Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

12 Pages V   1 2 3 > »   
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> February 7th-9th MidAtl/Northeast Storm, Short Range
phillyfan
post Jan 30 2017, 11:36 AM
Post #1




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 8,551
Joined: 13-January 08
From: Wernersville, PA (Berks Co.)
Member No.: 12,448





Figured I'd take a chance and a open a thread for this system now. Been showing up on the last 4 runs of the GFS:

18z


0z:


6z:


12z:


This post has been edited by phillyfan: Feb 6 2017, 08:38 PM


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19

Pea Size Hail: 2/25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
shaulov4
post Jan 30 2017, 11:39 AM
Post #2




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,539
Joined: 7-August 11
Member No.: 25,872





Seems fair enough
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
snowyweatherman
post Jan 30 2017, 11:42 AM
Post #3




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,131
Joined: 25-January 08
From: Pleasant Mt,PA
Member No.: 13,101





Quite a bit east of 6z but storm signal still there, good sign


--------------------
Current Snow Depth

2016-17Snowfall = 45" spread out since Late Novemeber
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
phillyfan
post Jan 30 2017, 11:43 AM
Post #4




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 8,551
Joined: 13-January 08
From: Wernersville, PA (Berks Co.)
Member No.: 12,448





QUOTE(snowyweatherman @ Jan 30 2017, 11:42 AM) *
Quite a bit east of 6z but storm signal still there, good sign

That's all that matters this far out, hopefully I'll bring us some good luck on this one.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19

Pea Size Hail: 2/25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Blizz
post Jan 30 2017, 11:43 AM
Post #5




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 5,943
Joined: 18-December 10
From: Hazleton, PA
Member No.: 24,736





Coastal scraper on 12z... at least its not rain like the 6z was... more cold air this run.



--------------------
Conyngham, PA - 44" per year
Season to Date: 48.4"
Winter Storm Warnings: 1
Winter Weather Advisories: 10
Blizzard Warnings: 1
Tornado Warnings: 1

Previous Winters (2011-2016): 21.1", 40.0", 65.0", 52.2", 22.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
snowyweatherman
post Jan 30 2017, 11:48 AM
Post #6




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,131
Joined: 25-January 08
From: Pleasant Mt,PA
Member No.: 13,101





Big storms come NW laugh.gif


--------------------
Current Snow Depth

2016-17Snowfall = 45" spread out since Late Novemeber
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Blizz
post Jan 30 2017, 12:00 PM
Post #7




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 5,943
Joined: 18-December 10
From: Hazleton, PA
Member No.: 24,736





QUOTE(snowyweatherman @ Jan 30 2017, 11:48 AM) *
Big storms come NW laugh.gif


Hopefully not as NW as the 12z CMC laugh.gif



--------------------
Conyngham, PA - 44" per year
Season to Date: 48.4"
Winter Storm Warnings: 1
Winter Weather Advisories: 10
Blizzard Warnings: 1
Tornado Warnings: 1

Previous Winters (2011-2016): 21.1", 40.0", 65.0", 52.2", 22.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
colonel717
post Jan 30 2017, 12:09 PM
Post #8




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 390
Joined: 28-November 12
Member No.: 27,265





QUOTE(Blizz @ Jan 30 2017, 12:00 PM) *
Hopefully not as NW as the 12z CMC laugh.gif



I think that is a different energy. Looks like CMC has the Gulf low about 24 hours later.
Here is the CMC Gulf energy that comes up the coast


This post has been edited by colonel717: Jan 30 2017, 12:10 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
jdrenken
post Jan 30 2017, 12:17 PM
Post #9




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521





We are off to the races! I was wondering how long until a thread was created.

BSR depiction from OBS only on Jan 22.








First hint was Jan 19th though...


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






Organicforecasting Blog
Organicforecasting data
89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
stretchct
post Jan 30 2017, 12:24 PM
Post #10




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,576
Joined: 12-December 08
From: Newtown, CT
Member No.: 16,470





EPS Control has a CMC look, tries to pop a coastal though too late.


