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> Feb15-17th Northeast/Mid-Atlantic winterstorm Obs
Antm50jr
post Feb 16 2016, 03:26 PM
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Latest 20Z MSLP Pressure and 3-Hour Pressure Change:





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beastieboy101
post Feb 16 2016, 03:24 PM
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QUOTE(Antm50jr @ Feb 16 2016, 03:07 PM) *
I don't think this deserves its own thread but current 19Z MSLP pressure and 3-hour change as well as radar:
Notice that forecasted low in Western TN. Interesting how bigger pressure falls are more South of it as well as the Florida panhandle area. huh.gif NAM has some of us getting snow showers early this AM but I'll keep watching it now just for fun smile.gif


I have watched this storm all day. Very interesting little shortwave. I don't think the lower rez models are picking up on it that well. HRRR and 4k NAM continue to show some of that precip reaching lower NoVA tonight. Just starting to get radar returns at the tip of VA. Will be fun to watch. Maybe surprise a few peeps.


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Located here : 38.56314, -77.33113 or 3833'47.3"N 7719'52.1"W
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LUCC
post Feb 16 2016, 03:29 PM
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60 and partly sunny this Saturday. :b


--------------------

Winter '16-'17 Snow total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Snow total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Snow total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Snow total: 62.0"
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Antm50jr
post Feb 16 2016, 03:30 PM
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QUOTE(beastieboy101 @ Feb 16 2016, 03:24 PM) *
I have watched this storm all day. Very interesting little shortwave. I don't think the lower rez models are picking up on it that well. HRRR and 4k NAM continue to show some of that precip reaching lower NoVA tonight. Just starting to get radar returns at the tip of VA. Will be fun to watch. Maybe surprise a few peeps.

Yeah I agree. Crazy to think it was 57 degrees 9 AM this morning here and rain this afternoon, now it could snow tomorrow morning. #ElNinoWinters laugh.gif
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longislander
post Feb 16 2016, 03:28 PM
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Very strong wind gusts along the south shore of LI, power reported out in some parts of town.
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telejunkie
post Feb 16 2016, 05:30 PM
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Definitely interested to see how this storm shakes things up for the local ski areas. Guessing a couple may need to close...painful for President's week. Are the smaller areas even gonna bother starting their snowmaking systems again only to see another run at 50F this weekend?
Temperature back down to 50F and the last of the rain coming down.


--------------------
Winter '16-'17 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
11/20-11/22 - 8" 1/24 - 7" 4/1 - 4"
12/11 - 5" 2/9 - 8"
12/17 - 4" 2/12 - 10"
12/29 - 5" 3/14 - 18"

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 77"
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Thunderblizzard
post Feb 16 2016, 06:55 PM
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20k without power in CT. I also lost it for about 2 hours or so.


--------------------

2010-2011 Snowfall: Nov: 0.5" | Dec: 10.2" | Jan: 53.4" | Feb: 9.2" | Mar: 2.0" | Apr: 0.5" | Total: 75.8"

2011-2012 Snowfall: Oct: 12.0" | Nov: 0.0" | Dec: T | Jan: 9.2" | Feb: 5.5" | Total: 26.7"

2012-2013 Snowfall: Nov: 11.2" | Dec: 13.2" | Jan: 5.5" | Feb: 34.5" | Mar: 14.5" | Total: 78.9"

2013-2014 Snowfall: Nov: T | Dec: 11.7" | Jan: 13.3" | Feb: 35.6" | Mar: 4.0" | Apr: 0.5" | Total: 65.1"

2014-2015 Snowfall: Nov: 3.0" | Dec: 0.2" | Jan: 24.0" | Feb: 35.2" | Mar: 14.4" | Total: 76.8"

2015-2016 Snowfall: Oct: T | Nov: 0.0" | Dec: 1.5" | Jan: 8.9" | Feb: 18.5" | Mar: 3.7" | Apr: 6.9" | Total: 39.5"

