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> May 26-28 MidAtl/NE Holiday Weekend Tropical Rains/Severe Potential, Forecasts and Observations
PlanetMaster
post May 26 2018, 11:15 PM
Post #21




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QUOTE(phillyfan @ May 26 2018, 11:42 PM) *
Flash Flood Watch just issued, so this is kind of unexpected:

Streamlines show it clearly, front sagging across southern NYS just around the NY/PA border. All the tropical juice bucking up against the front = torrential rains. Northern half of PA looks to get hit early and as the front sags slowly in the early morning hours it will shift further south into SEPA/NJ/NYC/LI and the 2-3 inches will be local but definitely likely in the harder hit spots. Probably pouring when the sun rises over EPA/NJ/SENE with embedded storms to boot.



Hi Res (Figured how to clear the ground clutter)


This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: May 27 2018, 12:19 AM


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PlanetMaster
post May 27 2018, 12:12 AM
Post #22




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Boom over Jersey, filling in from the South now rain moving in fast. Flood watches into NYC as well.



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QUOTE
Flood Watch
National Weather Service New York NY
1145 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THIS MORNING...

Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-
Southern Nassau-
1145 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York, including the following areas, in
northeast New Jersey, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern
Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Western Bergen, Western Essex,
and Western Union. In southeast New York, Bronx, Kings
(Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan), Northern Nassau, Northern
Queens, Richmond (Staten Island), Southern Nassau, and
Southern Queens.

* Until 11 AM EDT Sunday

* An area of heavy rain is expected to develop in New Jersey, and
drift northeast into the watch area during the early morning
hours. Heavy downpours may lead to flash flooding along with
urban and poor drainage flooding.


This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: May 27 2018, 12:37 AM


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PlanetMaster
post May 27 2018, 01:44 AM
Post #23




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Big storms over the waters, keeping the fish awake. Incoming NYC >> LI



SWPA getting hammered all night and it keeps on developing to the west. Shocked not to see flood watches/warnings in that area.



This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: May 27 2018, 02:03 AM


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LUCC
post May 27 2018, 02:40 AM
Post #24




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Here in WW Crest, nothing so far.


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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MaineJay
post May 27 2018, 05:38 AM
Post #25




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We need some rain, the 0.1" yesterday was more a tease than anything. I mowed the lawn for the first time on Friday and it was a friggin' dust bowl.


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MaineJay
post May 27 2018, 05:43 AM
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QUOTE(KENNYP2339 @ May 26 2018, 01:33 PM) *
Same here, my room mate decided today would be a great day for me to weed all the flower beds and spread mulch, lost my shirt at 9:30 am and already drank about a gallon of water. What ever winter weight I put on has since melted off of me. I starting to see that maybe she tricked me again.



Lol @roommate, sorry KP, laugh.gif all I could think about was this when I read your post.

I edited it slightly, you know, for the kids.

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phillyfan
post May 27 2018, 08:22 AM
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Where's the rain didn't get a single drop overnight into this morning yet.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11
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stxprowl
post May 27 2018, 08:24 AM
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That’s some training if I ever saw it. ohmy.gif
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast...l=Cherry%20Hill
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stretchct
post May 27 2018, 08:37 AM
Post #29




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Uptons AFD mentioned central Jersey getting 4” of rain. LUCC in the rain capital.


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8°
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2°
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77°
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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Miller A
post May 27 2018, 10:58 AM
Post #30




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QUOTE(MaineJay @ May 27 2018, 06:38 AM) *
We need some rain, the 0.1" yesterday was more a tease than anything. I mowed the lawn for the first time on Friday and it was a friggin' dust bowl.

Wow, and I pulled 15 lbs of gunky wet mud and grass off my push mower because my wife makes me cut the grass in the rain, too.


--------------------
TOTAL 2017-18: 52.35"
TOTAL 2016-17: 52.75"
TOTAL 2015-16: 17.90"
TOTAL 2014-15: 51.10"
TOTAL 2013-14: 62.10"
TOTAL 2012-13: 46.00"
TOTAL 2011-12: 18.05"

TOTAL 2010-11: 52.40"
TOTAL 2009-10: 64.00"

°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°°
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MaineJay
post May 27 2018, 11:04 AM
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QUOTE(Miller A @ May 27 2018, 11:58 AM) *
Wow, and I pulled 15 lbs of gunky wet mud and grass off my push mower because my wife makes me cut the grass in the rain, too.



You know what they say, "happy wife, unhappy husband"... Or something like that. laugh.gif


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LUCC
post May 27 2018, 12:07 PM
Post #32




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QUOTE(stretchct @ May 27 2018, 09:37 AM) *
Uptons AFD mentioned central Jersey getting 4” of rain. LUCC in the rain capital.

Down in Wildwood Crest, hopefully e eryone everything back home is ok.