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis

"I'd rather bust low than bust high" - 2/9 Called for 9-10, got 15

Winter stats 2016-17
Snow to date: 58"
3-14 11.5"
3-10 5.5"
2-12 4"
2-9 15.75"
1-30 2.5"
1-23/24 1.25
1-14 1"
1-7 6.5"
1-6 2"
12-17 6"
12-12 1"
12-5 1"
First measurable 12-5 1"
First flakes 10-27
First freeze 10-25
First frost 10-11

Seasonal snow - normal 44"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MDSnowKing
post Jan 30 2017, 05:33 PM
Post #11




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,195
Joined: 6-January 10
From: Edgewood, MD (20 miles NE of Baltimore)
Member No.: 20,790





We will get to see what will happen if the storm on the 4th-5th keeps a stronger northern influence and exits in time for this one here with the 18Z GFS... maybe it will end up being on the 9th.

This post has been edited by MDSnowKing: Jan 30 2017, 05:34 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MDSnowKing
post Jan 30 2017, 05:39 PM
Post #12




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,195
Joined: 6-January 10
From: Edgewood, MD (20 miles NE of Baltimore)
Member No.: 20,790





Next frames will be interesting...
Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
 
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MDSnowKing
post Jan 30 2017, 05:42 PM
Post #13




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,195
Joined: 6-January 10
From: Edgewood, MD (20 miles NE of Baltimore)
Member No.: 20,790





Close to something significant...
Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
Attached Image
 
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Undertakerson
post Jan 30 2017, 05:43 PM
Post #14




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 27,043
Joined: 12-February 10
From: Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Member No.: 21,746





Loaded with potential energy at H5 -

Attached Image
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Undertakerson
post Jan 30 2017, 05:44 PM
Post #15




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 27,043
Joined: 12-February 10
From: Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Member No.: 21,746





And just think - it's "only" 10 days out. (LOL)

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MDSnowKing
post Jan 30 2017, 05:45 PM
Post #16




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,195
Joined: 6-January 10
From: Edgewood, MD (20 miles NE of Baltimore)
Member No.: 20,790





A lot can and will change. "Stay Tuned"
NC/VA special verbatim

This post has been edited by MDSnowKing: Jan 30 2017, 05:47 PM
Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image

Attached Image
 
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Storms R us
post Jan 30 2017, 05:51 PM
Post #17




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,971
Joined: 12-February 13
Member No.: 28,281





QUOTE(MDSnowKing @ Jan 30 2017, 05:45 PM) *
A lot can and will change. "Stay Tuned"
NC/VA special verbatim



Earlier on the Euro had it going from the FL/GA area and pretty much out to the sea with the H sitting around WVA etc
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MDSnowKing
post Jan 30 2017, 06:00 PM
Post #18




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,195
Joined: 6-January 10
From: Edgewood, MD (20 miles NE of Baltimore)
Member No.: 20,790





QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Jan 30 2017, 05:44 PM) *
And just think - it's "only" 10 days out. (LOL)

Indeed

QUOTE(Storms R us @ Jan 30 2017, 05:51 PM) *
Earlier on the Euro had it going from the FL/GA area and pretty much out to the sea with the H sitting around WVA etc

So by the time it gets here it will be a GLC. LOL

This post has been edited by MDSnowKing: Jan 30 2017, 06:00 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Snobal
post Jan 30 2017, 07:46 PM
Post #19




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 973
Joined: 25-November 12
From: east central Pa
Member No.: 27,253





This looks like a miller A and most likely be the biggest snowfall of the year


--------------------
Annual Snowfall:
16'/17' = 32"
15'/16' = 24"
14'/15' = 49"
13'/14' = 55"

Historical Average : 40"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
stilko4
post Jan 30 2017, 08:11 PM
Post #20




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,638
Joined: 9-January 08
Member No.: 12,166





QUOTE(Snobal @ Jan 30 2017, 07:46 PM) *
This looks like a miller A and most likely be the biggest snowfall of the year

My early guess is the super bowl storm is a dud with under 2 inches for most, and this is a bm storm with significant snows.. unfortunately I think this is our last chance of a big snow storm this winter....outside the ski resorts


--------------------
Long Island - best place to live, period

snowfall for Syosset (north shore nassau county)

winter 13-14 ~ 66

winter 12-13
total snow - 45"

winter 11-12 (the winter that never was)
total snow for syosset ~ 3"

winter 10-11
total snow for syosset ~ 63"

winter 09-10
snowfall - 59.5"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

12 Pages V   1 2 3 > » 
Reply to this topicStart new topic
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 25th June 2017 - 03:53 PM