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> March 9-23, 2017 MidAtl/NE Arctic Plunge, Forecasts & OBS
KSpring1
post Mar 13 2017, 02:47 PM
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QUOTE(bingobobbo @ Mar 10 2017, 11:51 PM) *
My woman friend and I went for a walk this evening, and the wind chill was brutal--close to minus five. Walking against the wind was akin to torture! The minimum temperatures won't be all that impressive, but we are in line for some record low maxes.



Brrrrrrrrr!!!!! Ugh - makes a "relaxing walk" not very relaxing!! That's my theory about when does winter end and spring begin?... My theory is that spring is here when it no longer feels like I'm being assaulted when I go outside! When being outside it actually relaxing - as opposed to having one's whole body clench and tense up against the cold! The air that burns the lungs and dries the nasal passages. That causes the skin to become raw and red and irritated....

compare that to 70 degrees with comfortable humidity levels - skin supple, lips not chapped, breathing easy, body = totally relaxed!!!!! smile.gif


--------------------
*************
82 degrees in Richmond - Feb 12

*************
We are deep into Solar Spring :-)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
February blooming: crocuses (2/4), flowering trees(2/15), maple trees(2/18), daffodils, hyacinths(2/24). forsythia(2/24)
When the heck are those first hickory buds going to sprout??!! ..... (I swore it'd be in Feb ... still waiting!!)
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KSpring1
post Mar 13 2017, 02:55 PM
Post #42




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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Mar 10 2017, 05:52 AM) *
If there was an ocean north of us we wouldn't have continental or Arctic air masses. Yeah, Poor Canada doesn't even get the chance for it to moderate like we get it so just imagine all the Eskimo coats being sold there.

On a reminded note... Is the Hudson Bay even frozen over right now? What if the Great Lakes were? I think our cold would be even more impressive.



I know! I used to dream about what winter would be like here in Va if we had a body of unfrozen water to our west-north.... I mean we are in a subtropical zone... and when we get zonal air flow from the west, southwest we are nicely temperate in the 60s in the middle of winter. Air from the south sends us up to the 70s - even in January!

But, yeah, I have to remember the people who live in Canada! Yeesh. Talk about never-ending winter!

I used to wonder about the Inuit communities who live in the Arctic circle, whose way of life is threatened by climate change right now and how some (entire) towns will be forced to move.... apart from the cost and trouble associated with that. I always wondered: why stay in such a harsh area to begin with? Like who were those first settlers who thought - ahh the rest of the people can head further south, we're going to stay RIGHT here where it's dark all winter and frigid! etc


Glad the lakes are open! it's super cold enough!!!! blink.gif


--------------------
*************
82 degrees in Richmond - Feb 12

*************
We are deep into Solar Spring :-)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
February blooming: crocuses (2/4), flowering trees(2/15), maple trees(2/18), daffodils, hyacinths(2/24). forsythia(2/24)
When the heck are those first hickory buds going to sprout??!! ..... (I swore it'd be in Feb ... still waiting!!)
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KSpring1
post Mar 13 2017, 03:02 PM
Post #43




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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Mar 10 2017, 05:53 AM) *
Remember 15+ anomalies is hard to get. 20-25 is near the extreme records. We don't see 15+ anomalies all the time or for extended periods..

March 12th:

Hartford, CT
Normal Low 27
Record Low 6 (21 below normal)


Bridgeport, CT
Normal Low: 30
Record Low: 11 (19 below normal)

Raleigh, NC
Normal Low: 39
Record Low: 19 (20 below normal)

Richmond, VA
Normal Low: 36
Record Low: 16 (20 below normal)

Boston, MA
Normal Low 30
Record Low: 7 (23 below normal)


"Polar Troughing". Love that term!




Few more things that are so ODD about this...


~ it comes on the heels of such a warm period!!

We had our 2cnd warmest February on record. And now that is followed not by just a run-of-the-mill cold shot, Noooo! A massive swing in the exact opposite direction!

I keep using this blink.gif lately!!


~ another interesting point: exactly this week last year we were about 20-30 degrees ABOVE average and had a super warm March and another really early spring-blooming season!!
I mean it was exactly the SAME week!!! (I took a photo to show the forecast!)

last year: 82
this year: 42


~ we keep going to extremes. 2015 extreme cold Feb. 2016 unusual warm Mrch and early blooming (very early), then we had a cold May that ended up being the 2cnd wettest may on record!!!
Then we had an unusual Sept - we had summer nights until into 1st week October! (Unusual). Then the far south had very warm Nov-Dec. Pacific NW and Ca had extreme winter weather and massive snow.

whew!

Roller coaster -- a whoo whoo whoo -- roller coaster!!!! ...... (musical notes) .....

