 Dec. 31/Jan. 1st Winter Storm Plains/MW/GL/OV, Reality: Short Range 0-3 Days Forecasts |
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 Dec 30 2012, 06:08 PM
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#201
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Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Founding Member Posts: 3,101 Joined: 10-June 07 From: Columbia, Missouri Member No.: 6,288  |
QUOTE(CIWeather @ Dec 30 2012, 06:15 PM)  AccuWeather's thoughts... Who wants to guess the number of minutes accuweather actually spent forecasting before making that map ... I'm guessing about 1 minute ... looks to me like a replicate of the NAM using 5:1 ratios lol They do not consider that there is going to be a nearly stationary arctic front across Kansas/Northern MO that is going to have two significant shortwaves moving along it with abundant moisture available. I bet there are reports of 6+ inches in both Missouri and Kansas ... I attached the 21z RAP composite reflectivity valid at 15z tomorrow ...
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-------------------- All model guidance is just that, guidance. It is the responsibility of the forecaster to take that information, make it better, and to appropriately communicate the forecast to the users.
OHV / MIDWEST needs its own dedicated professional accuweather blogger ... |
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Dec 30 2012, 06:18 PM
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#202
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,539 Joined: 2-December 10 From: East Dubuque/Dubuque Member No.: 24,488 |
QUOTE(StL weatherjunkie @ Dec 30 2012, 07:08 PM) Who wants to guess the number of minutes accuweather actually spent forecasting before making that map ... I'm guessing about 1 minute ... looks to me like a replicate of the NAM using 5:1 ratios lol They do not consider that there is going to be a nearly stationary arctic front across Kansas/Northern MO that is going to have two significant shortwaves moving along it with abundant moisture available. I bet there are reports of 6+ inches in both Missouri and Kansas ... I attached the 21z RAP composite reflectivity valid at 15z tomorrow ... Thy precip shield is too far north, although I know that's not what you're looking at. I've never been a fan of the RAP simulated radar. |
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Dec 30 2012, 06:27 PM
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#203
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,538 Joined: 26-January 10 From: Springfield, IL Member No.: 21,113 |
QUOTE(ILStormwatcher @ Dec 30 2012, 04:02 PM) Last Minute Forecast and Obs thread for this system is now up! http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=30366 |
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Lo-Fi Version | Time is now: 26th May 2013 - 01:46 AM |