Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com
We have updated our Privacy Policy and our Cookie Policy effective May 25, 2018. Please review them.
X

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

3 Pages V   1 2 3 >  
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> March 6th-8th Storm, Looks Likely To Throw Down Some Snow In S/E ON
travis3000
post Mar 3 2018, 02:07 PM
Post #1




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,900
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





A low from out west will cross Southern ON on Tuesday bringing with it a band of snow. The energy will be weakening as a new low forms at the coast into a powerful nor'easter. NYC through Maine and up into New Brunswick look to take a direct hit with 20-40cm of heavy snow.

Here in Ontario we will be getting snow and some rain, just not as much. The system will be in a bit of disarray as it breaks up over the Great Lakes and reforms further east. Still, expect periods of light to moderate snow (or rain) from Tuesday right into Thursday morning. Temperatures will be close to freezing, so expect some rain to mixed in as well. Higher elevations may do better then the lower warmer valleys.

Here's a few runs from today:


12z Euro
Attached File  ESnow.png ( 124.97K ) Number of downloads: 7


12z GFS

Attached File  Screen_Shot_2018_03_03_at_11.28.45_AM.jpg ( 500.91K ) Number of downloads: 7


12z CMC

Attached File  Screen_Shot_2018_03_03_at_2.06.15_PM.jpg ( 460.29K ) Number of downloads: 5


This post has been edited by travis3000: Mar 3 2018, 02:09 PM


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
kush61
post Mar 4 2018, 07:55 AM
Post #2




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 162
Joined: 6-January 09
From: Western end of L. Ontario
Member No.: 16,767





Thank-you travis3000
Attached File(s)
Attached File  gem_asnow_us_20.png ( 108.67K ) Number of downloads: 6
 
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
kush61
post Mar 4 2018, 08:15 AM
Post #3




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 162
Joined: 6-January 09
From: Western end of L. Ontario
Member No.: 16,767





From the American Forum..
Attached File(s)
Attached File  MaineJay.PNG ( 122.85K ) Number of downloads: 5
Attached File  post_28288_1520163678_1_.gif ( 1.95MB ) Number of downloads: 2
 
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
kush61
post Mar 4 2018, 08:21 AM
Post #4




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 162
Joined: 6-January 09
From: Western end of L. Ontario
Member No.: 16,767





From American Forum...
Attached File(s)
Attached File  Undertakerson.PNG ( 89.24K ) Number of downloads: 3
Attached File  post_21746_1520165462_1_.gif ( 957.98K ) Number of downloads: 2
Attached File  post_21746_1520165523_thumb.jpg ( 32K ) Number of downloads: 1
 
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
kush61
post Mar 4 2018, 08:28 AM
Post #5




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 162
Joined: 6-January 09
From: Western end of L. Ontario
Member No.: 16,767





Apparently this storm is colder than Thursdays, but a lot less precipitation.

This post has been edited by kush61: Mar 4 2018, 08:29 AM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Mar 4 2018, 10:22 AM
Post #6




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,900
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





Yes it weakening as it moves into our region meaning limited precipitation to work with.

Now the models are showing March 12-13th for the big daddy, CMC showing 30-35cm across Southern ON. Euro showed that yesterday. Def look out for this time frame.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Lake effect
post Mar 4 2018, 11:53 AM
Post #7




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,773
Joined: 17-December 12
From: Barrie
Member No.: 27,345





I'm a bit more optimistic on the LES front on Friday and Saturday after this one. Depends how much ice reforms on GB, and how cold the winds are, but could be a good 10-15cms in some parts.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Mar 5 2018, 09:49 AM
Post #8




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,900
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





06z GFS

Attached File  Screen_Shot_2018_03_05_at_9.42.13_AM.jpg ( 552.96K ) Number of downloads: 8


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
plowguy
post Mar 5 2018, 10:18 AM
Post #9




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 758
Joined: 17-February 09
From: brantford
Member No.: 17,615





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Mar 5 2018, 09:49 AM) *
06z GFS

Attached File  Screen_Shot_2018_03_05_at_9.42.13_AM.jpg ( 552.96K ) Number of downloads: 8

Travis, this is a 3 day on and off thing isn't it? Will the daytime temps affect accumulation on roadways in your opinion?
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Mar 5 2018, 11:16 AM
Post #10




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,900
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





^ Temps will be marginal. Tuesday through Tuesday night the best chance of accumulting snows will be over higher ground on top of the escarpment. The GTA up into Barrie will be around 1C on Tuesday keeping it as wet snow so minimal accumulation. Keep in mind this isn't an organized system, its a weakening low pressure being decimated as it comes over the Great Lakes, energy is being shifted into the nor-easter. So it will be broken bands of wet snow/rain that will circle over the area, at times being enhanced by Lake Huron. It's conceivable that areas on top of escarpment (Mount Forest, Flesherton, Dundalk, Shelburne, Orangeville, Kitchener, Guelph) pick up a slushy 5-15cm over the 3 day period.

Wednesday looks like the warmest day, highs near 3-5C across Southern ON. Wednesday night more snows will affect the escarpment areas as temps drop back below 0C. By Thursday we are back to the situation we were at Tuesday, above 0C highs across the GTA up to Barrie, near 0C on top of escarpment.