This post has been edited by KSpring1: Mar 13 2017, 03:22 PM


--------------------
*************
82 degrees in Richmond - Feb 12

*************
We are deep into Solar Spring :-)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
February blooming: crocuses (2/4), flowering trees(2/15), maple trees(2/18), daffodils, hyacinths(2/24). forsythia(2/24)
When the heck are those first hickory buds going to sprout??!! ..... (I swore it'd be in Feb ... still waiting!!)
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KSpring1
post Mar 13 2017, 03:05 PM
Post #44




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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Mar 11 2017, 08:34 AM) *
Crazy. One of the most impressive Arctic airmasses since last year I think.

Low of 13.9 here. Lower than Mid January normal

[attachment=321760:Map69.jpg]

Zoomed out

[attachment=321761:Map71.jpg]



Where has all of this cold been? It feels like such a shock - haven't seen it in so long!


Where was it sitting all this time?





--------------------
*************
82 degrees in Richmond - Feb 12

*************
We are deep into Solar Spring :-)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
February blooming: crocuses (2/4), flowering trees(2/15), maple trees(2/18), daffodils, hyacinths(2/24). forsythia(2/24)
When the heck are those first hickory buds going to sprout??!! ..... (I swore it'd be in Feb ... still waiting!!)
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NorEaster07
post Mar 15 2017, 05:20 PM
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As it stands right now, March 2017 in Hartford is colder than March 2015 with the Avg Temp.

But of course with 17 days left, warmer days are ahead....or are they?

Looks like 3 of last 4 yrs have been in Top 10.

Attached Image



Does it look like we warm up next 10 days? Normal max is 47-51. WTF


We have a good shot at Top 10 for sure.

Attached Image



We haven't been past 30s since last week. WTF. Our max temps are pretty much near where the normal lows should be.

Attached Image

This post has been edited by NorEaster07: Mar 15 2017, 05:21 PM
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NorEaster07
post Mar 15 2017, 09:24 PM
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Attached Image


Attached Image
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bingobobbo
post Mar 15 2017, 10:14 PM
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QUOTE(KSpring1 @ Mar 13 2017, 02:47 PM) *
Brrrrrrrrr!!!!! Ugh - makes a "relaxing walk" not very relaxing!! That's my theory about when does winter end and spring begin?... My theory is that spring is here when it no longer feels like I'm being assaulted when I go outside! When being outside it actually relaxing - as opposed to having one's whole body clench and tense up against the cold! The air that burns the lungs and dries the nasal passages. That causes the skin to become raw and red and irritated....

compare that to 70 degrees with comfortable humidity levels - skin supple, lips not chapped, breathing easy, body = totally relaxed!!!!! smile.gif



We've had our huge storm--so now i am ready for the caress of spring.


--------------------
There is never suppression when a Great Lakes Cutter comes.
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NorEaster07
post Mar 16 2017, 02:12 PM
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I think I see an end date..... but did things trend colder next week? I thought low 40s for 1-2 days at least before the next arctic blast mid week.

Now we gotta wait 8 days for 40s? Heat Wave next weekend? lol


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NorEaster07
post Mar 16 2017, 02:15 PM
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Major crop damage down south yesterday and today.


Attached Image


South Carolina. Goodbye Peaches. Temps dropped to mid 20s on this farm yesterday and this morning again. Struggling to warm up past 30s

80% Peach Crop Loss on this farm in South Carolina from this Mid March Cold Blast. Video with FB link..


https://www.facebook.com/gregsuskinWSOC/vid...44804175554327/



Attached Image


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Fire/Rescue
post Mar 17 2017, 08:19 AM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Mar 16 2017, 03:15 PM) *
Major crop damage down south yesterday and today.


Attached Image


South Carolina. Goodbye Peaches. Temps dropped to mid 20s on this farm yesterday and this morning again. Struggling to warm up past 30s

80% Peach Crop Loss on this farm in South Carolina from this Mid March Cold Blast. Video with FB link..
https://www.facebook.com/gregsuskinWSOC/vid...44804175554327/

Attached Image

Oh wow....so sad sad.gif

I figured we would see a fair amount of this (if not a lot) following this COLD blast.
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Fire/Rescue
post Mar 17 2017, 08:22 AM
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Been down right COLD during the late over nights into the mornings as I've dropped well down into the TEENS the last several mornings and as the result with the day times highs only managing to make it into the 30's all the ponds are frozen over again (which for many in the Northeast and PA) don't sound like that big of a deal, however for down here in my neck of the woods during mid March it sure enough is.
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NorEaster07
post Mar 17 2017, 04:55 PM
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Last 7 days temp departure. February 2015 Part II

Attached Image


Next week another quick blast comes in and then I think we'll be done with the stretch so end date has been put on.(23rd)


Attached Image

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NorEaster07
post Mar 17 2017, 05:52 PM
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Only 3 of the last 15 days have been above normal
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NorEaster07
post Mar 18 2017, 05:25 AM
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4th Coldest March so far at Windsor Locks location. (northern CT)
6th Coldest March at Bridgeport. (coastal CT)


6 more days then back to seasonable warmth.

