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> Dec 29-30 Weak Disturbances
markj138
post Dec 28 2017, 05:28 PM
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Maybe 3-5 cm around the GTA over the next couple of days from a couple of weak disturbances
ratios should be high so lets see what we can crank out.

Attached File  namconus_ref_frzn_us_22.png ( 162.49K ) Number of downloads: 2


Attached File  namconus_ref_frzn_us_37.png ( 158.97K ) Number of downloads: 1
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markj138
post Dec 28 2017, 05:29 PM
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if someone can post the 15:1 to 20:1 ratio snowfall maps that would be great.
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SNOWBOB11
post Dec 28 2017, 05:50 PM
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QUOTE(markj138 @ Dec 28 2017, 05:29 PM) *
if someone can post the 15:1 to 20:1 ratio snowfall maps that would be great.

On my phone and canít post images from pivotal but hereís a couple images from good old instant weather maps. Top image is the NAM other is the GFS.

Attached File(s)
Attached File  8BF8C44F_F7D5_4FAD_9A9E_06D091424880.gif ( 41.46K ) Number of downloads: 14
Attached File  58840421_F794_4A47_B0A0_6FAFA3E8B264.gif ( 41.67K ) Number of downloads: 8
 
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markj138
post Dec 28 2017, 06:15 PM
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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Dec 28 2017, 05:50 PM) *
On my phone and canít post images from pivotal but hereís a couple images from good old instant weather maps. Top image is the NAM other is the GFS.


Thanks SNOWBOB i forgot about instant weather maps !
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snowgeek93
post Dec 28 2017, 06:21 PM
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Anthony Farnell saying around 5cm for the GTA.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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markj138
post Dec 28 2017, 06:47 PM
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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Dec 28 2017, 06:21 PM) *
Anthony Farnell saying around 5cm for the GTA.


Yep just saw this on his twitter

https://twitter.com/AnthonyFarnell/status/946455793674711040
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snowball
post Dec 28 2017, 07:18 PM
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QUOTE(markj138 @ Dec 28 2017, 06:47 PM) *


I find it very interesting the lake effect hitting the GTA this year I can't recall a seasons past of this trend
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GreatWhiteTornad...
post Dec 28 2017, 07:26 PM
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Seems cold when easterlies have really helped.
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knorthern_knight
post Dec 29 2017, 12:26 AM
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00Z GFS text output shows approximately 3 to 6 cm in southern Ontario and Montreal. Ottawa gets almost nothing and Quebec City gets zip/zilch/nada.

