Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com
We have updated our Privacy Policy and our Cookie Policy effective May 25, 2018. Please review them.
X

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

14 Pages V  « < 9 10 11 12 13 > »   
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> California Weather 'El-Lipsis' ..., "Discuss amongst yourselves" Forecasts, guests, and fun
idecline
post Nov 14 2017, 08:21 PM
Post #201




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...nice bit of rainshowers overnight...again we have a large low forming in the GOA...and a tropical link too wink.gif
Attached File  isanepac.gif ( 860.48K ) Number of downloads: 0


...this is the IR satellite for a change...visible connection to forming low pressure west of California...
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 748.44K ) Number of downloads: 0


...and the WV loop confirms how much moisture is being entrained into this system to our north...the large low pressure in the GOA is spinning like a cog driving cooler air (troughing) southward...in the meanwhile it is augmenting the lift and convective abilities of this first system to pull through the Bay Area tomorrow...many are forecasting heavy rain in coastal mountains because of the high precipitation values in the moisture...

...by Thursday the real fun begins as the entire system to our north sags into the Bay Area...with potential for strong winds and rain into the weekend...hopefully with clearing after that... unsure.gif

...a definite "La Nada" storm... laugh.gif


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Nov 18 2017, 05:09 PM
Post #202




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...many places in the Bay Area saw over an inch of rain in the last storm...Thursday saw moderate rain ...
Attached File  isanepac.gif ( 876.56K ) Number of downloads: 0


...clearing was widespread on Friday...and overnight temperatures dropped significantly into Friday night...
...the famous 'ridge of La Nina' is still nowhere to be seen...yes...we have not had a tropical-type link for excessive rainfall this year...the Bay Area is getting it's somewhat normal chances for rainfall...now...
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 743.49K ) Number of downloads: 0


...if we look at the WV...not only is troughing starting to again roll over the big blocking high to our west...there looks to be a possible input from some 'tropical players' unsure.gif ( music? )with the next possible strong storm rolling down along the jet stream route made possible by our 'displace' blocker... dry.gif

OPC 48hr:
Attached File  P_48hrsfc.gif ( 295.42K ) Number of downloads: 0


...oceanic forecasts clearly show this is going to be a 'doozy'
OPC 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 299.36K ) Number of downloads: 0


...with some sub 980mb rocketship taking off towards Alaska(racing the HP for position)...or jettisoned to 'The Great White North' eh...?

...could this begin a pattern change entering the 1st week of December?...

...keep your eyes and ears open...

This post has been edited by idecline: Nov 18 2017, 05:33 PM


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Nov 21 2017, 08:18 PM
Post #203




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...the large storms in the GOA cannot seem to make their way south with the blocking HP causing stagnant progression...so the jet stays to the north and sends pieces of energy into the CONUS up around 50N...
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 723.88K ) Number of downloads: 0


...this WV loop looks like we could be having a "atmospheric river" type of situation, (see 2016-2017) but all cliches must come to their 'cul-de-sac'... dry.gif ...the postions of the HP and LP in the GOA are not the same
Attached File  P_48hrsfc.gif ( 301.18K ) Number of downloads: 0


...so California is just out of reach of much needed rainfall...and if progression of HP does occur into the EPAC?

...idee hints a mid-Winter 'dry' period will be occurring in California in early/mid December...then amplification?


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Nov 27 2017, 09:28 PM
Post #204




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...San Jose was mostly in the 'rain shadow' of the Santa Cruz Mountains yesterday...light sporadic showers...
...we were hit by heavier rain last night as the cold core of the trailing LP came through with gusty winds and some decent overnight cooler showers...today was steady NW winds with a few trailing clouds chasing the jet.
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 790.41K ) Number of downloads: 0

...the pattern looks to be shifting back into a 'zonal flow' for a few days...with a jet pushing at ~45N to 50N...
...the fly in the ointment (now that Rex is gone unsure.gif ) is that our NPAC highs seem to have returned to their oddly shaped elliptical E-W orientated high pressure system...both in the upper atmosphere and surface..
OPC 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 286.73K ) Number of downloads: 0

