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> May 6-7 MidAtl/NE Storm Observations, Observations and Forecasts
Solstice
post May 4 2018, 08:51 PM
Post #1




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From: New Canaan, CT (550 ft)
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Been a while! I'll keep it concise.

BSR
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SOI and SOID
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EAR
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Edit History:
05/04/2018 - Updated formatting.
05/06/2018 - Changed dates.

This post has been edited by Solstice: May 10 2018, 08:02 PM


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Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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PlanetMaster
post May 4 2018, 09:44 PM
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Hmmm are you sure on those dates? Sure you're not referring to the coastal on 6th-8th? I see no systems in the 10th-12th time frame just a frontal passage with a weak surface reflection off the Maine coast, at this time anyway. My long range has full sunshine and pretty much 0% chance of precip during the 10th-12th time frame but of course that means nothing this year. Guess will watch the globals next 24-48 and see what happens.

Noticed it this morn when I was checking out the disturbance in the Caribbean. Looks to connect with some deep tropical moisture riding right up the coast, very interesting system to watch for a coastal soaking possibly.

6th-8th close to coast

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NAM takes her out


10th-12th Nada at this time





This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: May 4 2018, 09:45 PM


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Solstice
post May 6 2018, 08:58 AM
Post #3




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QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ May 4 2018, 10:44 PM) *
Hmmm are you sure on those dates? Sure you're not referring to the coastal on 6th-8th? I see no systems in the 10th-12th time frame just a frontal passage with a weak surface reflection off the Maine coast, at this time anyway. My long range has full sunshine and pretty much 0% chance of precip during the 10th-12th time frame but of course that means nothing this year. Guess will watch the globals next 24-48 and see what happens.

Noticed it this morn when I was checking out the disturbance in the Caribbean. Looks to connect with some deep tropical moisture riding right up the coast, very interesting system to watch for a coastal soaking possibly.


I'm just waiting a bit to see if no 10th-12th threat materializes, or something that resembles the storm seen on BSR. Currently the CMC is the only one that shows something that fits the criteria, so if that disappears this will updated to fit the 6th-8th storm.



--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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phillyfan
post May 6 2018, 01:19 PM
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Could really use a good rain getting quite dry around here. Also could use it to wash some of this pollen away.


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Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18, 7/27
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27, 7/21-22, 7/23-26, 7/27, 8/2-4, 8/11-12
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11, 8/4
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4, 7/22-23, 7/27, 8/3-4, 8/11
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longislander
post May 6 2018, 01:57 PM
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Not a drop of rain here, as I knew there wouldn't be as soon as the local mets told everyone to "grab their umbrellas" for today.
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geeter1
post May 6 2018, 02:16 PM
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Radar filling in around us now. Hoping for .25" Fingers crossed...
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PlanetMaster
post May 6 2018, 03:08 PM
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QUOTE(longislander @ May 6 2018, 02:57 PM) *
Not a drop of rain here, as I knew there wouldn't be as soon as the local mets told everyone to "grab their umbrellas" for today.


Its coming down now. We are in the split zone between the two systems but filling in over the Island nicely now. As phillyfan said need this rain as it is dry as a bone from the heat wave.



CPA getting a good soaking, been raining since late yesterday as that low is crawling along.



Spy some convection over SEPA?

This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: May 6 2018, 03:16 PM


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phillyfan
post May 6 2018, 03:36 PM
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QUOTE(geeter1 @ May 6 2018, 03:16 PM) *
Radar filling in around us now. Hoping for .25" Fingers crossed...

Getting some decent rain now. Close to .20" so far, that'll wet the ground a little and settle the dust and pollen for a bit.


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Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18, 7/27
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27, 7/21-22, 7/23-26, 7/27, 8/2-4, 8/11-12
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11, 8/4
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4, 7/22-23, 7/27, 8/3-4, 8/11
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PlanetMaster
post May 6 2018, 04:50 PM
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Possible fly in the ointment for nice Spring weather at least the first part of the week along the coast. These fronts are hanging just offshore and not going anywhere with tropical moisture streaming North. NAM has several lows developing along the front off the Carolinas moving NE through Thursday. Inland looks great but the immediate coast is very close to showery weather, especially LI east end and the Cape. Even if no rain falls could keep clouds across much of the coastal plain to quash our expected beautiful Spring weather this week. Hope not just need about a 50 mile spread to keep the clouds offshore, it'll be close.


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geeter1
post May 7 2018, 06:39 AM
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Got .18" in my rain gauge yesterday. Better than nothing... cool.gif
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SnowMan11
post May 7 2018, 07:32 AM
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Barely anything


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Anthony
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LUCC
post May 7 2018, 09:06 AM
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YUUUGE dud for my area, maybe 20 drops at most early Sunday morning. The pollen is out of control, everything blooming at once, my allergies kept me out of work Friday and miserable all weekend. We need a good soaking rain to wash everything off and get rid of the yellowish green hue on everything!


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Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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bingobobbo
post May 7 2018, 10:31 AM
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Well, today was supposed to be sunny. However, the ever-present Northeast Overcast has found us once again. I don't know whether it is because the storm is leaving slower than expected or we are experiencing Self-Destruct Sunshine. Greater Binghamton attracts self-destruct sunshine the way that former forum member NYCSuburbs attracted snow domes.


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There is never suppression when a Great Lakes Cutter comes.
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KENNYP2339
post May 7 2018, 10:57 AM
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QUOTE(bingobobbo @ May 7 2018, 11:31 AM) *
Well, today was supposed to be sunny. However, the ever-present Northeast Overcast has found us once again. I don't know whether it is because the storm is leaving slower than expected or we are experiencing Self-Destruct Sunshine. Greater Binghamton attracts self-destruct sunshine the way that former forum member NYCSuburbs attracted snow domes.

I've visited and worked in the Binghamton area many times, and I can not recall once every being up there and seeing the sun.
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telejunkie
post May 7 2018, 12:05 PM
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Built a new raised garden bed Saturday and filled it in with soil & plants yesterday so the showers yesterday were appreciated. Don't think they really amounted much (rain gauge broke dry.gif ), but was spitting rain for most of the day.


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Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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Miller A
post May 7 2018, 01:33 PM
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From: Sussex, NJ
Member No.: 16,359





0.24"


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TOTAL 2017-18: 52.35"
TOTAL 2016-17: 52.75"
TOTAL 2015-16: 17.90"
TOTAL 2014-15: 51.10"
TOTAL 2013-14: 62.10"
TOTAL 2012-13: 46.00"
TOTAL 2011-12: 18.05"

TOTAL 2010-11: 52.40"
TOTAL 2009-10: 64.00"

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Alt 248 = degrees symbol
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