CODE
The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYKF Lat:   43.46 Long:   80.38
CYKF Region of Waterloo International Airport
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    3 12/29 03Z    2      1    0.01 -SN      2      2    0.2  0.01    0.2
    6 12/29 06Z    1      0    0.01 -SN      2      1    0.3  0.02    0.5
    9 12/29 09Z    2      1    0.01 -SN      2      1    0.3  0.03    0.8
   12 12/29 12Z    3      2    0.01 -SN      3      1    0.3  0.04    1.1
   15 12/29 15Z    8      7    0.01 -SN      8      3    0.3  0.05    1.4
   18 12/29 18Z   12     10    0.02 -SN     12      3    0.3  0.07    1.7
   21 12/29 21Z   12     11    0.01 -SN     13     12    0.1  0.08    1.8
   24 12/30 00Z    5      4    0.01 -SN     13      5    0.3  0.09    2.1
   27 12/30 03Z    1      0    0.00          5      1    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYXU Lat:   43.03 Long:   81.15
CYXU London International Airport - London, Ontario
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    6 12/29 06Z    4      2    0.01 -SN      5      3    0.3  0.01    0.3
    9 12/29 09Z    5      4    0.02 -SN      5      4    0.6  0.03    0.9
   12 12/29 12Z    7      6    0.02 -SN      7      4    0.6  0.05    1.5
   15 12/29 15Z    8      7    0.01 -SN      8      6    0.2  0.06    1.7
   18 12/29 18Z   11      8    0.00 -SN     11      6    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYHM Lat:   43.16 Long:   79.93
CYHM John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    6 12/29 06Z    6      5    0.01 -SN      6      4    0.3  0.01    0.3
    9 12/29 09Z    7      6    0.01 -SN      7      6    0.3  0.02    0.6
   12 12/29 12Z    9      8    0.02 -SN      9      6    0.3  0.04    0.9
   15 12/29 15Z   12     11    0.03 -SN     12      9    0.8  0.07    1.7
   18 12/29 18Z   16     13    0.04 -SN     16      9    0.6  0.11    2.3
   21 12/29 21Z   14     12    0.01 -SN     16     14    0.1  0.12    2.4
   24 12/30 00Z    7      6    0.01 -SN     16      7    0.1  0.13    2.5
   27 12/30 03Z    4      2    0.00          7      4    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYYZ Lat:   43.66 Long:   79.63
CYYZ Toronto Pearson International Airport - Toronto, Ontario
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    9 12/29 09Z    5      3    0.01 -SN      5      4    0.2  0.01    0.2
   12 12/29 12Z    6      4    0.00 -SN      6      4    0.0
   15 12/29 15Z    9      7    0.01 -SN      9      6    0.2  0.01    0.2
   18 12/29 18Z   13     10    0.01 -SN     13      6    0.2  0.02    0.4
   21 12/29 21Z   14     11    0.01 -SN     15     13    0.0  0.03
   24 12/30 00Z   13     10    0.01 -SN     15     11    0.1  0.04    0.1
   27 12/30 03Z   12      9    0.01 -SN     14     11    0.3  0.05    0.4
   30 12/30 06Z    9      7    0.00 -SN     14      9    0.0
   33 12/30 09Z    9      6    0.00          9      8    0.0
   36 12/30 12Z    9      7    0.00         10      8    0.0
   39 12/30 15Z   12      9    0.00         12      9    0.1          0.1
   42 12/30 18Z   16     12    0.01 -SN     16      9    0.2  0.01    0.3
   45 12/30 21Z   17     13    0.02 -SN     18     16    0.3  0.03    0.6
   48 12/31 00Z   12      8    0.01 -SN     18     12    0.2  0.04    0.8
   51 12/31 03Z    4      2    0.00         12      4    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYOW Lat:   45.31 Long:   75.66
CYOW Ottawa Macdonald-Cartier International Airport
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    9 12/29 09Z   -8     -9    0.00 -SN     -8    -10    0.0
   12 12/29 12Z   -8     -9    0.00 -SN     -8    -10    0.1          0.1
   15 12/29 15Z   -3     -5    0.00 -SN     -3     -8    0.0
   18 12/29 18Z    0     -2    0.00 -SN      0     -8    0.0
   21 12/29 21Z    0     -1    0.00 -SN      2      0    0.0
   24 12/30 00Z   -4     -6    0.00          2     -4    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYUL Lat:   45.46 Long:   73.75
CYUL MontrÔŅĹal-Pierre Elliott Trudeau International Airport - Montreal, Quebec
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
   15 12/29 15Z   -4     -5    0.01 -SN     -4    -11    0.5  0.01    0.5
   18 12/29 18Z    0     -2    0.02 -SN      0    -11    0.6  0.03    1.1
   21 12/29 21Z    0     -1    0.01 -SN      0      0    0.5  0.04    1.6
   24 12/30 00Z   -1     -3    0.01 -SN      0     -1    0.2  0.05    1.8
   27 12/30 03Z   -5     -6    0.00 -SN     -1     -5    0.0
   30 12/30 06Z   -9    -10    0.00         -1     -9    0.0
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Stl
post Dec 29 2017, 12:48 AM
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QUOTE(knorthern_knight @ Dec 29 2017, 12:26 AM) *
00Z GFS text output shows approximately 3 to 6 cm in southern Ontario and Montreal. Ottawa gets almost nothing and Quebec City gets zip/zilch/nada.