...even though there is not an 'atmospheric flow' bringing storms into California...there seems to be enough weakness in the atmosphere for some storms to dive into California...and giant extratropical storms are lining up in the queue...with the Aleutians as one stop...then heading somewhere between Juneau and down towards Victoria Island, BC as their targets...keeping the NorthWest in a wet regime with snows into the Cascades and Northern Rockies...
...look for 'our usual' warm, dry spell once the jet stream regulates into a more 'amplified' pattern in December...then into January...all bets are off... dry.gif

This post has been edited by idecline: Dec 23 2017, 07:43 PM


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Nov 29 2017, 07:46 PM
Post #205




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...again clear, seasonally warm temperatures today...jet to the north...HP ridge looks the same...squat and stout
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 709.99K ) Number of downloads: 0


...get ready for one last shot of shower potential for now...after the weekend...the giant lows in GOA look to retrograde...(do I hear anyone yelling "blocking" pattern moving in...?
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 291.16K ) Number of downloads: 0


...it may be that the 'December' mild weather and HP may move into California for a few days...


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 1 2017, 08:15 PM
Post #206




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...last chance for rain until mid-Decmber???
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 709.9K ) Number of downloads: 0


...a sagging front with a jet stream and GOA low too far north to create much lift leaves doubts about any rain

OPC 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 288.43K ) Number of downloads: 0


...and..."Heavens to Mergatroid"...is this the beginning of a two 'block party'... Stay Tuned ...


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 5 2017, 07:54 PM
Post #207




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...pressure gradient is finally waning...winds are not as gusty from the N/NW as they have been...cold lows tnt
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 798.84K ) Number of downloads: 0


...blocking high looks to centered over California/Great Basin for the next few days...strong GOA storms are being shunted up and over the ridge...and much of the energy is being recycled into the Aleutians/Bering Sea
Attached File  P_48hrsfc.gif ( 294.71K ) Number of downloads: 0


...looks to put California's weather in 'winter stasis' until Mr. 'Omega' decides to move to a different 'block'...
OPC 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 313.76K ) Number of downloads: 0


...high seems to remain strong at least through beginning of next week...let's see if any energy can undercut it...the warmer than average water near Baja is trying to become a 'convective' operative...SoCal is "Hot"
Attached File  isawvchpac.gif ( 813.69K ) Number of downloads: 0


...if the pattern finally progresses forward... huh.gif ...we may be back in the 'storm track' by the end of the month...


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 8 2017, 08:32 PM
Post #208




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...San Luis Rey Training center for Thoroughbred horses was impacted by the SoCal... ohmy.gif awful situation...
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 812.59K ) Number of downloads: 0

...the 'gradient is supposed to ease over the Southern California area this weekend...

Excerpt from AccuWeather News Story:
Weekly wrap-up: Elite racehorses feared dead in California wildfires as flames threaten thousands of structures
By Katy Galimberti, AccuWeather staff writer
December 08, 2017, 9:27:50 AM EST
QUOTE
Fires in Southern California have forced hundreds of thousands to evacuate and have caused damage to tens of thousands of structures this week.
The blazes created apocalyptic scenes in Los Angeles as people drove along busy highways next to raging fires.
Strong Santa Ana winds have created disastrous conditions in the region. The air in Los Angeles was the driest on record, according to the Los Angeles Times.
Wildfires erupted in San Diego County as well, threatening homes, schools and businesses.

Officials believe a dozen or so elite race horses died as flames tore through a training center near San Diego, the Los Angeles Times reported. The stables housed more than 450 horses, which were set free and encouraged to run as a fire overtook the property...(cont.)

This from Los Alamitos RaceCourse where racing was cancelled on Friday.
QUOTE
LOS ALAMITOS CANCELS ITS LIVE DAYTIME RACING PROGRAM ON FRIDAY, DECEMBER 8
CYPRESS, Calif. --- Los Alamitos Race Course has cancelled its live daytime Thoroughbred racing program scheduled for Friday, Dec. 8.
The decision to cancel the daytime racing program was made due to the tragic fire that swept through the San Luis Rey Downs training center in San Diego County. Several barns were destroyed by the fast-moving flames and an unknown number of horses did not survive.

