 December 12th-13th MidAtl/NE Storm, Reality: Short Range (0-4 Days Out) Forecasts |
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 Dec 9 2012, 09:56 PM
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#181
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Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 29,267 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491  |
0z NAM a bit east of the 18z NAM with the precip, more adjustments expected as it enters its reliable range over the next 24-36 hours. It's going to be a miss offshore for most.
-------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Dec 10 2012, 01:59 AM
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#182
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,267 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
The CRAS now supports a decent coastal low and a snowstorm... this means it's time to move on to the next potential
To those unaware of the CRAS... better to keep it that way
-------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Dec 10 2012, 07:18 AM
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#183
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
OPC
Attached thumbnail(s)
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Dec 10 2012, 08:26 AM
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#184
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,267 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
NAM is back warmer and east, nothing new here...
-------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Dec 10 2012, 09:52 AM
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#185
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 721 Joined: 17-January 08 Member No.: 12,622 |
QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Dec 10 2012, 08:26 AM)  NAM is back warmer and east, nothing new here...
It looked to me like it came back west this last run. Precip is just touching cape may new jersey. Last run it was off the coast at least 50-75 miles. Not that it helps, but something to keep an eye on. Not thinking anything will come out of this. |
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Dec 12 2012, 01:14 PM
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#186
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 675 Joined: 10-January 11 From: 06001 Member No.: 25,057 |
noticing some clouds over southern new england from this gulf plume and flow
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Dec 12 2012, 09:03 PM
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#187
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 11,274 Joined: 23-March 08 From: Millersville, PA Member No.: 14,460 |
Not crazy about this idea but it could possibly happen.
The storm currently is disorganized but the precipitation shield is looking rather nice. Currently at the 500mb level the trough is neutral tilt over alabama. We have a trough on the west coast that is digging causing a slight ridging to occur in the central plains. This ridging is allowing the trough to dig in the SE. This may cause the storm to come closer to the coast and may allow parts of DE and SNJ to get in on some of the action. Not any accumulation but those areas may see some snow showers later tonight into tomorrow. This is a nice looking storm that is going to form. -------------------- Tylor
Aspiring Meteorologist, Now living at millersville university Computer models and other important sites: http://southeastpaweather.blogspot.com/ Average: 23" 2008-2009 34" 148% of normal 2009-2010 74" 322% of normal 2010-2011 42" 183% of normal Coldest Temp: 10 Average: 40.1" Rainfall...32.10" (may be off by 1-2") well above average this year... Havent updated since Late july! |
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Dec 12 2012, 09:51 PM
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#188
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 20,616 Joined: 27-February 08 From: Brooklyn,NY Member No.: 14,017 |
0z Nam came in much further south than the GFS. Looks like the Euro.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcont...amp;imageSize=M -------------------- Anthony
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Dec 12 2012, 10:01 PM
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#189
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Dec 12 2012, 09:51 PM) 0z Nam came in much further south than the GFS. Looks like the Euro. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcont...amp;imageSize=M You linked the 16th system. -------------------- |
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Dec 12 2012, 10:02 PM
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#190
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 20,616 Joined: 27-February 08 From: Brooklyn,NY Member No.: 14,017 |
QUOTE(jdrenken @ Dec 12 2012, 10:01 PM) You linked the 16th system. oops wrong thread 
-------------------- Anthony
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