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NorEaster07
post Mar 18 2017, 02:06 PM
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How cold was the past 7 days? This cold.

Record cold for some.
Top 5 coldest from Maine to Georgia.

blink.gif

Attached Image



Grab your sunglasses. Not for the sun...for this. blink.gif 9-15 below normal in Northeast


Attached Image
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thedarkestclouds
post Mar 19 2017, 07:57 PM
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The 3 inches of snow from Tuesday's storm (which can be more accurately described as 3 inches of slushy sleet that froze into solid ice Tuesday night) really put up a strong fight. About half of the ground has grass showing now, but until today even the areas that get full sunlight were still mostly snow-covered.

QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Mar 15 2017, 06:20 PM) *
As it stands right now, March 2017 in Hartford is colder than March 2015 with the Avg Temp.

But of course with 17 days left, warmer days are ahead....or are they?

Looks like 3 of last 4 yrs have been in Top 10.


Yep, 3 out of the last 4 Marches look to end up much below normal here too. But we're 0 for 7 for below-normal Octobers and 0 for 6 for below normal Decembers, so I don't think those who love warmth are getting screwed over that much. tongue.gif

We're also overdue for a chilly, miserable April, as the coldest one we've had since 2007 has been 2014's -0.6 departure. I'm perfectly fine with the lack of cold Aprils though.

This post has been edited by thedarkestclouds: Mar 19 2017, 08:09 PM
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kpk33x
post Mar 20 2017, 03:27 PM
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QUOTE(thedarkestclouds @ Mar 19 2017, 08:57 PM) *
The 3 inches of snow from Tuesday's storm (which can be more accurately described as 3 inches of slushy sleet that froze into solid ice Tuesday night) really put up a strong fight. About half of the ground has grass showing now, but until today even the areas that get full sunlight were still mostly snow-covered.
Yep, 3 out of the last 4 Marches look to end up much below normal here too. But we're 0 for 7 for below-normal Octobers and 0 for 6 for below normal Decembers, so I don't think those who love warmth are getting screwed over that much. tongue.gif

We're also overdue for a chilly, miserable April, as the coldest one we've had since 2007 has been 2014's -0.6 departure. I'm perfectly fine with the lack of cold Aprils though.


If March were to end today, we would wedge in between 2014 and 2015 with the 2nd coldest March since 1974 here. 2014 was at 21.7F and 2015 at 23.7F while we currently stand at 23.2F. However a few days up in the 40s like today will not allow that to happen. But with 11 days left in the month it is reasonable to think we'll land in the top 10 at 28.3F or colder.

Up here, 1975 at 37.8F is 1.8F colder than April 2007. April 1975 featured a 17" snowfall from the 3rd-5th and a trace of snow remained on the ground all the way until May 8 as pretty much the rest of April was steadily several days below normal with lows getting below freezing all but 3 nights the rest of the month. April 2007 started with nearly zero snow on the ground but a 16" storm on the 4th-6th was followed by 11" on the 13th, but a significant warmup took place the last third of the month. An 83F day on the 24th took care of the remaining snow cover.


--------------------
Autumn 2017 - Mahomet, IL

First day with...
...Low below 40F:
...Frost:
...First sub-freezing low:
...Snow reported:

Foliage: Some color starting to show (Sept. 14)
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NorEaster07
post Mar 20 2017, 04:43 PM
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One quick shot this week.

Wont last long and might be the last one





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Undertakerson
post Mar 20 2017, 04:52 PM
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Weather World just mentioned that the current 10D below normal stretch is the longest for State College - in a year and a half ohmy.gif
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NorEaster07
post Mar 20 2017, 08:11 PM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Mar 20 2017, 05:52 PM) *
Weather World just mentioned that the current 10D below normal stretch is the longest for State College - in a year and a half ohmy.gif


Nice stat. Impressive. Mid March reminding me about Feb 2015 in the impressive sense. Imagine if it was all of March.

Upton...

QUOTE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
723 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017.

Canadian high pressure builds over region Wed/Thu which will result
in below average temperatures. Despite March sunshine, highs should
only reach 30s both days.
Lows Wed night should range from teens
inland to low 20s near coast. Should also be rather brisk which will
send wind chills into single numbers at times, or even below zero
inland.


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