 Jan 29 - 30th MW/Plains/OV/Great Lakes Clipper, Reality: Short Range [0-4 days] |
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 Jan 26 2012, 10:12 AM
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#1
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16  |
12Z NAM shows a 2nd clipper coming in between the 29th and 30th. I did not see a topic for this already but if so Sorry..Missed it
 12Z NAM 24 hour snow at hour 84: 
This post has been edited by RobB: Jan 26 2012, 10:12 AM -------------------- |
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Jan 26 2012, 10:38 AM
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#2
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 10,997 Joined: 17-February 08 From: Columbus Member No.: 13,767 |
we're just mowing down these clipper threads Rob
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Jan 26 2012, 10:40 AM
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#3
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 26 2012, 10:38 AM)  we're just mowing down these clipper threads Rob I am trying to grab onto anything I can to see some flakes bud
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Jan 26 2012, 11:01 AM
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#4
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
Coming in to ND at hour 54:
12Z GFS at hour 54: 
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Jan 26 2012, 11:02 AM
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#5
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
12Z GFS at hour 60:
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Jan 26 2012, 11:05 AM
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#6
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
12Z GFS at hour 66:
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Jan 26 2012, 11:05 AM
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#7
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
12Z GFS at hour 72:
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Jan 26 2012, 11:06 AM
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#8
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
GFS is meh with this...I might as well continue to post it out to hour 84..
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Jan 26 2012, 11:08 AM
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#9
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
12Z GFS at hour 78:
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Jan 26 2012, 11:11 AM
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#10
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
12Z GFS at hour 84:
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Jan 26 2012, 11:12 AM
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#11
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
12Z GFS at hour 90:
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Jan 26 2012, 11:12 AM
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#12
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
12Z GFS 24 hour snowfall at hour 84:
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Jan 26 2012, 03:53 PM
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#13
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,584 Joined: 30-December 08 From: Dayton,OH Member No.: 16,713 |
This clipper looks a little stronger on the 18z NAM compared to the 12z NAM. Rob you got a snowfall map you can post for this run?
-------------------- # of T-Storm Watches:2
# of Tornado Watches: # of T-Storm Warnings: # of Tornado Warnings: |
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Jan 26 2012, 03:59 PM
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#14
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Jan 26 2012, 03:53 PM) This clipper looks a little stronger on the 18z NAM compared to the 12z NAM. Rob you got a snowfall map you can post for this run? 
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Jan 27 2012, 10:22 AM
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#15
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
12Z NAM 24 hour snowfall at hour 60:
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Jan 28 2012, 02:26 PM
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#16
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,040 Joined: 29-May 10 From: Delton, MI Member No.: 22,879 |
This should be a solid 3-5", locally 6" event in southern MI. Very impressive looking lift and what appears to be a trowal feature as well. Brief but intense snowstorm. I'd imagine some advisories will be coming out later this evening. Might be the biggest snowfall of the season for a few places actually towards Detroit. Wouldn't shock me to see widespread 4"+ amounts. I'm thinking between I-94 and I-96 in western MI and I-94 and I-69 in eastern MI will be the best spots for the higher amounts. Should be a nice storm.
-------------------- ChsChargers09 - Please be aware that there is a significant chance I was being sarcastic in the above comment. Thank you.
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Jan 28 2012, 02:35 PM
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#17
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,145 Joined: 19-January 08 From: Delaware, OH (20 miles north of Columbus) Member No.: 12,737 |
QUOTE(CMeyers @ Jan 28 2012, 02:26 PM) This should be a solid 3-5", locally 6" event in southern MI. Very impressive looking lift and what appears to be a trowal feature as well. Brief but intense snowstorm. I'd imagine some advisories will be coming out later this evening. Might be the biggest snowfall of the season for a few places actually towards Detroit. Wouldn't shock me to see widespread 4"+ amounts. I'm thinking between I-94 and I-96 in western MI and I-94 and I-69 in eastern MI will be the best spots for the higher amounts. Should be a nice storm. What are you basing those snow amounts on? Here are the 12z gfs/nam totals...  
This post has been edited by JymGanahlRocks: Jan 28 2012, 02:36 PM |
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Jan 28 2012, 02:45 PM
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#18
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,538 Joined: 26-January 10 From: Springfield, IL Member No.: 21,113 |
Here's the 12Z WRF-NMM, doesn't look like much for anyone, let alone a 4-6" typed event
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Jan 28 2012, 04:31 PM
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#19
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,040 Joined: 29-May 10 From: Delton, MI Member No.: 22,879 |
They just issued an advisory for 3-6" in SW MI and that will probably translate (though more like 2-4") towards the SE parts of MI. Lake enhancement is not a huge factor with this storm thanks partially to lack of real cold air. Dynamics are very impressive even if moisture is somewhat lacking. RUC showing a band of 2-4" through southern lower MI as well. Those amounts have been coming up and I expect them to keep doing so. I see this as a 4-6" event in SW MI (south of I-96 mainly) and a 2-4" event in SE MI (south of I-69). We shall see. With winds it'll get pretty nasty out for a while too. Should be a high ratio snow also which I suppose could increase numbers.
-------------------- ChsChargers09 - Please be aware that there is a significant chance I was being sarcastic in the above comment. Thank you.
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Jan 28 2012, 05:17 PM
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#20
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,080 Joined: 18-October 09 From: Toronto, Ontario Member No.: 19,500 |
This is where he is getting it from:
    total:  looks like a solid 2-4" event, with perhaps some 4-6" in there as well... It looks like very heavy snow for a short period of time... Should be cool and hopefully it will translate horizontally into southern Ontario as well. 
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