“This is a tragic blow to the California Thoroughbred racing industry and of great sorrow to everyone,” said Jack Liebau, the vice-president of the Los Alamitos Racing Association. “We express our sympathy to the owners, trainers and caretakers of the horses victimized by this tragic event. We salute those who so bravely attempted to safeguard horses at San Luis Rey Downs in face of the swiftly approaching fire as well as those who transported horses to Del Mar under hazardous conditions and those who went to Del Mar to aid the horses moved there.”

...let's hope the fires now in Southern California can be put under control before more devastation occurs...

This post has been edited by idecline: Dec 12 2017, 03:58 PM


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 12 2017, 03:49 PM
Post #209




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...um...is the ridge out west moving anytime soon?...if you look at the WV loop from AccuWeather it looks likes this 'rock in the stream' is maybe even made of stone...hopefully all this energy being 'stored' up the Central NPAC will eventually get 'angry' and push this ridge away...some blunting of the 'top' this weekend...looks as if Washington and Oregon may get a little precipitation...
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 717.66K ) Number of downloads: 0

...OPC 96hr surface:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 284.91K ) Number of downloads: 0


...still seems that most storms are headed north into Alaska/Aleutians area with energy from jet emerging in Canadian Provinces and bringing energized cold CPa air down into the Northern tier of the CONUS to press southwards...a tropical cyclone 'Urduja' is just now strengthening off of the Phillipines southeast coast...we will see if this storm puts any 'kinks' into the progression of the pattern...long term the 'models' show that only any icy blast of Arctic cold air is what puts a end to this pattern...(and perhaps a few southern based bits of energy riding under the giant western ridge)...if may be the combination of these features that finally change this weak La Nina/La Nada winter ridge to 'move along'...otherwise Westerners may start with the "D" word talk... ohmy.gif

This post has been edited by idecline: Dec 12 2017, 03:57 PM


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 15 2017, 08:44 PM
Post #210




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...edge of a storm is going to move through tonight...clouds and a little more humidity...until tomorrow...
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 750.1K ) Number of downloads: 0

...after the 'dry' frontal passage the winds will revert to N to NE...creating gusty winds in the mountains...perhaps turning even more NE towards "offshore" conditions...meaning high fire danger...
OPC Pacific 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 297.98K ) Number of downloads: 0

...the ridge popped back up fairly resiliently in the 48hr surface map...96hr away gives a hint of another front
unsure.gif

This post has been edited by idecline: Dec 18 2017, 09:08 PM


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 18 2017, 09:03 PM
Post #211




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...here comes our 'chance' for rain... dry.gif ...looks like sprinkles...unless some energy materializes in tow..
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 676.66K ) Number of downloads: 0

...by Wednesday the front (mostly dry) will be draped over the Bay Area...then cool N/NW winds and cool days and nights around low 30's to low 40's...significant frost may reach into the sheltered valleys on Thu and Fri AM
OPC Pacific 48hr surface:
Attached File  P_48hrsfc.gif ( 298.64K ) Number of downloads: 0

...after the meager rain chances it appears that the high pressure will dig back in...albeit even a little more to the north...
OPC Pacifc 96hr (500mb):
Attached File  P_96hr500.gif ( 348.5K ) Number of downloads: 0

...California definitely needs some change in this pattern...come the New Year people will start echoing the "D" word...and the prospects in early January look very slim so far...perhaps the giant Vortex over the CONUS that is forecast into the new year will usher in a 'new' pattern...even if we have to get some minor precipitation from more southerly track storms, we will take it...even the NorthWest seems under the gun for dry... blink.gif
CPC forecast:
Attached File  814prcp.new.gif ( 44.26K ) Number of downloads: 0

...this is not a good sign...however idee is an 'experimental' entity...so here is an 'experimental' graphic...
Attached File  WK34prcp.gif ( 26.71K ) Number of downloads: 0

...idee hopes that MJO, PNA, EPO, ENSO, and the PDO can get 'their' acts together to be more 'experimental'... laugh.gif rolleyes.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

