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Posted by: OSNW3 Jul 2 2016, 06:57 AM


Posted by: JDClapper Jul 2 2016, 11:12 AM

QUOTE(OSNW3 @ Jul 2 2016, 08:03 AM) *
Potential heat for the Ohio River Valley...

New overlay map? smile.gif Any "significant" changes from the older version?

Posted by: MaineJay Jul 14 2016, 04:31 PM

Guess this is the place for this now.

SOI drops 36.4 over two days. So severe weather August 3?

Posted by: jdrenken Jul 15 2016, 01:07 PM

Posted by: jdrenken Aug 15 2016, 10:17 AM

QUOTE(MaineJay @ Jul 14 2016, 04:31 PM) *
Guess this is the place for this now.

SOI drops 36.4 over two days. So severe weather August 3? reports are 125 for the 3rd and 104 for the 4th.

Posted by: Mid Tn. Man Aug 21 2016, 08:14 PM

Interesting anyways smile.gif

Posted by: ClicheVortex2014 Aug 21 2016, 08:32 PM

GFS is the land of cutoffs. 4 cut-off systems in the North Pacific

Posted by: ClicheVortex2014 Aug 29 2016, 11:40 PM

(I assume this is replacement for the old multi-year thread?)

Bit of an oddity going on in the west Pacific. A typhoon has recurved away from Japan, and is currently just off Japan's coast. Instead of the typical sling toward the Bering, it's curving into Asia where it combines with a large closed trough. This trough amplifies and quickly retrogrades.


It's where the 974mb is noted. Notice the isobars are much tighter on the northeast side than the southwest side. I assume that's some effects of the typhoon lingering.

Should mean a shot of cool weather around August 6-7, no?

None of the models are seeing it, and the agreement about the pattern is impressive.

I assume the final turn toward Asia is the culprit.

Posted by: bretmw1019 Sep 2 2016, 05:40 PM

QUOTE(OSNW3 @ Aug 23 2016, 10:52 PM) *
#Typhoon and #Hurricane via the East Asia Rule and the ECMWF. #EAR

Can the BSR and EAR really see a hurricane out that far in advance? Seems like the dynamics for the Hurricane come from a much different place. New to the organic forecasting stuff so just curious!

Posted by: jdrenken Sep 30 2016, 02:32 AM

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