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2H9er
Posted on: Sep 3 2017, 08:58 PM


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From: Western Pennsylvania
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Thanks to the people who responded directly to me, that said I got to dump out of these forums, my email is totally overwhelmed by posts that are not actually directed to my post. AccuWeather? need to change some of your parameters in forum response notifications, what you have is MASSIVELY overwhelming.

As for Irma, I got a real bad feeling about this storm. I think she is going to do a Katrina. Watching another 12 hours of realtime tracking shows no indication of a sharp, northward curve. From Martinique north, including Puerto Rico, Dominican Repub and Cuba, people need to be taking this storm very seriously.
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2239062 · Replies: · Views: 1,384,190

2H9er
Posted on: Sep 3 2017, 09:11 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Posts: 34
Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


QUOTE(Ron in Miami @ Sep 3 2017, 09:25 AM) *
Coriolis effect for one, storms in the norther hemisphere want to bend poleward (to the north). 2, it's being steered by the Atlantic ridge (all AEW's are steered by this). It's going to follow the western edge of the high pressure before cutting back north.

There's many more dynamics to it but it's early and I haven't even had my coffee yet X_x That's pretty much the jist of it.

I very much want to be wrong and very much fear Irma will hold its run along 20th parallel and either go west into Caribbean or slightly north to Fla Straits and into Gulf. She is compact and moving fairly fast at present. I am beginning prep to go south, incase she pulls a Katrina. Got family along MS Gulf Coast.
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2238646 · Replies: · Views: 1,384,190

2H9er
Posted on: Sep 3 2017, 08:14 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Posts: 34
Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


I don't know. Been watching this storm since it was named, checking ever 3-6 hours for 3 days now and unless there is some magical wall which will suddenly force it northward I think it will continue on course below the 20th parallel, striking Puerto Rico and Dominican Republic and moving into Caribbean Sea south of Cuba.

Using these sources and AW's Hurricane Center.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mtpw...&anim=html5

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_a..._track#contents

https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/hurricane-model-plots

The first showing movement from 8/31 to 9/3, the others showing the curve to north. I just don't see a high pressure system to the south that is going to push it into a course to US east coast. What am I missing?
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2238635 · Replies: · Views: 1,384,190

2H9er
Posted on: Sep 1 2013, 02:19 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Group: Member
Posts: 34
Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Hey, Joe&DaGang?!?!? Any chance of getting satellite and radar feeds of South America? Been trying to explain to people why the Peru/Bolivia/Paraguay is atypical for winter patterns in SA, even given the altitudes of many of the regions effected. Could you guys point me to places I can find these images. Stills would work better than nothing. http://forums.accuweather.com/style_images...cons/icon10.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - International · Post Preview: #1758184 · Replies: · Views: 3,104

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 18 2010, 07:02 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Went to bed last night after making sure the wood burner was loaded and the extra heater in the basement was on, and woke up at 05:30 with 80 degrees! The TV Blahblahs are entirely undependable. blink.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #860046 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 18 2010, 06:40 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
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I got a question. What happened to our over night low temp? I got up this morning and it is 30 degrees, when all the TVBlahblah idiots said it would be in the low teen/single digits. What is the story on that?!?!
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #860040 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 15 2010, 06:42 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


QUOTE(SnowGirl @ Feb 14 2010, 11:41 PM) *
Okay...looks like around .4" QPF is the consensus....at -10C that puts us in the 12" range, does it not?


Kids, looking at the coldwater vapor and jetstream plots I see a WHOLE lot of moisture rolling over western PA in the next 48-60 hours. Snowgirl? I think your original call will be closer than the weather blahblahs on TV.

And we cleared the snow off our front porch roof, 14 inches of wet snow, with 2 inches of ice underneath. I see a whole lot of problems with accumulated snow/ice in the next few days. sad.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #853120 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 9 2010, 01:21 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


We are getting a steady, light snow and 33 here in the Parker/Bruin/Petrolia metro area! By SIR radar we are going to get a small break and then the hammer will fall, oh so slowly at first, then heavier through the night.

THIS is the kind of winter I moved to PA for! laugh.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #832127 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 9 2010, 09:37 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Group: Member
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Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


QUOTE(SnowGirl @ Feb 8 2010, 11:05 PM) *
I can't bare to go backk to the Mid-Atlantic thread until this storm apsses...I can't stand the negativity. I have enjoyed a more active Western PA thread.



SnowGirl? You guys have a good thread here, lots of info and very little bickering and unrelated blahblah!!!! biggrin.gif

I like your blog, too, put it in my operating bookmarks, just above NOAA/NWS.
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #830933 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 6 2010, 02:19 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


QUOTE(Bumblin B-man @ Feb 6 2010, 01:59 PM) *
Had to travel to my parents house last night around 1030 as we lost power last night around 830. I have not down an official measurement but Im guessing around 2'. Power lines and trees all over my neighborhood in Peters. I must say, once I arrived last night and the wife and son were safe I enjoyed every minute of it



One of the good points of always being "prepared", as my friends like to call me, is not having to worry about days like this. Got up this morning and put a turkey in the oven, help heat the house if the power does go, and just shovel off the lower back roof, higher one dumps onto it and it gets a bit heavy. Other than that we are golden. biggrin.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #814910 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 6 2010, 08:42 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Got out into the yard, and we have 16 inches here in Bruin, and still coming down steadily.
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #813287 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 6 2010, 01:37 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Group: Member
Posts: 34
Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Snowgirl? As I posted earlier,you post the best weather prn. Mmmmmmm, fully integrated map graphics. happy.gif

Far as I can tell no power looses in north butler county, but Allegheny Power has been pretty hard corps about clearing rightofways for the last couple of years, so we may not have any in our area.
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #812199 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 6 2010, 01:24 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Here in Bruin we have 27 degrees and the snow is still hammering down. An even 8 inches on the deck, and still putting it down. EEEEEHHAAAAA!!!!!!!! biggrin.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #812129 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 5 2010, 04:04 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Group: Member
Posts: 34
Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


QUOTE(SnowGirl @ Feb 4 2010, 11:25 AM) *
I am glad I stuck with my guns on the 12-16" call!