2016-2017 Snowfall: Oct: 0.5" | Nov: 1.4" | Dec: 9.4" | Jan: 14.9" | Feb: 20.8" | Mar: 17.9" | Apr: 0.1" | Total: 65.0"

7-Year Snowfall Average: Oct: 1.7" | Nov: 2.3" | Dec: 6.6" | Jan: 18.4" | Feb 22.7" | Mar: 8.0" | Apr: 1.1" | Total: 60.8"
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beastieboy101
post Feb 16 2016, 09:49 PM
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Light precip is really filling in now in Central VA

This post has been edited by beastieboy101: Feb 16 2016, 09:50 PM


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Located here : 38.56314, -77.33113 or 3833'47.3"N 7719'52.1"W
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stormsurf
post Feb 16 2016, 11:22 PM
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QUOTE(telejunkie @ Feb 16 2016, 05:30 PM) *
Definitely interested to see how this storm shakes things up for the local ski areas. Guessing a couple may need to close...painful for President's week. Are the smaller areas even gonna bother starting their snowmaking systems again only to see another run at 50F this weekend?
Temperature back down to 50F and the last of the rain coming down.


Speaking of this...I was looking at Killingtons total so far (which was sitting at 42" when I looked over the weekend) and then I looked at their yearly totals dating back to the late 80s. They've only had 2 years under 190" in their last 19 (with the lowest being 152"). They look to shatter that record this year possibly, they need a 2 ft storm to go along with several 6-8"ers just to sniff the century mark!

Crazy.

I have plans to be in Stratton for 4 days 3/6-3/9...luckily for me my place we are staying is free, so even if we don't board im sure we can find some things to do. Plenty of breweries to tour, I'm sure my 2 year old will love that laugh.gif
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STEVE392
post Feb 17 2016, 12:16 AM
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anyone have rain totals for bergen and essex county,nj? Was at newark airport picking up the girlfriend and while in terminal a i was watching the planes taxi out off the tarmac. Within seconds it went from just wind blown rain to absolute torrential downpour and nothing could be seen past 10 feet in front of me. Everything disappeared in the rains.
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Mike W IN herkim...
post Feb 17 2016, 06:20 AM
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Finished with 5.5" of concrete.. Best thing about the storm was I didn't lose my Snowpack, it only made it stronger lol


--------------------
Seasonal Snowfall 95/96-Current

2016-2017 Snowfall 160.2
2015-2016 Snowfall 106.2"
Source

Top 5 snowiest winters of the past 20 years

1)95/96- 273.9"
2)03/04- 255.4"
3)10/11- 247.3"
4)00/01- 244.0"
5)06/07- 232.6"

My PWS
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kpk33x
post Feb 17 2016, 08:54 AM
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We got about 4" then ice then rain.

The inversions were very interesting yesterday. The cold air was very slow to scour out, so we sat at 33F until about 5PM. Then suddenly the winds came and we jumped to 42F in half an hour.

Going out last night was an adventure due to ice, fog, and swings in temperature. On the 15 minute drive to hockey around 7:45, I started at 42F at my house, descended about 250-300 feet to North Conway, where it dropped all the way to 36F. There was a layer of thick (I couldn't see 100 yards) fog in between. Then back up a little bit to the other end of Conway where it was 47F. After the game it was 50F yet the parking lot was a sheet of ice, it dipped to 41F by the time I got home. My guess is the last inch of cold air at the surface couldn't be touched even though at head level it was a mild spring night.


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Autumn 2017 - Mahomet, IL

First day with...
...Low below 40F:
...Frost:
...First sub-freezing low:
...Snow reported:

Foliage: Some color starting to show (Sept. 14)
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jdrenken
post Feb 17 2016, 09:51 AM
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Bringing back my rule by looking at the WPC anomaly correction charts...remember what I kept saying?

#organicforecasting

Day 6


Day 7


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