 Feb. 10-13th MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, Please Post Last Minute Forecast and OBS |
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  Jan 30 2012, 02:32 PM
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#1
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 3,926 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Mercerville, NJ Member No.: 16,588  |
Well here we are in the long range and I'm thinking this might be the one.
 12z GFS     The first time I saw you there In my world, I wasn't prepared And what i witnessed from your heart 'Cause I knew baby girl it was ready to start A fantasy that was all so true The way I felt, girl I knew That you and me, we were meant to be In this world for love, you were made for me Ohhh ohh, fantasy girl Your my fantasy girl I need you tonight --------------------  |
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Jan 30 2012, 02:41 PM
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#2
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,424 Joined: 13-January 08 From: Wernersville, PA (Berks Co.) Member No.: 12,448 |
Let me know when this is there 3 days out.
-------------------- Severe Weather 2013
Severe T-Storm Watch: 4/24, 6/13 Tornado Watch: 4/19 Flood Watch: 6/10-11, 6/13-14 |
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Jan 30 2012, 02:47 PM
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#3
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 684 Joined: 20-February 09 From: Jackson NJ Member No.: 17,642 |
QUOTE(LUCC @ Jan 30 2012, 03:32 PM)  Well here we are in the long range and I'm thinking this might be the one. 12z GFS The first time I saw you there In my world, I wasn't prepared And what i witnessed from your heart 'Cause I knew baby girl it was ready to start A fantasy that was all so true The way I felt, girl I knew That you and me, we were meant to be In this world for love, you were made for me Ohhh ohh, fantasy girl Your my fantasy girl I need you tonight I didn't know Stevie B is a forecaster
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Jan 30 2012, 02:49 PM
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#4
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,049 Joined: 5-February 09 From: Albany, NY Member No.: 17,493 |
Well, it looks like we have everyday covered for the next 2 weeks
Maybe one of them can do something more than 2" somwhere. -------------------- 2013 Thunder Storm Days: 4
Severe Watches: 4 Severe Warnings: 2 Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8" Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3" Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2" Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3" Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5" Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7" |
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Jan 30 2012, 02:50 PM
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#5
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 515 Joined: 31-January 11 From: Egg Harbor City, Southern Jersey Member No.: 25,320 |
QUOTE(LUCC @ Jan 30 2012, 02:32 PM) Well here we are in the long range and I'm thinking this might be the one. 12z GFS The first time I saw you there In my world, I wasn't prepared And what i witnessed from your heart 'Cause I knew baby girl it was ready to start A fantasy that was all so true The way I felt, girl I knew That you and me, we were meant to be In this world for love, you were made for me Ohhh ohh, fantasy girl Your my fantasy girl I need you tonight Wow! Is that really a 1058mb high it's showing lol I wonder what the highest ever recorded is. |
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Jan 30 2012, 02:50 PM
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#6
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,926 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Mercerville, NJ Member No.: 16,588 |
QUOTE(albanyweather @ Jan 30 2012, 02:49 PM) Well, it looks like we have everyday covered for the next 2 weeks Maybe one of them can do something more than 2" somwhere.
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Jan 30 2012, 03:13 PM
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#7
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,945 Joined: 30-December 08 From: Denver, PA Member No.: 16,714 |
QUOTE(AngeloinSJ @ Jan 30 2012, 02:50 PM) Wow! Is that really a 1058mb high it's showing lol I wonder what the highest ever recorded is. During the Great Arctic Outbreak of February 1899 there was a high in the 1055 to 1060MB range coming down from Canada. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/bro/researc...tbreak_1899.pdf http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Blizzard_of_1899 |
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 Jan 30 2012, 03:39 PM
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#8
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,161 Joined: 20-May 10 From: Melbourne Fla Member No.: 22,816 |
QUOTE(LUCC @ Jan 30 2012, 02:32 PM) Well here we are in the long range and I'm thinking this might be the one. 12z GFS The first time I saw you there In my world, I wasn't prepared And what i witnessed from your heart 'Cause I knew baby girl it was ready to start A fantasy that was all so true The way I felt, girl I knew That you and me, we were meant to be In this world for love, you were made for me Ohhh ohh, fantasy girl Your my fantasy girl I need you tonight WOW. That would be a good setup for a EC blizzard around the Saturday 2/11 timeframe. I think you would agree. |
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Jan 30 2012, 03:49 PM
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#9
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,095 Joined: 21-December 09 From: Clifton Park, NY Member No.: 20,500 |
QUOTE(albanyweather @ Jan 30 2012, 02:49 PM) Well, it looks like we have everyday covered for the next 2 weeks Maybe one of them can do something more than 2" somwhere. Here are the odds: Newfoundland: 2-1 Nova Scotia: 4-1 Northern Quebec: 1-5 Southern Quebec: 3-1 Upstate Maine: 3-1 Coastal Maine: 6-1 VT/NH: 5-1 Northern Upstate NY: 4-1 Rest of Upstate NY: 7-1 Western NY: 12-1 Southern NE: 20-1 NYC: 60-1 Northern NJ/PA: 30-1 Southern NJ/PA: 80-1 Coastal NJ: 120-1 South of the Mason/Dixon Line: 600-1 Place your bets.
-------------------- First Day above 60: April 8
First Day above 65: April 18 First Day above 70: April 19 First Day above 75: May 1 First Day above 80: May 2 First Day above 85: May 21 First Day above 90: May 31 First Day above 95: |
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Jan 30 2012, 03:55 PM
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#10
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 721 Joined: 17-January 08 Member No.: 12,622 |
I dont know if it would hit blizzard proportions since the pressure of theat Low is relatively high. So I don't think it would create high winds. But i won't be there by tomorrow anyway so no need to worry.
