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NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 01:33 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(yamvmax @ Jan 16 2018, 12:35 PM) *
Amazing shot here. Less than an inch for me North shore long island, just a few miles across the sound 5 inches???


Always fun to see on radar with actual metars. I can count in 1 maybe 2 hands how many times we seen that in recent years. Always interesting to see.


QUOTE(LUCC @ Jan 16 2018, 01:12 PM) *
Is Euro colder, I don't have output.



Euro12z:

Trenton

CODE
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TTN    LAT=  40.27 LON=  -74.80 ELE=   213

                                            12Z JAN16
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK
TUE 12Z 16-JAN  -2.8    -5.1    1033      84      94    0.00     558     532    
TUE 18Z 16-JAN   4.9    -4.6    1030      63      82    0.01     558     534    
WED 00Z 17-JAN   1.4    -4.5    1029      85      72    0.00     558     535    
WED 06Z 17-JAN   1.3    -2.7    1025      96      89    0.05     556     536    
WED 12Z 17-JAN   0.3    -3.3    1024      96      99    0.21     554     535    
WED 18Z 17-JAN   0.8    -6.4    1022      60      76    0.02     551     533    
THU 00Z 18-JAN  -4.2    -9.6    1023      53      10    0.00     547     530    
THU 06Z 18-JAN  -8.1    -8.8    1021      61       4    0.00     544     528    
THU 12Z 18-JAN  -7.6    -5.4    1020      60      14    0.00     548     533


Islip

CODE
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: ISP    LAT=  40.78 LON=  -73.10 ELE=    98

                                            12Z JAN16
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK
TUE 12Z 16-JAN  -1.2    -5.3    1033      80      93    0.00     559     532    
TUE 18Z 16-JAN   2.6    -4.5    1031      73      80    0.00     559     534    
WED 00Z 17-JAN   2.6    -3.7    1030      86      58    0.00     559     535    
WED 06Z 17-JAN   4.3    -3.1    1026      89      70    0.03     557     536    
WED 12Z 17-JAN   2.9    -1.1    1022      95      92    0.26     556     539    
WED 18Z 17-JAN   2.1    -3.3    1019      92      78    0.15     552     537    
THU 00Z 18-JAN   0.6    -7.0    1019      73      52    0.01     549     533    
THU 06Z 18-JAN  -4.1    -9.4    1019      75       3    0.00     545     530


Providence

CODE
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: PVD    LAT=  41.73 LON=  -71.43 ELE=    62

                                            12Z JAN16
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK
TUE 12Z 16-JAN  -6.0    -5.2    1034      71      92    0.00     557     531    
TUE 18Z 16-JAN   2.4    -5.2    1031      57      83    0.00     558     533    
WED 00Z 17-JAN  -0.3    -4.8    1031      84      70    0.00     558     533    
WED 06Z 17-JAN   0.5    -4.4    1028      91      91    0.00     556     534    
WED 12Z 17-JAN   0.1    -3.2    1024      98      91    0.10     555     536    
WED 18Z 17-JAN   1.7     0.7    1016      98      85    0.25     552     540    
THU 00Z 18-JAN   0.5    -4.9    1016      94      72    0.03     548     535    
THU 06Z 18-JAN  -3.9    -9.5    1016      85       3    0.00     545     533    
THU 12Z 18-JAN  -8.5    -6.9    1016      78      47    0.00     545     532
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287994 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 12:26 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(Miller A @ Jan 16 2018, 12:20 PM) *
i killed the forum. no posts for 10 minutes?


Ice Breaker!

Current temps and Radar.. Mid 40s Atlantic City.

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287945 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 12:12 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Can we get all 3 Winter months below normal?

Happened only 5 times here last 17 yrs.

2000-01
2002-03
2003-04
2010-11
2013-14
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2287937 · Replies: · Views: 366,364

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 12:06 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Past 4 CFS runs have flipped to a colder February for Northern Tier and Northeast. There were quiet a few runs that had a warm ridge in the East..

Here's last 17 runs for February 2018 850mb Anomaly.

  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2287932 · Replies: · Views: 366,364

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 10:31 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(LUCC @ Jan 16 2018, 10:27 AM) *
And rain in NJ/NY. LOL rolleyes.gif


lol. Yeah, sorry.. Sometimes I wish every state can get in on the action and get over 6". That would be cool. Hey... Atlantic City is still way above normal with snowfall this year (1.6 feet above) but I don't think it's a widespread thing though.. Philly is 6" above norm. Willmington ,DE 4" above.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287856 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 10:28 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(Black05GSR @ Jan 16 2018, 10:26 AM) *
Poor man's weather station reporting for duty. Drainpipe, 1950's folding ruler and $4 Amazon thermometer that is 2 degrees warmer than actual.

