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Rank: F5 Superstorm
28 years old
Born July-1-1989
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3 Mar 2018
A low from out west will cross Southern ON on Tuesday bringing with it a band of snow. The energy will be weakening as a new low forms at the coast into a powerful nor'easter. NYC through Maine and up into New Brunswick look to take a direct hit with 20-40cm of heavy snow.

Here in Ontario we will be getting snow and some rain, just not as much. The system will be in a bit of disarray as it breaks up over the Great Lakes and reforms further east. Still, expect periods of light to moderate snow (or rain) from Tuesday right into Thursday morning. Temperatures will be close to freezing, so expect some rain to mixed in as well. Higher elevations may do better then the lower warmer valleys.

Here's a few runs from today:

12z Euro
Attached File  ESnow.png ( 124.97K ) Number of downloads: 7

12z GFS

Attached File  Screen_Shot_2018_03_03_at_11.28.45_AM.jpg ( 500.91K ) Number of downloads: 7

12z CMC

Attached File  Screen_Shot_2018_03_03_at_2.06.15_PM.jpg ( 460.29K ) Number of downloads: 5
28 Feb 2018
Im going to do it guys.... take the chances and hopefully not jinx it. I have a feeling that this one is going to happen for someone. Lets move the discussion over here. I will post 12z models in here!
24 Dec 2017
Here's my initial map for the lake effect outbreak beginning Christmas Day across the snowbelts. Bands will form tomorrow and continue right through Wednesday night. Some of these bands will be intense delivering 4-8cm per hour. Unlike past events, we should have periods where the bands stall out for 3-6 hours at a time. This will allow for some large accumulations especially in a couple key zones.

While I do expect a band to develop off northern lake Huron, the primary band will be one that oscillates north and south across Tobermory down to Sauble Beach/Kincardine and across northern Dufferin County towards Barrie, Orillia, Midland. This also includes all of the southern Georgian Bay shore from Owen Sound down to the Blue Mountains and Collingwood. If you live in this zone be on high alert from the 25th-27th for heavy snows and zero visibility. Amounts of 40 to 70cm are not out of the question wherever this primary band sets up. Lesser amounts further south, but still disruptive and accumulating snows off the shores of Huron from Goderich up to Kincardine and west through Durham, Hanover, Listowel, Mount Forest, Shelburne, Orangeville.

My City By City Estimates: (from noon Monday to noon Thursday)

Parry Sound: 3-8cm
Bracebridge: 5-10cm
Gravenhurst: 8-15cm
Port Severn: 15-25cm
Midland: 30-45cm
Orillia: 30-50cm
Barrie: 35-55cm
Alliston: 15-25cm
Wasaga: 35-50cm
Collingwood/Blue Mountains: 45-70cm
Owen Sound: 40-50cm
Chatsworth: 45-60cm
Tobermory: 50-70cm
Sauble: 30-45cm
Kincardine: 25-40cm
Goderich: 5-15cm
Listowel: 10-25cm
Mount Forest: 25-35cm
Shelburne: 25-35cm
Orangeville: 10-25cm
Newmarket: 5-15cm
Northern GTA: 3-10cm

Here is my map.

Attached File  Squalls_Dec_25_27th.jpg ( 202.04K ) Number of downloads: 17
7 Dec 2017
This thread is for the clipper that runs are showing. I think it has potential to stall out and tap into some east coast energy. Could be the first widespread snowfall for Southern ON.

Too early for amounts but 5-15cm is likely based on some of the runs I've seen.

18z GFS Today:

Attached File  Screen_Shot_2017_12_07_at_5.49.55_PM.jpg ( 467.57K ) Number of downloads: 15
12 Nov 2017
The second lake effect snow outbreak it poised to hit this coming weekend, only this time expect bigger squalls, a longer event, with higher accumulations. I will continue to monitor this event as we head through the week including any changes I see.

Right now I'm expecting this to be a NW to SE orientation, at times being a WNW to ESE orientation. Many areas will see snow, some will see very impressive amounts. While it's too soon to start issuing a city by city snowfall amount I'm going to go out on a lim and put out my initial map where I think the heaviest snows will fall.

Remember, the dates may change. There's a chance we won't see any major activity until into Sunday (19th) as seen on the CMC. The GFS is aggressive and shows a long duration major event. By Wednesday we will have a much better idea.

Attached File  Nov_18_20th_2017_Squalls.jpg ( 203.17K ) Number of downloads: 15

Areas in the high risk zone have a good chance at over 30CM IMO at this point. More to come this week....
Last Visitors

1 Jan 2018 - 21:26

4 Nov 2017 - 9:57

16 Aug 2017 - 21:34

22 Mar 2017 - 8:32

10 Mar 2017 - 19:29

Happy Birthday Travis... you need to start updating your blog though
29 Jul 2010 - 23:02

hey there..
want to know more about you... hope you wont mind..
I found you interesting..
10 Dec 2009 - 18:33
hey travis i posted some pics in the febuary pattern disco for you. have a good day.
28 Jan 2009 - 12:16


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