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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stretchct
post May 27 2018, 12:13 PM
Post #33




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6" is the winner so far. Last 28 hrs.
CODE
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1111 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
RAINFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT
NEW JERSEY
...Mercer County...
East Windsor Twp 6.00 845 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter
2 N Mercerville-Hami 5.54 800 AM 5/27 Mesonet
3 E West Amwell Twp 5.04 800 AM 5/27 Mesonet
Mercerville 4.06 855 AM 5/27 Emergency Manager
Hopewell 3.16 829 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter
Princeton 2.41 829 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter
Lawrenceville 2.29 829 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter
Ewing 2.18 829 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter
...Middlesex County...
Plainsboro 3.28 907 AM 5/27 Social Media
Kendall Park 3.13 820 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter
...Monmouth County...
Robinsville 4.63 955 AM 5/27 Social Media
Tinton Falls 4.36 1015 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter
2 S Wall Twp 4.24 540 AM 5/27 Mesonet
Howell 2.37 820 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter
1 NNW West Shrewsbur 2.17 707 PM 5/26 Mesonet
...Somerset County...
Skillman 2.20 826 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter
PENNSYLVANIA
...Bucks County...
Doylestown Airport 3.75 654 AM 5/27 ASOS
1 SW Solebury Twp 3.63 640 AM 5/27 Mesonet
Langhorne 3.30 800 AM 5/27 CoCoRaHS
Jamison 1.98 742 AM 5/27 Trained Spotter

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?si...mp;issuedby=PHI


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8°
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2°
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77°
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stxprowl
post May 27 2018, 12:28 PM
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That storm north of Baltimore is going no where fast.
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast...label=Baltimore
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WEATHERFAN100
post May 27 2018, 12:39 PM
Post #35




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QUOTE
Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
114 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018


PAZ033>036-063>066-280400-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FF.A.0003.180527T1714Z-180528T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.
O/
Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg,
Chambersburg, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
114 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in State College has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of south central Pennsylvania,
including the following areas, Adams, Bedford, Cumberland,
Franklin, Fulton, Lancaster, Somerset, and York.

* Until midnight EDT tonight.

* Slow moving showers and thunderstorms capable of producing
torrential downpours will impact the area this afternoon and
evening, which may lead to localized flash flooding. Localized
rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches in one hour are expected.

* Excessive rainfall within a short period of time can lead to
rapidly rising waters, particularly in urban and low lying
areas and along small streams, which can lead to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should
Flash Flood Warnings be issued. Review flood safety and
preparedness information at weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$


--------------------
-James
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stxprowl
post May 27 2018, 12:50 PM
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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0538.html
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WEATHERFAN100
post May 27 2018, 02:20 PM
Post #37




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QUOTE
Tornado Warning

Tornado Warning
WVC003-065-271945-
/O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0008.180527T1912Z-180527T1945Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
312 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2018

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Central Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia...
Central Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia...

* Until 345 PM EDT.

* At 312 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles northeast of Greenwood, moving southeast at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown,
flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur.
Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is
likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Martinsburg around 345 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Jones
Springs and Tomahawk.


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so_whats_happeni...
post May 27 2018, 02:34 PM
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QUOTE(stxprowl @ May 27 2018, 01:28 PM) *
That storm north of Baltimore is going no where fast.
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast...label=Baltimore


Things are about to get real interesting with the front just to my north, currently at KBWI. Drove through some pretty crazy rains on the way down here. Flooding issues around 83 and 695 area slowed traffic like crazy. Skies are really dark from the w to the NE and seems to slowly be sagging south here.

Need to watch some of those individual storms not a whole lot of shear again today hence the relatively stationary motion with these and backbuilding but there is enough to have some concern about the single celled storms. More of a rain and potentially wind/microburst situation. Think its a little too warm and moist for hail to occur very tropical like atmosphere down here.


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B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


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phillyfan
post May 27 2018, 02:50 PM
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QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ May 27 2018, 03:34 PM) *
Things are about to get real interesting with the front just to my north, currently at KBWI. Drove through some pretty crazy rains on the way down here. Flooding issues around 83 and 695 area slowed traffic like crazy. Skies are really dark from the w to the NE and seems to slowly be sagging south here.

Need to watch some of those individual storms not a whole lot of shear again today hence the relatively stationary motion with these and backbuilding but there is enough to have some concern about the single celled storms. More of a rain and potentially wind/microburst situation. Think its a little too warm and moist for hail to occur very tropical like atmosphere down here.

Still haven't seen any rain here the past 2 days. Thinking I won't see anything today either now.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11
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so_whats_happeni...
post May 27 2018, 02:53 PM
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QUOTE(phillyfan @ May 27 2018, 03:50 PM) *
Still haven't seen any rain here the past 2 days. Thinking I won't see anything today either now.


Getting some crazy winds and cloud structures down here now I believe they put a ground stop at the airport.

Ill have to post these pictures because they are pretty crazy to see right now.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
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2017/2018


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