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EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
37 years old
Central Delaware
Born Nov-11-1981
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12 Dec 2017
Below is an AFD for the MT Holly Region. There has been some confusion on the initial storm threat for the 15th/16th thread that was created earlier this week. It seems that the evolution of the pattern has popped out another clipper passing through in this time frame (13-14th) and doesn't seem to have been captured in our thread discussions. This is my first time opening up a thread, so forgive me if some of the information is not normal board protocol.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
300 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

A cold front will move across the region this evening, and then
high pressure passes south of the region on Wednesday. Several
weak low pressure systems will impact the area through the end
of the work week. High pressure returns for the weekend, and
then another system will affect the East Coast early in the new

A fairly active pattern is in place for the Long Term as
several weak clipper systems pass through the region through the
end of the work week, and then again for the start of the new
week. Each system will bring a reinforcing shot of cold air that
will keep temperatures below normal into the weekend.
Temperatures may then moderate a bit back closer to normal for
the start of the new week.

The first clipper system approaches Wednesday evening and then
slowly works its way across the region before moving offshore by
Thursday afternoon. The surface low tracks from the Great Lakes
and Ohio Valley Wednesday evening and moves off the Mid-
Atlantic coast late Thursday morning. Fairly potent H5 shortwave
passes through southeast PA and NJ and 125 KT jet streak passes
south of the Delmarva Thursday morning. With overnight lows in
the teens and 20s, there will be plenty of cold air in place to
support an all snow event starting in the evening, and then
really getting going from around midnight through daybreak or so
Thursday. QPF amounts will be light, generally around 1/10",
but temps will be cold enough to support around 1", but in some
cases, up to 2" of new snow Wednesday night through Thursday
morning. Could make for a slippery commute in most areas.

Precip tapers off Thursday afternoon, possibly mixing with a
brief period of rain mainly south of I-195 before ending.
25 Aug 2005
There are two other features i think may call some attention in the next few days. There is a wave 14n and 44w and there is another wave that is following very closely to Katrina. What does everyone else think about these? I think we should start a discussion enlight of the recent activity increase of the Atlantic.
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