This post has been edited by idecline: Dec 18 2017, 09:07 PM


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 19 2017, 07:30 PM
Post #212




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...the moisture in 'tow' and augmentation of a southward moving LP gives us a decent shot for rain late tonight into tomorrow...hopefully this will 'dampen' not only the ground...it may 'dampen' the ability of our stubborn HP to bounce back so quickly...long term maps show the next system possibly getting just as far S...
Attached File  isanepac.gif ( 914.05K ) Number of downloads: 0


...the speckled clouds moving Counter-clockwise down the coast show a secondary 'front' forming in the wake of the cold front...this energy is driving the cold front south and augmenting potential lift and thus 'rainfall'...
if the low drives a little further south before moving entirely inland we may get cool unstable rain behind the first front into Wednesday afternoon...as the 'storm' pushes east into the Four Corners region...
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 708.86K ) Number of downloads: 0


...lots of energy and moisture is active the Eastern Pacific basin...what does OPC Pacific think later this week..
OPC 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 296.86K ) Number of downloads: 0


...huge ~1050mb high builds far into British Columbia...ridge looks vulnerable over Southern California...
can the 'southern' flow sneak underneath and give us much need rainfall into Southern and Central California ?


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 20 2017, 07:52 PM
Post #213




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...rain did slide through the SF Bay Area last night...front has moved inland and to our south...cold air behind.
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 715.9K ) Number of downloads: 0


...gusty N/NW winds into Thu./Fri...with cool to cold overnights...low 40's to near freezing...wind protected and more inland sheltered valleys in North Bay especially can expect below freezing temperatures next two nights...

OPC 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 285.3K ) Number of downloads: 0


...big high is rebuilding far to our north...with icy temperatures to plunge south from far Northern Canada...perhaps Christmas Day will bring us a warm-up and a few clouds... unsure.gif



--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 22 2017, 08:45 PM
Post #214




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...low's were below freezing in much of the SF Bay Area last night...we had a 1/4" of ice in one of the bird 'baths' made of plastic...not quite so cold for the next few nights...and are the lower portions of these high pressure becoming oblong instead of upright again (like 2016/17) ? ...we have a least a weaker ridge and high clouds the next few days...
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 714.52K ) Number of downloads: 0


...and forming further south in the GOA ...OPC 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 297.16K ) Number of downloads: 0


...seems we will be in a 'variable' pattern...until another 'buckle' appears in the atmosphere...weak La Nina???

...in case we don't see you until after the "Holidays"...have a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year...!!



--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 23 2017, 07:38 PM
Post #215




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





Attached File  isanepac.gif ( 855.14K ) Number of downloads: 0

...cloudy and cool during the day...high clouds should leave overnights low warmer...
Attached File  isawvcnepac__1_.gif ( 709.06K ) Number of downloads: 0


...good moisture flow will prevail for next few days...air and humidity not so 'dry' feeling for the Holiday...
Attached File  P_48hrsfc.gif ( 304.45K ) Number of downloads: 0

...and a Happy Holidays to All!!!

OPC 96hr (500mb) upper air:
Attached File  P_96hr500.gif ( 339.36K ) Number of downloads: 0


...with the large HP systems migrating so far north...a bit of weakness is developing at the bottom edge...
...large upper level lows are prevalent on this map...can they link up with southern flow coming into the New Year?

This post has been edited by idecline: Dec 23 2017, 07:48 PM


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 27 2017, 08:23 PM
Post #216




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...above average day time temperatures persist...(seems out of place after last season's rains)...cool at night.
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 716.6K ) Number of downloads: 0


...the West Coast is still stuck in a pattern of 're-cycling' low pressure systems sending some energy up and over the ridge...with much energy 'retrograding into the Bering Sea or even further east...it looks like a 'spin' cycle on a front load washer... dry.gif
OPC Pacific 48hr:
Attached File  P_48hrsfc.gif ( 307.57K ) Number of downloads: 0


...this map hints at a short period of semi-'zonal' flow...maybe a shower into Northern California...?
OPC 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 297.56K ) Number of downloads: 0