This goes hand in hand with my $0.99 Staples ruler at work i use to track lows on my monitor laugh.gif sleep.gif


That is awesome! Not sure NWS would accept but I love it! Make things happen for little cost or with what we got on hand. At least you have a snowboard. Cool.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287855 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 10:24 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


6:15-10:15EST Radar loop with storm reports...


I was going to zoom in more but wanted to grab all areas. From Texas to New England!


Sleet and Ice in Texas.
1-4" across Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky. Some local spots little more.
Trace to 2" across Northern Gulf States.


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287850 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 07:29 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


It's always nice to be positive . biggrin.gif Especially when there's moisture and arctic air around. tongue.gif

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287763 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 07:03 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Snowfall total forecast pieced together from 10 different NWS Offices.

Attached Image


Attached Image



Another look

Source:

Source:

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287746 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 06:16 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864



2:10-6:10am loop


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287731 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 11:07 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(Solstice @ Jan 15 2018, 10:50 PM) *
That's an awful lot of snow reports coming in Indiana with no radar returns... Hmm. Interesting.


Most likely just flurries or very light snow similar to what happened to us the other day or eastern MA today but yeah, nice to see many stations reporting the white stuff.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287692 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 10:49 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Doesn't seem like the first time we saw this type of setup this winter. Talking about the Northeast movement of moisture across the U.S. Nice to see moisture continues to be around to give everyone that chance.

6:40-10:40pm loop

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287684 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 06:46 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


2:30-6:30pmEST. Those little specs of blue over Eastern MA causing some slick roads there with light snow and frz rain.

Paducah, Kentucky has more snow this season than Williamsport and Harrisburg PA...over 7" for the season

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287521 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 06:44 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


1:30-5:30pmCST

Interesting to see Southwest Kentucky getting snow again. They just had a snow event Friday the 12th.

Paducah has over 7" for the season

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287520 · Replies: · Views: 31,602

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 04:56 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Low stratus here all day

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/#/animat...thod=javascript

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287466 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 04:36 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(Blizz @ Jan 15 2018, 03:51 PM) *
I can't understand how they are based out of State College but only forecast for I-95. This can't be a serious map.


lol. What do you mean? Is there more for PA? I feel that's where the heaviest axis is, I didn't see much wrong with the map. Maybe little light for Southern VT.

QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Jan 15 2018, 03:51 PM) *
Been mentioning that since this morning - it's a game changer compared to most clippers.


Nice. I know I miss so many great posts here. I used to be able to catch up with them all. sad.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287453 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 04:32 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Here's a loop from the latest Hi Res NAM3km from 1pm tomorrow to 1pm Wednesday.


Looks like a quick hitter. It's showing 8 hours of snow for New Haven (coastal CT) area. 1am - 10am WEDNESDAY!


About 10 hours worth for Litchfield county (Northwest CT).

Looks like it slowed down a bit, now Wednesday morning seems the mess not Tuesday evening for CT/RI/MA


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287451 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 03:48 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Accu Snowfall forecast. Looks like created 3:32pm

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287424 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 03:47 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Very cool look! Without that piece (coastal storm) I don't think we would be seeing more than 2" anywhere in the Northeast.

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/...930031696793600

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287421 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 03:30 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Updated Current Alerts::

27 States have a Winter Weather Advisory in them. Another Source:

Winter Storm Warning
AR LA MI MS TX WI

Winter Storm Watch
CT IN LA MA ME MI MS NH NY RI VT

Winter Weather Advisory
AK AL AR CO GA IL IN KY LA MA MD MI MN MO MS NC ND NJ NY OH OK PA TN TX VA WI WV

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287406 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 01:56 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(Solstice @ Jan 15 2018, 01:46 PM) *
Yikes... that's the kinda gradient that causes heartbreaks.


The Merritt Parkway line. Lol
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287340 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 01:28 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Euro12z

https://twitter.com/EdValleeWx/status/952968189373280256

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287325 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 01:27 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(psu1313 @ Jan 15 2018, 01:23 PM) *
Would have to confirm with the skew-t but that looks like rain in NYC.


Looks like to start .. wonder how much would be wasted before the changeover.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287324 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 01:26 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Euro12z Total Precip Amounts:::

Concord: 0.71"
Bennington: 0.69"
Portland: 0.64"
Hartford: 0.63"
NYC: 0.59"
Worchester: 0.57"
Boston: 0.32"
Islip: 0.30"
Providence: 0.21"
Nantucket: 0.17"
Atlantic City: 0.10
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287323 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 01:20 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,075
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Euro12z..

