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> Mar 1-3 MidAtl/NE Nor'easter Forecasts, Forecast Thread Closed; Move to OBS
NYCSuburbs
post Feb 17 2009, 09:04 AM
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I'm not sure if there are any threads for this but the past few GFS runs showed a storm around this time period. The solution will definitely change, and I know that it's still in the 13-15 day range, but I decided to make a thread for this in case the storm actually forms.
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fisherboy
post Feb 17 2009, 09:25 AM
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[quote name='NYCSuburbs' date='Feb 17 2009, 10:04 AM' post='417061']
I'm not sure if there are any threads for this but the past few GFS runs showed a storm around this time period. The solution will definitely change, and I know that it's still in the 13-15 day range, but I decided to make a thread for this in case the storm actually forms.
[/quote
This morning the local mets were saying a warm up is going to take place in a week from now, can anyone say for sur that this is going to happen mad.gif also they r true winter haters


--------------------
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We are dedicated, hardworking human beings
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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 17 2009, 03:39 PM
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QUOTE(fisherboy @ Feb 17 2009, 10:25 AM) *
This morning the local mets were saying a warm up is going to take place in a week from now, can anyone say for sur that this is going to happen :angry: also they r true winter haters

We can't say anything for sure yet because it's in the long range, also the Accuweather 15-day temperatures are in the 50s for the NYC area. Anything can happen at this point, but I opened this thread about the possible storm, and details are still unclear so we'd have to wait until at least the medium range to have a better idea.
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Removed_Member_john12_*
post Feb 17 2009, 04:08 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Feb 17 2009, 04:39 PM) *
We can't say anything for sure yet because it's in the long range, also the Accuweather 15-day temperatures are in the 50s for the NYC area. Anything can happen at this point, but I opened this thread about the possible storm, and details are still unclear so we'd have to wait until at least the medium range to have a better idea.


first week in march 60-70's guys nice warm
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pyrapurcell
post Feb 17 2009, 04:12 PM
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well its not as warm as you guys say only upper 40's for next week most of time...

accuweather has this as a wintry precip type storm for now...

Too far out though, maybe it'll cool down before this time.

Our mets are not so anti winter, where did you get 60's and 70's from I doubt it.


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post Feb 19 2009, 04:31 PM
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i have one annoying question....how does it look for zepinspirsenburg,pennsylvania?
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Superstorm93
post Feb 19 2009, 07:47 PM
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QUOTE(crankee yankee @ Feb 19 2009, 05:31 PM) *
i have one annoying question....how does it look for zepinspirsenburg,pennsylvania?

laugh.gif


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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 20 2009, 04:22 PM
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Well, it looks like the GFS is split on a storm, one on Feb 27-28, the other on March 2-4, so I am changing the date of this thread to March 2-4.
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post Feb 20 2009, 06:46 PM
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can we see any of the model runs?
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post Feb 20 2009, 11:51 PM
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QUOTE(NJBLIZZARD @ Feb 20 2009, 07:46 PM) *
can we see any of the model runs?


Sure, here is the 00Z GFS.

228



240



252

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Removed_Member_starsinmysky_*
post Feb 20 2009, 11:54 PM
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500 mb heights for the 00Z GFS at 240 hrs

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Removed_Member_starsinmysky_*
post Feb 20 2009, 11:57 PM
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2M Temps for the 00Z GFS

228



240



252

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post Feb 20 2009, 11:58 PM
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QUOTE(starsinmysky @ Feb 21 2009, 12:51 AM) *
Sure, here is the 00Z GFS.

228



240



252


looks like a good storm...right now...
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downonthebayinMD
post Feb 21 2009, 12:00 AM
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I may be wrong, but as it stands it looks as if it would be a very cold rain for the Mid Atlantic based on that run. But precip types don't really matter this far out I figure.


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Snowlover Den
post Feb 21 2009, 06:24 AM
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QUOTE(downonthebayinMD @ Feb 21 2009, 01:00 AM) *
I may be wrong, but as it stands it looks as if it would be a very cold rain for the Mid Atlantic based on that run. But precip types don't really matter this far out I figure.

Yep cold rain. It might even be a warmer one as time approaches like every other storm this year. Almost time to say " See ya in November ".
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WNYLakeEffect
post Feb 21 2009, 07:53 AM
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QUOTE(Snowlover Den @ Feb 21 2009, 07:24 AM) *
Yep cold rain. It might even be a warmer one as time approaches like every other storm this year. Almost time to say " See ya in November ".

I gotta tell you, it is looking good and its only 6648 hours out:


Really, I'm thinking that this is going to be a warm storm for many, but that will almost definitely change.

This post has been edited by WinterStromDrought: Feb 21 2009, 09:23 AM


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WEATHERFAN100
post Feb 21 2009, 12:27 PM
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its like a nice soaker right now with warms temps for most of us. This will probaly change a lot between now and March 2nd. My early prediction: Rain storm


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post Feb 21 2009, 01:40 PM
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I wouldn't let this storm go because the first 15 days are going to be highly unusual for March Standards. wink.gif
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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 21 2009, 06:25 PM
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I am definitely expecting a rainstorm for the Mid-Atlantic, but most of it would probably be a chilly to cold rainfall, with some wet snow in the higher elevations in the northern Mid Atlantic. Temperatures will also be colder, after the strong cold front and possible thunderstorms on Friday.
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monsoonevans
post Feb 22 2009, 08:23 AM
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If this were to happen?!?!?! wow!
Here we go again....

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