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> Hurricane Sandy, 11PM EDT: CAT1 75MPH 950MB - NE@ 14mph
TVGuy22
post Oct 22 2012, 11:07 AM
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Wow, the hype machine is cranked up already on this one.


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SteveJamaicaPlai...
post Oct 22 2012, 12:46 PM
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QUOTE(TVGuy22 @ Oct 22 2012, 12:07 PM) *
Wow, the hype machine is cranked up already on this one.

What is up with this Forum, no one dicussing anything, it's dead. The American Weather site has over 140 users in it now, sorry but just a bit disappointed.


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scooz
post Oct 22 2012, 01:23 PM
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QUOTE(SteveJamaicaPlain @ Oct 22 2012, 01:46 PM) *
What is up with this Forum, no one dicussing anything, it's dead. The American Weather site has over 140 users in it now, sorry but just a bit disappointed.


yeah i've noticed that too. it sucks :/ the winter 2012 thread is basically dead too. I remember when it was loaded with pages of posts each day back a few years ago.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Oct 22 2012, 01:59 PM
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QUOTE(SteveJamaicaPlain @ Oct 22 2012, 12:46 PM) *
What is up with this Forum, no one dicussing anything, it's dead. The American Weather site has over 140 users in it now, sorry but just a bit disappointed.

there basically all in the current storm thread....the same info would be portrayed minus the topical models, which is unfortunate that they are being over looked
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jdrenken
post Oct 22 2012, 02:32 PM
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QUOTE(SteveJamaicaPlain @ Oct 22 2012, 12:46 PM) *
What is up with this Forum, no one dicussing anything, it's dead. The American Weather site has over 140 users in it now, sorry but just a bit disappointed.


As stated by the other member, the conversation has been in the MidAtl/NE thread here because of it's possible impact with that region and the phasing of both.

It has 180 users looking in it right now by the way. wink.gif


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Juniorrr
post Oct 22 2012, 02:52 PM
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Just looking at the 12z GFS and 12z NAM for this system, NAM is slower( 1 hr difference since you can't compare NAM with GFS on exact time...1 hr is nothing much in this case).

Comparing hour 57 and 60(again 1 hr difference on the NAM side)... since people say long range NAM is not reliable...
12z GFS

12z NAM


This post has been edited by Juniorrr: Oct 22 2012, 02:56 PM
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jdrenken
post Oct 22 2012, 02:58 PM
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QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.


The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
Organicforecasting Blog


If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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Juniorrr
post Oct 22 2012, 03:04 PM
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Saw this on twitter... hurricane(major?) right before Cuba and its the HWRF ofc rolleyes.gif


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Phased Vort
post Oct 22 2012, 03:18 PM
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Given the RECON data, TD18 could areadly be Tropical Storm Sandy.

Would not surprise me if it is so on the next update at 5PM.


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NYCSuburbs
post Oct 22 2012, 03:25 PM
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QUOTE(SteveJamaicaPlain @ Oct 22 2012, 01:46 PM) *
What is up with this Forum, no one dicussing anything, it's dead. The American Weather site has over 140 users in it now, sorry but just a bit disappointed.


QUOTE(scooz @ Oct 22 2012, 02:23 PM) *
yeah i've noticed that too. it sucks :/ the winter 2012 thread is basically dead too. I remember when it was loaded with pages of posts each day back a few years ago.


The discussion is mostly in the regional threads as a few other posters have mentioned, since the biggest impact from this will be when it's not tropical. Once there's a big regional weather event, it's typical for the winter 2012 thread to die down. It'll come back to life soon enough.
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Juniorrr
post Oct 22 2012, 03:51 PM
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NAM has been consistent run to run with a direct Jamaica landfall.
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Phased Vort
post Oct 22 2012, 03:55 PM
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As per RECON OBS 38, TD18 very soon to be tropical storm Sandy, has a pressure of 999mb already.

As per other OBS, winds could be as high as 50 MPH already.


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phillyfan
post Oct 22 2012, 04:00 PM
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and we have tropical storm Sandy now.


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Winter 2017-18:

Winter Weather Advisory: 11/13, 12/9-10, 12/13-14, 12/24-25, 1/3-4, 1/8, 1/13, 1/16-17, 2/4, 2/7, 2/17-18, 4/2
Winter Storm Watch: 2/17-18, 3/6-8, 3/20-21
Winter Storm Warning: 2/17, 3/6-8, 3/20-21
Flood Watch 2/10-11
High Wind Watch: 3/2-3
High Wind Warning: 3/2-3, 4/4

Accumulating Snowfall Dates:
12/9: 6", 12/13: 1", 12/15: 1", 12/30: 2"
1/4: 0.5", 1/16: 1.5", 1/16-17: 2.5", 1/30: 0.5"
2/4: 1.5", 2/7: 1", 2/17: 7"
3/7: 1.5", 3/12-13: 2", 3/21: 12", 3/25: 1.5"
4/2: 4"

Total: 45.5"

Average Snowfall: 32"
2016-2017: 25.5 (-6.5 from avg.)
2015-2016: 41 (+9 from avg.)
2014-2015: 48 (+16 from avg.)
2013-2014: 57.25" (+25.25 from avg.)
2012-2013: 22" (-10" from avg.)
2011-2012: 14" (-18" from avg.)
2010-2011: 24" (-8" from avg.)
2009-2010: 64" (+32" from avg.)
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Phased Vort
post Oct 22 2012, 04:01 PM
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QUOTE
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM SANDY...


NHC


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The Snowman
post Oct 22 2012, 04:10 PM
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I heard that the 0z runs tonight would have Sandy's data in it. Is this true?


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Annual Snowfall

2014-2015: 46"
2013-2014: 69.5"
2012-2013: 37''


Groundhog Day Blizzard 2011: 24"
Super Bowl Sunday Blizzard 2015: 18"
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Phased Vort
post Oct 22 2012, 04:13 PM
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QUOTE(The Snowman @ Oct 22 2012, 04:10 PM) *
I heard that the 0z runs tonight would have Sandy's data in it. Is this true?



I would say it is since as we speak the RECON plane is investigating Sandy.


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The Snowman
post Oct 22 2012, 04:18 PM
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Does anyone have a link to the site that shows how many dropsondes were put into the NAM, GFS, etc.? I'm pretty sure its in the NCEP domain, but not sure where it actually is...


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Annual Snowfall

2014-2015: 46"
2013-2014: 69.5"
2012-2013: 37''


Groundhog Day Blizzard 2011: 24"
Super Bowl Sunday Blizzard 2015: 18"
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NorEaster07
post Oct 22 2012, 04:20 PM
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Satellite loop. Watch the Thunderstorms grow in the center at the end of the loop.

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NorEaster07
post Oct 22 2012, 04:35 PM
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Another look.

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The Snowman
post Oct 22 2012, 04:37 PM
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While the models try to work together to form a consensus, the JMA has its own ideas.
Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
 


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Annual Snowfall

2014-2015: 46"
2013-2014: 69.5"
2012-2013: 37''


Groundhog Day Blizzard 2011: 24"
Super Bowl Sunday Blizzard 2015: 18"
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