CODE
The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYKF Lat:   43.46 Long:   80.38
CYKF Region of Waterloo International Airport
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    3 12/29 03Z    2      1    0.01 -SN      2      2    0.2  0.01    0.2
    6 12/29 06Z    1      0    0.01 -SN      2      1    0.3  0.02    0.5
    9 12/29 09Z    2      1    0.01 -SN      2      1    0.3  0.03    0.8
   12 12/29 12Z    3      2    0.01 -SN      3      1    0.3  0.04    1.1
   15 12/29 15Z    8      7    0.01 -SN      8      3    0.3  0.05    1.4
   18 12/29 18Z   12     10    0.02 -SN     12      3    0.3  0.07    1.7
   21 12/29 21Z   12     11    0.01 -SN     13     12    0.1  0.08    1.8
   24 12/30 00Z    5      4    0.01 -SN     13      5    0.3  0.09    2.1
   27 12/30 03Z    1      0    0.00          5      1    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYXU Lat:   43.03 Long:   81.15
CYXU London International Airport - London, Ontario
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    6 12/29 06Z    4      2    0.01 -SN      5      3    0.3  0.01    0.3
    9 12/29 09Z    5      4    0.02 -SN      5      4    0.6  0.03    0.9
   12 12/29 12Z    7      6    0.02 -SN      7      4    0.6  0.05    1.5
   15 12/29 15Z    8      7    0.01 -SN      8      6    0.2  0.06    1.7
   18 12/29 18Z   11      8    0.00 -SN     11      6    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYHM Lat:   43.16 Long:   79.93
CYHM John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    6 12/29 06Z    6      5    0.01 -SN      6      4    0.3  0.01    0.3
    9 12/29 09Z    7      6    0.01 -SN      7      6    0.3  0.02    0.6
   12 12/29 12Z    9      8    0.02 -SN      9      6    0.3  0.04    0.9
   15 12/29 15Z   12     11    0.03 -SN     12      9    0.8  0.07    1.7
   18 12/29 18Z   16     13    0.04 -SN     16      9    0.6  0.11    2.3
   21 12/29 21Z   14     12    0.01 -SN     16     14    0.1  0.12    2.4
   24 12/30 00Z    7      6    0.01 -SN     16      7    0.1  0.13    2.5
   27 12/30 03Z    4      2    0.00          7      4    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYYZ Lat:   43.66 Long:   79.63
CYYZ Toronto Pearson International Airport - Toronto, Ontario
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    9 12/29 09Z    5      3    0.01 -SN      5      4    0.2  0.01    0.2
   12 12/29 12Z    6      4    0.00 -SN      6      4    0.0
   15 12/29 15Z    9      7    0.01 -SN      9      6    0.2  0.01    0.2
   18 12/29 18Z   13     10    0.01 -SN     13      6    0.2  0.02    0.4
   21 12/29 21Z   14     11    0.01 -SN     15     13    0.0  0.03
   24 12/30 00Z   13     10    0.01 -SN     15     11    0.1  0.04    0.1
   27 12/30 03Z   12      9    0.01 -SN     14     11    0.3  0.05    0.4
   30 12/30 06Z    9      7    0.00 -SN     14      9    0.0
   33 12/30 09Z    9      6    0.00          9      8    0.0
   36 12/30 12Z    9      7    0.00         10      8    0.0
   39 12/30 15Z   12      9    0.00         12      9    0.1          0.1
   42 12/30 18Z   16     12    0.01 -SN     16      9    0.2  0.01    0.3
   45 12/30 21Z   17     13    0.02 -SN     18     16    0.3  0.03    0.6
   48 12/31 00Z   12      8    0.01 -SN     18     12    0.2  0.04    0.8
   51 12/31 03Z    4      2    0.00         12      4    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYOW Lat:   45.31 Long:   75.66
CYOW Ottawa Macdonald-Cartier International Airport
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
    9 12/29 09Z   -8     -9    0.00 -SN     -8    -10    0.0
   12 12/29 12Z   -8     -9    0.00 -SN     -8    -10    0.1          0.1
   15 12/29 15Z   -3     -5    0.00 -SN     -3     -8    0.0
   18 12/29 18Z    0     -2    0.00 -SN      0     -8    0.0
   21 12/29 21Z    0     -1    0.00 -SN      2      0    0.0
   24 12/30 00Z   -4     -6    0.00          2     -4    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYUL Lat:   45.46 Long:   73.75
CYUL MontrÔŅĹal-Pierre Elliott Trudeau International Airport - Montreal, Quebec
GFS Model Run:  0Z 29DEC 2017
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
   15 12/29 15Z   -4     -5    0.01 -SN     -4    -11    0.5  0.01    0.5
   18 12/29 18Z    0     -2    0.02 -SN      0    -11    0.6  0.03    1.1
   21 12/29 21Z    0     -1    0.01 -SN      0      0    0.5  0.04    1.6
   24 12/30 00Z   -1     -3    0.01 -SN      0     -1    0.2  0.05    1.8
   27 12/30 03Z   -5     -6    0.00 -SN     -1     -5    0.0
   30 12/30 06Z   -9    -10    0.00         -1     -9    0.0