Snowgirl??? You post the best weather prn! Mmmmmm, thoroughly integrated map graphics.

Here in northern Butler county we started getting a fine, dry powder falling. Here at the bunker we have had 33 as the temp since 09:00 today.
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #808186 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Feb 3 2010, 04:54 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


The topography of the Ohio valley merging into the Allegheny and Monongahela valleys does make for some interesting weather. I'm hoping northern Butler county gets a good load on, main reason I moved north was for snow. biggrin.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #796607 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Jan 14 2010, 07:02 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Snowgirl, I am a bit worried on the freezing rain, out here in the sticks that usually means power outages.

Couple of days ago I linked a map from my Premium service page, the link works for me. Is that because it is on my page? And is there a way to link those maps/satellite/radar from my page into forums? biggrin.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #743838 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Jan 11 2010, 03:49 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


We have a nice, fairly tight spiral drawing snow off the lakes towards us, and good sized area of snow coming across the northern tier. West PA could end up with a bit more than the early projections are calling for.

http://premiuma.accuweather.com/premium/sa...vel=&anim=2

The current long loop Color Water Vapor is showing a lot of moisture coming to us from Canada and across the norther tier, and with lots of open water in the GLs we could get a wackin'.

In case you have not figured it out, I would very much like that! biggrin.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #738662 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Jan 9 2010, 10:34 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Again, that was the point of my question. All computer generated/posted reports are at variance with temps in the area. Once the sun set the fall off was rapid, all the same, in mid afternoon the temps spiked fairly sharply. I'm wondering why. We did not get the sharp drop in temps overnight, just wondering what is the deal. Is it possible that a warmer mass of air moved off unfrozen Lake Erie? Computers not know how to read thermometers? Some dumby put Michael Mann in charge for a day?

Oh, and yes, I know about sublimation. Have a BS from OU Norman courtesy of US Army Field Artillery School, Ft Sill OK, 1982.
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #735197 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Jan 9 2010, 03:27 PM


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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


QUOTE(WesternPaFornBlizzard2009 @ Jan 9 2010, 03:16 PM) *
I don't know where you got 36F, but I went to Weather.com and it listed for Pittsburgh a current temp of 23F. The reason some of that ice/snow is melting is the sun is out and some of it is probably sublimating.(solid ice turns to gas state). It appears from my observation that this dry, powdery snow evaporates away much faster than the more wetter, heavier kind.



That is my question. All computer generated weather reports are listing 22/23 as the high here, and yet it is in the mid 30s, not just on my 4 thermometers, I called to several friends around the area and they have mid 30s, too. What is the deal? Got icicles right outside my window, in the shade not sun, and they are melting. Snow and ice on porch, driveway and roadsides malting, too. Something is seriously out of wack.
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #734608 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Jan 9 2010, 02:50 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Oh, we are northern Butler county, 1/2 mile from Allegheny River on PA 268.
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #734545 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Jan 9 2010, 02:43 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
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I have a question. How come Accuweather and all of the local tv weather chirpies are listing 22 as today's high and yet I am sitting here with 36 degrees and ice/snow melting? Thought we were supposed to have this massively cold front go through, instead we are warmer than yesterday.

What is the deal?
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #734531 · Replies: · Views: 278,086

2H9er
Posted on: Aug 21 2009, 06:14 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Just watched the last 24 of satellite data, she is still tracking more west than north, not much, but still pulling west. Hope people from Cape Fear north are paying attention, the possibility of a landfall is still there. That cone track is what most people watching TV weather will see, and it is damned deceptive, seeing as Bill has yet to take that sharp turn computer models keep showing.

Atown, do you know where I can download better map blanks, with more lat,long hashmarks? The ones from AccuWeather only have the 10,15,20 with no increments inbetween. I used to get good ones from NOAA, but now everyone has these cartoon quality maps. You seem to be one of the savy posters in these forums, and I am still a paper map kinda dawg. wink.gif
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #558036 · Replies: · Views: 339,475

2H9er
Posted on: Aug 20 2009, 06:55 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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Joined: 17-August 09
From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


Pulling northward, still more west than the models have been showing, and she has lost a bit of forward momentum. Guess this is my first drop for the 09 season, which don't hurt my feelings at all!!:)

Bill can still do a more westerly run, or a N to E to S and back to west. Hurricanes, by their very nature, do some strange things. Guess I owe you a Coke, Smithers! How do y'all collect in these forums? Charity donations?
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #556962 · Replies: · Views: 339,475

2H9er
Posted on: Aug 19 2009, 06:38 PM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


OK, gots some northerly going on now, still kinda weak, the west pull is still strong in this one. Hope the overnight trend picks up, she just might pull OTS.
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #556425 · Replies: · Views: 339,475

2H9er
Posted on: Aug 19 2009, 08:22 AM


Rank: Whirlwind
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From: Western Pennsylvania
Member No.: 18,937


I went through the tracking models from the last 3 days, according to them Bill should be much farther north, and moving sharply northward. That has not been the case.

After I have been posting in these forums for awhile longer you will find I have zero(0) confidence in computer modeling, especially when you compare what models predict to what actually happens. And don't get me started on the whole "global warming" hoax". wink.gif
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #555464 · Replies: · Views: 339,475

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