So basically IMO this week is a total non event for Greater Toronto Area up to Barrie. If you live from Kitchener to Dundalk Highlands (above 1000ft) then you will see some accumulating snows.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
plowguy
post Mar 5 2018, 11:17 AM
Post #11




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 758
Joined: 17-February 09
From: brantford
Member No.: 17,615





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Mar 5 2018, 11:16 AM) *
^ Temps will be marginal. Tuesday through Tuesday night the best chance of accumulting snows will be over higher ground on top of the escarpment. The GTA up into Barrie will be around 1C on Tuesday keeping it as wet snow so minimal accumulation. Keep in mind this isn't an organized system, its a weakening low pressure being decimated as it comes over the Great Lakes, energy is being shifted into the nor-easter. So it will be broken bands of wet snow/rain that will circle over the area, at times being enhanced by Lake Huron. It's conceivable that areas on top of escarpment (Mount Forest, Flesherton, Dundalk, Shelburne, Orangeville, Kitchener, Guelph) pick up a slushy 5-15cm over the 3 day period.

Wednesday looks like the warmest day, highs near 3-5C across Southern ON. Wednesday night more snows will affect the escarpment areas as temps drop back below 0C. By Thursday we are back to the situation we were at Tuesday, above 0C highs across the GTA up to Barrie, near 0C on top of escarpment.

So basically IMO this week is a total non event for Greater Toronto Area up to Barrie. If you live from Kitchener to Dundalk Highlands (above 1000ft) then you will see some accumulating snows.

Thanks! I'm in Brantford so it sounds like a relative non event for us...which is ok by me.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Mar 5 2018, 11:29 AM
Post #12




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,900
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





Yellow area= high elevation zone, highest chance of a slushly 5-15cm between Tuesday and Thursday
Purple Area= lower elevation, basically a non event of rain and wet snow that wont accumulate beyond a possible dusting.

Attached File  Map_Elevation.jpg ( 101.46K ) Number of downloads: 6



--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Mar 5 2018, 11:30 AM
Post #13




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,900
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





QUOTE(plowguy @ Mar 5 2018, 11:17 AM) *
Thanks! I'm in Brantford so it sounds like a relative non event for us...which is ok by me.


Yes, Brantford shouldnt get much, higher elevations to your north are at higher risk.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Mar 5 2018, 12:44 PM
Post #14




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,900
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





12z NAM for this week

Attached File  Screen_Shot_2018_03_05_at_12.43.30_PM.jpg ( 494.3K ) Number of downloads: 6


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Stl
post Mar 5 2018, 01:25 PM
Post #15




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 290
Joined: 3-December 12
From: Montreal (Saint-Leonard)
Member No.: 27,276





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Mar 5 2018, 12:44 PM) *
12z NAM for this week

Attached File  Screen_Shot_2018_03_05_at_12.43.30_PM.jpg ( 494.3K ) Number of downloads: 6



Look's good for here but we will wait until we get there.

This post has been edited by Stl: Mar 5 2018, 01:29 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MrMusic
post Mar 5 2018, 02:45 PM
Post #16




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 4,590
Joined: 6-February 13
Member No.: 28,218





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Mar 5 2018, 11:29 AM) *
Yellow area= high elevation zone, highest chance of a slushly 5-15cm between Tuesday and Thursday
Purple Area= lower elevation, basically a non event of rain and wet snow that wont accumulate beyond a possible dusting.

Attached File  Map_Elevation.jpg ( 101.46K ) Number of downloads: 6


fine with me...all this warm sun has me ready for spring. The snow is totally gone. Winter was a-ok in my books. Let's get through this chilly week and hope for a pattern change.


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
plowguy
post Mar 5 2018, 03:25 PM
Post #17




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 758
Joined: 17-February 09
From: brantford
Member No.: 17,615





QUOTE(MrMusic @ Mar 5 2018, 02:45 PM) *
fine with me...all this warm sun has me ready for spring. The snow is totally gone. Winter was a-ok in my books. Let's get through this chilly week and hope for a pattern change.

I like the way you think Mr Music!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
BIG Snowstorms
post Mar 5 2018, 05:21 PM
Post #18




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 590
Joined: 8-February 09
From: Hamilton, ON
Member No.: 17,515





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Mar 4 2018, 10:22 AM) *
Yes it weakening as it moves into our region meaning limited precipitation to work with.

Now the models are showing March 12-13th for the big daddy, CMC showing 30-35cm across Southern ON. Euro showed that yesterday. Def look out for this time frame.


Is this storm still on the radar?
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Lake effect
post Mar 5 2018, 07:45 PM
Post #19




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,773
Joined: 17-December 12
From: Barrie
Member No.: 27,345





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Mar 5 2018, 11:29 AM) *
Yellow area= high elevation zone, highest chance of a slushly 5-15cm between Tuesday and Thursday
Purple Area= lower elevation, basically a non event of rain and wet snow that wont accumulate beyond a possible dusting.

Attached File  Map_Elevation.jpg ( 101.46K ) Number of downloads: 6


Holy Cow, I didn't realize were that close to the Rockies here in Barrie...how come I can't see those mountains?
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Apocalypse
post Mar 5 2018, 07:49 PM
Post #20




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 357
Joined: 18-September 12
From: Toronto, Ontario
Member No.: 26,935





QUOTE(Lake effect @ Mar 5 2018, 07:45 PM) *
Holy Cow, I didn't realize were that close to the Rockies here in Barrie...how come I can't see those mountains?


I must say, having lived in BC for a long time, the "mountains" here in the east are like hills.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

3 Pages V   1 2 3 >
Reply to this topicStart new topic
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 20th June 2018 - 11:54 PM