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> September 2016 - ? Southern drought, Post observations and stuff here
Gnutella
post Nov 8 2016, 08:31 AM
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The drought seemed to ramp up in September across the South (save the Atlantic coast), and deteriorated rapidly in October. Athens, GA had 0.03" of rain in October, and has had no measurable precipitation since October 15. Parts of northwest Georgia and northern Alabama have been even worse off.
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Gnutella
post Nov 11 2016, 05:42 AM
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Yesterday I got some haze in the morning sun and a whiff of smoke from all the wildfires burning in the southern Appalachians. It's expected to be smoky today too. I wonder if the football players at the Georgia/Auburn game will have to deal with this on Saturday. The forecast says winds will be northeasterly on Saturday, so that might alleviate the smoke somewhat since all the wildfires are to the north or northwest, but we'll see.

Here's the weekend outlook from the National Weather Service office in Atlanta:



Here's the local forecast for Athens, including "patchy smoke" today:



Here's the 30-day percent of normal precipitation across the Deep South (areas with no color have received nothing):



Apparently we have a 20% chance of rain here on Monday, but if that doesn't materialize, then there's no telling when the next chance will be.
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Gnutella
post Nov 14 2016, 01:42 PM
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So Athens had 0.33" of rain yesterday, which ended the precipitation-free streak at 28 consecutive days. It was actually the kind of lazy late-fall or winter day that I enjoy, with rain and low clouds, a brisk easterly wind, and temperatures in the 40s for most of the day (low 39F, high 51F). Perfect weather for sleeping in and watching football all day.

This week, however, it's back to warm, dry weather. High temperatures will be in the 70s for most of the week, though low temperatures will be in the 40s, which is fine with me. Aside from an outside chance of precipitation next weekend, the next real chance seems to be sometime during Thanksgiving weekend.
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ClicheVortex2014
post Nov 15 2016, 11:16 PM
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What a brutal drought pattern.

QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Nov 15 2016, 11:13 PM) *



--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 11 (Last: 9/24/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 7 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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Gnutella
post Nov 16 2016, 11:47 PM
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Nov 15 2016, 11:16 PM) *
What a brutal drought pattern.


The worst of the drought seems to be west of Athens, especially in northwest Georgia and northern Alabama. Those areas are in dire need of rain. The drought isn't quite as bad east of Athens, and there is no drought near the Atlantic coast due to Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew. Athens was on the northwestern edge of the rain on Sunday, so Atlanta got nothing from it. Unfortunately, western North Carolina got nothing from it either, and that's where the worst wildfires are. Going to the supermarket this evening, I could see the smoke in the lights over the parking lot. It's been irritating my respiratory system for several days now, with only a brief reprieve on Sunday with the rain. Apparently the chance of precipitation this weekend has diminished, so hopefully we'll get some around Thanksgiving.
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ClicheVortex2014
post Nov 17 2016, 12:44 PM
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Nov 17 2016, 12:43 PM) *
blink.gif





--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 11 (Last: 9/24/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 7 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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Gnutella
post Nov 17 2016, 08:19 PM
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Member No.: 20,211





If this drought continues for several more months, then we could be in store for a searing hot summer.
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ClicheVortex2014
post Nov 17 2016, 11:24 PM
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QUOTE(Gnutella @ Nov 17 2016, 08:19 PM) *
If this drought continues for several more months, then we could be in store for a searing hot summer.

Move over California... blink.gif


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 11 (Last: 9/24/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 7 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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Gnutella
post Nov 18 2016, 10:17 PM
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Atlanta has had 0.93" of rain since Labor Day, and zero since October 16.
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ClicheVortex2014
post Nov 22 2016, 01:14 AM
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Major evapotranspiration feedback going on in the south where there's an extreme drought ongoing that exacerbates an already extremely dry airmass




This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Nov 22 2016, 01:16 AM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 11 (Last: 9/24/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 7 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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