The ratio should make this almost the double or triple if im not mistaken.
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SNOWBOB11
post Dec 29 2017, 03:30 PM
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Member No.: 28,061





Snowing lightly in Whitby as the lake band looks like it has a chance of expanding east.
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snowgeek93
post Dec 29 2017, 03:52 PM
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Posts: 3,968
Joined: 7-September 09
From: Thornhill, Ontario
Member No.: 19,154





Quite a moderate burst of snowfall over my area right now happy.gif


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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knorthern_knight
post Dec 29 2017, 04:26 PM
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From: Greater Toronto
Member No.: 24,490





Coming down moderate near Dufferin + Steeles.

Attached File  photo1.jpg ( 289.58K ) Number of downloads: 0

Attached File  photo2.jpg ( 303.84K ) Number of downloads: 0
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snowgeek93
post Dec 29 2017, 04:27 PM
Post #14




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Whiteout conditions here with very heavy snowfall biggrin.gif


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Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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Apocalypse
post Dec 29 2017, 04:27 PM
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Snow has gotten quite heavy over the last hour. Snowing very big fluffy flakes. Looks like I got somewhere between 5-10 cm already and still going.

Was not expecting this much snow, all the roads are white.
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GreatWhiteTornad...
post Dec 29 2017, 04:32 PM
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Snow visibility 200 meters at Vaughan mills area
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snowgeek93
post Dec 29 2017, 04:46 PM
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AWESOME weather here! laugh.gif tongue.gif

Attached File  IMG_20171229_164122158.jpg ( 1.76MB ) Number of downloads: 2


Attached File  IMG_20171229_164127173.jpg ( 1.62MB ) Number of downloads: 0


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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SNOWBOB11
post Dec 29 2017, 04:49 PM
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Snow now coming down moderate to heavy imby. Radar looks good too.
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SNOWBOB11
post Dec 29 2017, 04:53 PM
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QUOTE(Apocalypse @ Dec 29 2017, 04:27 PM) *
Snow has gotten quite heavy over the last hour. Snowing very big fluffy flakes. Looks like I got somewhere between 5-10 cm already and still going.

Was not expecting this much snow, all the roads are white.

NAM did show a small area getting over 10cm yesterday, but I didnít think the squall would be quite strong enough to deliver that much. Guess it was.
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markj138
post Dec 29 2017, 05:22 PM
Post #20




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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Dec 29 2017, 04:53 PM) *
NAM did show a small area getting over 10cm yesterday, but I didnít think the squall would be quite strong enough to deliver that much. Guess it was.


Parts of the GTA where getting 2inch an hour snowfall rates for a while there!
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