.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
SNOWBOB11
post Dec 9 2017, 10:00 AM
Post #39




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 915
Joined: 16-January 13
Member No.: 28,061





QUOTE(MrMusic @ Dec 9 2017, 09:53 AM) *
much further northern track being depicted this morning by many models.
Rain or mixing now on the table for Hamilton-Niagara-Lake Erie regions.
I'm hoping for a southern track or a total miss instead of a slop-fest. With the cold blast coming behind this, regions that see a sloppy mix will become a slippery ice box on Tuesday with the cold.
We'll start to iron out the details by late Sunday I imagine.


The track of the initial clipper is maybe a bit more north but rain doesnít look to be a issue for your area on most models. Even if the track is more north there looks to be sufficient cold on the south side of the clipper to keep thing all frozen IMO.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MrMusic
post Dec 9 2017, 10:15 AM
Post #40




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 4,592
Joined: 6-February 13
Member No.: 28,218





QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Dec 9 2017, 10:00 AM) *
The track of the initial clipper is maybe a bit more north but rain doesnít look to be a issue for your area on most models. Even if the track is more north there looks to be sufficient cold on the south side of the clipper to keep thing all frozen IMO.


A few models have temps up to 2 degrees here during the middle of the precip for several hours.
Still early tho....we'll know more by tomorrow eve


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

7 Pages V  < 1 2 3 4 > » 
Reply to this topicStart new topic
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 24th June 2018 - 07:43 PM