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> June 27-July 5? 2018 MidAtl/NE Heat Wave OBSX, Observations - last minute forecasts
PoconoSnow
post Yesterday, 07:40 AM
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Getting trained with thunderstorms right now

Best of the year for sure, constant thunder and lightning


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phillyfan
post Yesterday, 08:32 AM
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QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Jul 15 2018, 08:40 AM) *
Getting trained with thunderstorms right now

Best of the year for sure, constant thunder and lightning

Rain just starting to get heavier here now, been rumbling since 8am. Took it's sweet time getting here. NWS forecast still says 30% chance of rain this morning. laugh.gif

Needed this rain pretty badly, spent all week watering the garden to keep it growing. Grass has gone brown in a few places.

This post has been edited by phillyfan: Yesterday, 08:40 AM


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4
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PoconoSnow
post Yesterday, 09:36 AM
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QUOTE(phillyfan @ Jul 15 2018, 09:32 AM) *
Rain just starting to get heavier here now, been rumbling since 8am. Took it's sweet time getting here. NWS forecast still says 30% chance of rain this morning. laugh.gif

Needed this rain pretty badly, spent all week watering the garden to keep it growing. Grass has gone brown in a few places.


I can second that

This post has been edited by PoconoSnow: Yesterday, 09:36 AM


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phillyfan
post Yesterday, 09:43 AM
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QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Jul 15 2018, 10:36 AM) *
I can second that

It's a nice surprise soaker, thought we'd be waiting until Tuesday to get a good soaking.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4
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PoconoSnow
post Yesterday, 09:52 AM
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QUOTE(phillyfan @ Jul 15 2018, 10:43 AM) *
It's a nice surprise soaker, thought we'd be waiting until Tuesday to get a good soaking.


Me too!


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phillyfan
post Yesterday, 12:02 PM
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Got over an inch out of that cluster of t-storms this morning.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4
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LUCC
post Today, 09:00 AM
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Man, it's HOT right now!


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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Miller A
post Today, 09:30 AM
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0.56" overnight Sat into Sun morn. Crazy boomers.


--------------------
TOTAL 2017-18: 52.35"
TOTAL 2016-17: 52.75"
TOTAL 2015-16: 17.90"
TOTAL 2014-15: 51.10"
TOTAL 2013-14: 62.10"
TOTAL 2012-13: 46.00"
TOTAL 2011-12: 18.05"

TOTAL 2010-11: 52.40"
TOTAL 2009-10: 64.00"

같같같같같같같같같같같같같같같
Alt 248 = degrees symbol
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Ahoff
post Today, 09:53 AM
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Pittsburgh actually overachieved yesterday and reach 90! Very rare to overachieve to reach 90. 4th this month and 7th overall.
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telejunkie
post Today, 01:37 PM
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91.5F yesterday and now sitting at 92F today...this one definitely over-achieved. Forecast was 84F yesterday and 86F today from NWS...


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5
12/12 - 9 1/17 - 7 3/2 -7
12/22 - 5 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9 3/13-3/15 - 17

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
밯e are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be -Vonnegut
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Ahoff
post Today, 02:07 PM
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QUOTE(telejunkie @ Jul 16 2018, 02:37 PM) *
91.5F yesterday and now sitting at 92F today...this one definitely over-achieved. Forecast was 84F yesterday and 86F today from NWS...


We definitely don't over-achieve that much, lol! If we did we would have been 94-96!
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LUCC
post Today, 02:12 PM
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If it reaches 90 tomorrow this will be another heat wave which no one was talking about.


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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so_whats_happeni...
post Today, 02:23 PM
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QUOTE(LUCC @ Jul 16 2018, 03:12 PM) *
If it reaches 90 tomorrow this will be another heat wave which no one was talking about.


Probably no news outlets they tend to go for the bigger temps, but when you forecast 89 for days in a row you run that risk of just pushing over everyday. Tomorrow will be tough to get to that unless cloud debris disappears with the front coming in around 3-6pm across much of central and eastern PA and probably crossing the shore regions around dark. It was supposed to be hot when we get these ridge axis moving through and considering much of the last heat situation was higher than expected for many regions, probably due to surface drying pushing temps up a little more, gotta just keep an eye on it.

Looks good starting tomorrow evening though! Gotta watch out for possible flooding issues with thunderstorm potential as we move into weekend and next week with an upper low just sitting across the ohio valley area.


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PoconoSnow
post Today, 02:47 PM
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This has peaked my interest for awhile for some MCS possibilities throughout multiple sub regions

This post has been edited by PoconoSnow: Today, 02:49 PM
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so_whats_happeni...
post Today, 03:10 PM
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QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Jul 16 2018, 03:47 PM) *
This has peaked my interest for awhile for some MCS possibilities throughout multiple sub regions


It would be cool to see an MCS like feature moving through the SW tomorrow.

As for over here the best forcing and mixture of cape with shear looks to be over SNE region for some decent development. Further north more linear (winds and hail, brief tornado) and further south looks to be scattered convection that may form into a line with high cape values will allow things to really tap aloft so may mix some winds down, too warm for hail probably except further north.

Finally bringing down the humidity which what im more waiting for than anything.


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Tylor Cartter

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Millersville University


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so_whats_happeni...
post Today, 04:21 PM
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What an interesting radar down here had the bay breeze kick in and push west into BWI area fire off storms they died as they went NE but produced and outflow that enhanced the westward movement of the bay breeze on the north side and the storms from DC were moving NE on a similar boundary and have created their own outflow of winds from the SW just south of the city. Cool stuff.
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--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017
2017/2018


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