NYC: 0.59" qpf

CODE
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: NYC    LAT=  40.77 LON=  -73.98 ELE=    89

                                            12Z JAN15
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK
MON 12Z 15-JAN  -6.7    -9.1    1039      62       5    0.00     556     526    
MON 18Z 15-JAN  -1.9    -7.8    1035      58       6    0.00     555     527    
TUE 00Z 16-JAN  -2.4    -8.1    1034      62      76    0.00     553     527    
TUE 06Z 16-JAN  -2.7    -7.6    1032      69      69    0.00     556     531    
TUE 12Z 16-JAN  -1.3    -5.0    1032      76      96    0.00     557     532    
TUE 18Z 16-JAN   4.1    -5.8    1029      71      80    0.00     557     533    
WED 00Z 17-JAN   3.0    -4.0    1028      89      70    0.03     556     534    
WED 06Z 17-JAN   1.4    -2.2    1024      98      85    0.29     554     535    
WED 12Z 17-JAN   0.9    -3.8    1022      92      98    0.26     553     535    
WED 18Z 17-JAN   1.6    -6.7    1020      60      78    0.01     548     532    
THU 00Z 18-JAN  -4.3    -9.5    1021      59       2    0.00     545     528


Hartford: 0.63" qpf

CODE
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: HFD    LAT=  41.73 LON=  -72.65 ELE=    16

                                            12Z JAN15
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK
MON 12Z 15-JAN -10.2    -8.9    1041      55       3    0.00     557     526    
MON 18Z 15-JAN  -4.5    -7.3    1037      47      10    0.00     555     527    
TUE 00Z 16-JAN  -5.6    -9.6    1035      49      27    0.00     553     526    
TUE 06Z 16-JAN  -6.9    -6.6    1033      44      69    0.00     554     529    
TUE 12Z 16-JAN  -8.2    -5.8    1033      54      96    0.00     555     530    
TUE 18Z 16-JAN  -0.2    -6.1    1031      59      96    0.00     555     531    
WED 00Z 17-JAN  -1.3    -5.7    1029      88      82    0.01     555     532    
WED 06Z 17-JAN  -0.1    -3.8    1025      97      95    0.10     553     533    
WED 12Z 17-JAN  -0.5    -1.9    1021      96      96    0.39     552     535    
WED 18Z 17-JAN   1.4    -5.1    1018      75      80    0.13     548     534    
THU 00Z 18-JAN  -5.5   -10.1    1019      71       2    0.00     544     529    
THU 06Z 18-JAN -11.7    -9.1    1018      78       5    0.00     540     526    
THU 12Z 18-JAN -12.8    -7.1    1016      80      20    0.00     543     531    
THU 18Z 18-JAN  -3.5    -8.0    1014      46       6    0.00     548     537    
FRI 00Z 19-JAN  -7.2    -4.7    1015      68      35    0.00     551     539    
FRI 06Z 19-JAN  -9.7    -3.7    1016      77      25    0.00     549     537    
FRI 12Z 19-JAN  -8.7    -4.3    1017      79      46    0.00     546     533


Atlantic City: 0.10" qpf

CODE
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: ACY    LAT=  39.45 LON=  -74.57 ELE=    66

                                            12Z JAN15
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK
MON 12Z 15-JAN  -4.0    -7.0    1036      72      14    0.00     557     530    
MON 18Z 15-JAN   2.3    -8.5    1033      62      25    0.00     556     531    
TUE 00Z 16-JAN   0.0    -7.9    1033      83      33    0.00     557     531    
TUE 06Z 16-JAN  -0.1    -4.1    1031      87      34    0.00     560     535    
TUE 12Z 16-JAN   1.4    -4.6    1031      87      67    0.00     561     536    
TUE 18Z 16-JAN   7.2    -3.7    1028      72      54    0.00     561     538    
WED 00Z 17-JAN   4.8    -0.7    1026      90      52    0.03     560     539    
WED 06Z 17-JAN   2.6     0.0    1023      96      48    0.05     558     540    
WED 12Z 17-JAN  -0.1    -3.7    1024      89      95    0.00     556     537    
WED 18Z 17-JAN  -0.4    -5.8    1022      48      89    0.02     551     534    
THU 00Z 18-JAN  -3.3    -6.9    1023      45      36    0.00     547     529    
THU 06Z 18-JAN  -7.0    -9.2    1022      62       6    0.00     541     524    
THU 12Z 18-JAN  -6.2    -6.0    1020      58      40    0.00     548     533
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2287320 · Replies: · Views: 41,466

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