...this map seems to give that notion a 'heave-ho'...and the OPC 500mb upper air shows a 'triple play' in the Bering Sea...somebody is going to get very angry in the atmospheric 'agitation'...where will all of this go...?
Attached File  P_96hr500.gif ( 339.94K ) Number of downloads: 0


...interesting effects should start to trend very soon...a major re'adjustment' in upper air and jet stream... huh.gif

This post has been edited by idecline: Dec 27 2017, 09:00 PM


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 28 2017, 09:44 PM
Post #217




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





Attached File  P_48hrsfc.gif ( 313.1K ) Number of downloads: 0

Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 719.14K ) Number of downloads: 0

Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 299.11K ) Number of downloads: 0


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Dec 29 2017, 08:48 PM
Post #218




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 698.84K ) Number of downloads: 0

Attached File  P_48hrsfc.gif ( 308.29K ) Number of downloads: 0


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Jan 3 2018, 09:38 PM
Post #219




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





El-Lipsis weather did not have much time last week for forecasts...so the maps posted were for information...

The SF Bay Area is getting a rainstorm just in time for the new year...it is only January 3 and this is looking like a decent pattern is setting up for a series of productive fronts to roll through the West...
Attached File  isanepac.gif ( 782.28K ) Number of downloads: 0


...yes the aforementioned 'front' is sliding through at a very oblique angle...yet it still is bringing plenty of unsettled weather...
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 708.48K ) Number of downloads: 0


...the water vapor loop is very revealing about how much moist air is moving into our area...after a long dry period it is nice to see this much energy reaching the California coast...best of all this middle latitude pattern looks to continue for the next few days...
OPC Pacific 48hr:
Attached File  P_48hrsfc.gif ( 297.64K ) Number of downloads: 0


...this shows a nice set of 'chained lows' moving into WA/BC border area...with the other low into Juneau...
OPC 96hr:
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 287.83K ) Number of downloads: 0


...the 96 hr. surface map has a developing storm in the central NPacific...perhaps reaching 'hurricane' strength...the good trend is that this storm seems to stay further south...so with more zonal flow this storm (even if it is 'over-ripe') could be another round of wet weather...it certainly does look to be strong...

OPC 96hr: (500mb) upper air...
Attached File  P_96hr500.gif ( 341.71K ) Number of downloads: 0


...and the 'zonal' flow of the upper air only seems to put the jet aiming at the Northwest and West Coast...


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
idecline
post Jan 4 2018, 08:11 PM
Post #220




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,342
Joined: 27-May 10
From: uncertain
Member No.: 22,866





...another storm is about to come in from a southerly component...unusual (IMO) for a La Nina...
Attached File  isanepac.gif ( 845.34K ) Number of downloads: 0


...beautiful day ...southerly winds...high cirrus clouds and a large arm of cumulus sitting across the Santa Cruz Mountains...definitely all the signs of inclement weather on the way...the clouds are just filtering over the mountains now...rain is approaching soon...with a possible tropical tap..
Attached File  isawvcnepac.gif ( 728.98K ) Number of downloads: 0


...windy rainy conditions overnight into Friday...clearing into weekend as weak high pressure will move in...
...another perhaps stronger impulse looks ready for Monday night into Tuesday...
Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 298.42K ) Number of downloads: 0


...fire scorched areas will need to be watched for possible runoff problems...California really needs all the rain we can get ...when we can get it... smile.gif

BTW: from AccuWeather's San Jose Forecast page...70 broke the record high for January 4th of 66 degrees
QUOTE
DAY
70°HI
RealFeelŪ 68°
Precipitation 35%
The temperature breaking the record of 66 set in 2014 with considerable cloudiness


This post has been edited by idecline: Jan 4 2018, 08:26 PM


--------------------

"Science cannot solve the ultimate mystery of nature. And that is because, in the last analysis, we ourselves are part of nature and therefore part of the mystery that we are trying to solve."
- Max Planck

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

14 Pages V  « < 9 10 11 12 13 > » 
Reply to this topicStart new topic
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 23rd July 2018 - 12:31 PM