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Jan 30 2012, 04:15 PM
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#11
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,446 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
I have trust in this thread... not for a huge snowstorm but at least for some snow to accumulate possibly if everything goes right. This is in my time frame of Feb 5-15 for the snowstorm potential and if the set up is supportive, either this or a later/earlier storm could hopefully be it.
-------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
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Jan 30 2012, 04:17 PM
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#12
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,126 Joined: 12-February 10 From: Blue Mtn, N of Hbg - Elev 1000' Member No.: 21,746 |
GFS (Bullwinkle) - Hey Rocky, watch me pull a rabbit out of my hat.
Posters (as Rocky) - Again? That trick never works. GFS (BW) - nothing up my sleeve (tears sleeve off jacket - reaches into hat) Presto! Hat: Lions head roars out of hat GFS (BW) - (stuffing lion's head back down into hat) Hmm, must be time for a new hat. Rocky - Hokey Smokes Bullwinkle! And now for something we hope you'll really like (lead into next model run) This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Jan 30 2012, 04:20 PM |
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Jan 30 2012, 04:20 PM
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#13
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,945 Joined: 30-December 08 From: Denver, PA Member No.: 16,714 |
QUOTE(east coast storm @ Jan 30 2012, 03:39 PM) WOW. That would be a good setup for a EC blizzard around the Saturday 2/11 timeframe. I think you would agree. February 11 would be the 29th anniversary of the Megalopolis Snowstorm of 1983 http://www.network54.com/Forum/506030/thre...TORM+%281983%29 |
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Jan 30 2012, 04:22 PM
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#14
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,926 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Mercerville, NJ Member No.: 16,588 |
QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Jan 30 2012, 04:15 PM) I have trust in this thread... not for a huge snowstorm but at least for some snow to accumulate possibly if everything goes right. This is in my time frame of Feb 5-15 for the snowstorm potential and if the set up is supportive, either this or a later/earlier storm could hopefully be it. The funny thing is there are two lows that come up the coast between 2/10 and 2/13.
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Jan 30 2012, 04:46 PM
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#15
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,122 Joined: 9-December 09 From: Hatfield, PA Member No.: 20,122 |
QUOTE(paletitsnow63 @ Jan 30 2012, 04:20 PM) February 11 would be the 29th anniversary of the Megalopolis Snowstorm of 1983 http://www.network54.com/Forum/506030/thre...TORM+%281983%29 That is because it actually misses the phase that would make this thing a hurricane lol. Interesting for sure. I am liking the potential. |
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Jan 30 2012, 06:16 PM
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#16
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,569 Joined: 9-January 08 Member No.: 12,166 |
QUOTE(goblue96 @ Jan 30 2012, 03:49 PM) Here are the odds: Newfoundland: 2-1 Nova Scotia: 4-1 Northern Quebec: 1-5 Southern Quebec: 3-1 Upstate Maine: 3-1 Coastal Maine: 6-1 VT/NH: 5-1 Northern Upstate NY: 4-1 Rest of Upstate NY: 7-1 Western NY: 12-1 Southern NE: 20-1 NYC: 60-1 Northern NJ/PA: 30-1 Southern NJ/PA: 80-1 Coastal NJ: 120-1 South of the Mason/Dixon Line: 600-1 Place your bets. at this rate the METS have a better chance at having a winning record then nyc/li has of getting a snowstorm. -------------------- Long Island - best place to live, period
snowfall for Syosset (north shore nassau county) winter 12-13 total snow - 45" winter 11-12 (the winter that never was) total snow for syosset ~ 3" winter 10-11 total snow for syosset ~ 63" winter 09-10 snowfall - 59.5" |
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Jan 30 2012, 06:18 PM
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#17
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 628 Joined: 6-January 10 From: Edgewood, MD (20 miles NE of Baltimore) Member No.: 20,790 |
QUOTE(goblue96 @ Jan 30 2012, 03:49 PM) Here are the odds: Newfoundland: 2-1 Nova Scotia: 4-1 Northern Quebec: 1-5 Southern Quebec: 3-1 Upstate Maine: 3-1 Coastal Maine: 6-1 VT/NH: 5-1 Northern Upstate NY: 4-1 Rest of Upstate NY: 7-1 Western NY: 12-1 Southern NE: 20-1 NYC: 60-1 Northern NJ/PA: 30-1 Southern NJ/PA: 80-1 Coastal NJ: 120-1 South of the Mason/Dixon Line: 600-1 Place your bets. I got $20 on south of the mason/dixon line. |
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Jan 30 2012, 06:41 PM
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#18
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 873 Joined: 29-January 10 From: Arlington, VA Member No.: 21,194 |
QUOTE(MDSnowKing @ Jan 30 2012, 06:18 PM) I got $20 on south of the mason/dixon line. With those odds you'd be a fool not to! |
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Jan 30 2012, 06:49 PM
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#19
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,095 Joined: 21-December 09 From: Clifton Park, NY Member No.: 20,500 |
Suckers bet.
-------------------- First Day above 60: April 8
First Day above 65: April 18 First Day above 70: April 19 First Day above 75: May 1 First Day above 80: May 2 First Day above 85: May 21 First Day above 90: May 31 First Day above 95: |
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Jan 30 2012, 08:21 PM
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#20
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,926 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Mercerville, NJ Member No.: 16,588 |
Gone on the 18z GFS! LMAO
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