 Feb 23-24 MidAtl/NE Storm, Reality: Short Range (0-3 Days Out) Forecasts |
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 Feb 21 2013, 11:55 PM
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#1361
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 6,049 Joined: 5-February 09 From: Albany, NY Member No.: 17,493  |
QUOTE(HV Snowstorm @ Feb 21 2013, 11:52 PM)  Agree but 2 out of 3 is better than 1 out of 3... right? depends on the model. -------------------- 2013 Thunder Storm Days: 4
Severe Watches: 4 Severe Warnings: 2 Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8" Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3" Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2" Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3" Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5" Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7" |
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Feb 21 2013, 11:57 PM
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#1362
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,921 Joined: 7-December 08 From: South Windsor, CT Member No.: 16,373 |
QUOTE(snowking71 @ Feb 21 2013, 11:47 PM) That's funny??? Wfsb 3 shows 3-6 for Bristol...6+ for me, and wvit 4 shows 4-8 for Bristol, and 8+ for me. Lol, I don't get you guy??? You always seem like the "glass half empty" kind of guy. I never said that no one would get accumulating snow. There's probably going to be some weird instance in the Eastern or Western Hills where a localized areas get's 6 or 7 inches because it was above 1000' and had upslope enhancement. Everywhere else will probably see a trace to 2 or 3 inches of snow, followed by .5" or more of rain, and then maybe .3" liquid equivalent of snow that can't accumulate because of ground saturation. Once you get North of the Pike, its a whole different ball game. -------------------- Rob
Member of the 30" Club 2012-2013 Total Snowfall: 85.5" 2012-2013 Winter Wx predictions: Total Snowfall (Nov. 1 -- Mar. 31): 39.5" 50+ Degree Days since Dec. 1: 10 Winter Wx. Events: 11/7-11/9: 7" 11/27-11/29: T 11/30: T (flurries) 12/22: T (lake-effect) 12/24: 1" (clipper) 12/27: 5" (turned to slop) 12/29-12/30: 10" (resulted in 2 week snowpack) 1/16: 4" 1/21:T (norlun) 1/25-1/26: T 1/28: 2" 2/1-2/3:T 2/5: T 2013 North American Blizzard: 32" (all-time record) 2/13: T 2/16: 2" Various T events up to 3/2: .5" 3/6-3/8: 17" 3/18-3/19: 4.5" 10/29/11, 10/29/12, and 2/8-9/13: Never forget |
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Feb 22 2013, 12:07 AM
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#1363
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,923 Joined: 19-August 09 From: nova scotia cape breton Member No.: 18,972 |
It comes up to my area then it says nope ill miss you guys and go on my way
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Feb 22 2013, 12:07 AM
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#1364
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,049 Joined: 5-February 09 From: Albany, NY Member No.: 17,493 |
KALB map
Attached thumbnail(s)
-------------------- 2013 Thunder Storm Days: 4
Severe Watches: 4 Severe Warnings: 2 Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8" Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3" Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2" Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3" Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5" Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7" |
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Feb 22 2013, 12:15 AM
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#1365
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 13,348 Joined: 17-December 08 From: Freehold Boro Member No.: 16,547 |
gefs
-------------------- western monmouth county avg snowfall 27"-30" Freehold boro snowfall 2008 - 2009: 26.8" 2009 - 2010: 74.2" 2010 - 2011: 61.1" 2011 - 2012: 8.5" 2012 - 2013: 38.2" |
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Feb 22 2013, 04:39 AM
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#1366
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 321 Joined: 29-January 09 From: Barnegat, NJ Member No.: 17,236 |
how did the ooz euro look ??
This post has been edited by let it dnow: Feb 22 2013, 04:42 AM -------------------- Let it snow.
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Feb 22 2013, 04:42 AM
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#1367
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 729 Joined: 16-December 08 From: binghamton ny Member No.: 16,505 |
QUOTE(albanyweather @ Feb 22 2013, 12:07 AM) KALB map Is the central southern tier going to get any snow with this storm? Or is there too much rain mixing in? It looks like it's close.. |
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Feb 22 2013, 04:49 AM
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#1368
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 188 Joined: 1-February 09 From: Boston, MA Member No.: 17,361 |
FWIW Taunton revised their snow map at 4:00 am and kicked 4-6 inches back to the coast. this makes a bit more sense than their previous map that had less than inch anywhere east of 495.
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/ |
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Feb 22 2013, 05:03 AM
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#1369
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 675 Joined: 10-January 11 From: 06001 Member No.: 25,057 |
QUOTE(rtcemc @ Feb 21 2013, 11:20 PM) Yep, it's that high departing, which depleted the cold air source even up in your area, and allows the primary warm air influx to invade - rather than weakening. It looks like an inland and elevation snow, just not sure on precip amounts. IMHO, don't see Boston area getting 6-10. yeap sorry wasn't looking at temps |
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Feb 22 2013, 05:09 AM
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#1370
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 675 Joined: 10-January 11 From: 06001 Member No.: 25,057 |
QUOTE(sw03181 @ Feb 21 2013, 11:57 PM) I never said that no one would get accumulating snow. There's probably going to be some weird instance in the Eastern or Western Hills where a localized areas get's 6 or 7 inches because it was above 1000' and had upslope enhancement. Everywhere else will probably see a trace to 2 or 3 inches of snow, followed by .5" or more of rain, and then maybe .3" liquid equivalent of snow that can't accumulate because of ground saturation. Once you get North of the Pike, its a whole different ball game. good call they can have this one, i'm ready for spring, just booked the disney vacation for mid april, i want warmth and happiness thats got me singing zippi di doo da out of you know where |
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Feb 22 2013, 05:16 AM
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#1371
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 846 Joined: 20-February 09 From: East Glenville NY Member No.: 17,647 |
QUOTE(mulligan @ Feb 22 2013, 04:42 AM) Is the central southern tier going to get any snow with this storm? Or is there too much rain mixing in? It looks like it's close.. Binghamton's Forecast I hope this helps. -------------------- 2012/2013 Snowfall Total: 52 1/2"
2011/2012 snowfall total: 27 1/2" 2010/2011 snowfall total: 85" 2009/2010 snowfall total: 52" |
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Feb 22 2013, 05:59 AM
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#1372
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 699 Joined: 22-February 10 From: Berne NY (hilltown 20 miles W of Albany) Member No.: 21,882 |
Have the WX Channel on and one of the mets was just talking about the northeast and specifically around Albany and to the East. On their map, Albany is cut right down the middle, right on the 3-6 and 6-12 line. Literally everything east of Albany almost right to Boston is 6-12 inches. They have a lesser amount for Boston but every place that is between Albany and Boston is 6-12.
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Feb 22 2013, 06:10 AM
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#1373
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 754 Joined: 28-August 10 From: Boston, MA Member No.: 23,496 |
Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 354 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013 ...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HEAVY WET SNOW THAT MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON... MAZ002>012-014-026-NHZ011-012-015-221700- /O.NEW.KBOX.WS.A.0004.130223T1900Z-130224T1900Z/ WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA- CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA- WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE... BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE ..GLOUCESTER... CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON.. SPRINGFIELD... MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...AYER...JAFFREY.. KEENE... MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE 354 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...WHEN 1 TO 2 INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE POSSIBLE. ITS POSSIBLE THAT THE SNOW MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH RAIN FOR A TIME NEAR AND JUST SOUTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...THE BIGGEST CONCERN IS THAT THIS WILL BE A HEAVY WET SNOW. THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. UNTREATED ROADS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING SNOW OF 6 OR MORE INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR 8 OR MORE INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER WEATHER DEVELOP. -------------------- 2013-14: XX.x"
Departure from average to date: -" Departure from seasonal average (44"): +19.5" (updated: 6/06/13) Past winters: 2012-13: 63.4" (+19.5" from average) 2011-12: 9.3" (-34.6" from average) 2010-11: 81" (+37.1" from average) |
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Feb 22 2013, 06:12 AM
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#1374
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 8,735 Joined: 10-August 09 From: SW Coastal CT (10 miles from beach) Member No.: 18,864 |
OBS thread opened.
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Feb 22 2013, 06:13 AM
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#1375
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 235 Joined: 15-February 13 From: 25 mi. NNW of Portland, ME, elev. ~400ft. Member No.: 28,288 |
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Lo-Fi Version | Time is now: 18th June 2013 - 06:43 PM |