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WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 20 2018, 06:24 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


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  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2330355 · Replies: · Views: 18,305

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 20 2018, 06:23 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330354 · Replies: · Views: 1,559

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 19 2018, 08:09 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Today marked the 5th straight 90+ temp day in a row, longest streak of the season. It makes the 9th 90+ day in June and the 17th since May 1st.


Highs are going to be hit and miss tomorrow withe debris and possible convective activity/OFB's around.

Hopefully one of these Summer months can be more reminiscent of April and average below normal temps for a change. Currently 6 degrees plus above normal for the month.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330329 · Replies: · Views: 3,439

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 19 2018, 11:02 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330312 · Replies: · Views: 1,559

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 18 2018, 03:56 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE
A Few Clouds

93F

34C

Humidity 62%
Wind Speed SW 9 G 18 mph
Barometer 30.00 in (1015.2 mb)
Dewpoint 78F (26C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
[b]Heat Index 109F[/b] (43C)
Last update 18 Jun 2:52 pm CDT
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330278 · Replies: · Views: 3,439

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 17 2018, 02:43 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Will have next update in about 15 minutes


QUOTE
Fair

92F

33C

Humidity 64%
Wind Speed S 12 mph
Barometer 30.03 in (1016.2 mb)
Dewpoint 78F (26C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 108F (42C)
Last update 17 Jun 1:52 pm CDT
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330237 · Replies: · Views: 3,439

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 12 2018, 05:39 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Roof of a church here in Springfield that was struck by lightning last night.

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330093 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 12 2018, 06:31 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Got woken up early this morning by a cell building overhead. Lota of CTG strikes. Pretty large limb down on neoghbors tree and seen another limb or tree down in the road on the next block. Not sure if it was wind or just the heavy rain. Ra8n gauge had 1.8" in it when I left for work.

Friends house was struck by lightning amd caught fire Sunday night. The overnight build ups have outperformed the diurnal storms IMBY
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330086 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 11 2018, 05:25 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE
NWS damage survey southwest part of Champaign revealed two brief tornado touchdowns. Both on the ground less than a minute. See the image for details.


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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330057 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 08:03 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


A lot of empty strikes, keep waiting for returns to show.

Not wanting training flood storms, but a good overhead build up would be sufficient.

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330008 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 07:58 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
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Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Just had a decent strike and thunderclap. Nothing on radar yet
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330006 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 07:03 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Pretty impressive stretch of solid storms


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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330003 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 05:22 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Airmass too worked over here. Can see them weakening and losing convective properties. Have to head west where air hasn't been modified.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330002 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 04:54 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


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QUOTE
Mesoscale Discussion 0698
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0430 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

Areas affected...west-central IL into far northeast and east-central
MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168...

Valid 102130Z - 102300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated storms have developed across parts of
west-central IL near the western edge of WW 168. Should convective
trends warrant, a westward expansion of WW 168 may be needed.

DISCUSSION...An outflow boundary is draped across the MCD area, left
behind by early MCD/bow echo now tracking across east-central IL and
IN. Storms have begun to develop in the vicinity of this boundary
across parts of western IL from Adams County to SPI. Furthermore, a
healthy CU field is present in visible satellite imagery across
parts of northeast MO and west-central IL along axis of great
instability and on the southern periphery of modest deep layer
shear. Should convection intensify and become better organized
along the outflow boundary and/or develop in the warm sector ahead
of the boundary, WW 168 may need to be expanded westward to address
this threat. Convective trends will be monitored.

..Leitman.. 06/10/2018
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330000 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 04:46 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Can't do anything but watch it unfold. Not optimistic about it

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329999 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 03:45 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Not sure what to think about the storms out west. Didn't get squat from earlier storms but had all kinds of debris.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329996 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 02:31 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
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Might be a bit too north for me

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329989 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 01:29 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Actually might be trying to initiate

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329985 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 01:27 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Another situation where will need help from a gust front to intiate something. I don't foresee that happening though.

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329984 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 12:53 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Think my o ly chance is going to be if the now warned segment near Peoria strengthens amd takes a southward turn.

Stuck in between otherwise

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329982 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 12:49 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


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QUOTE
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 168
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and southern Illinois

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM until
800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Line of strong storms over west-central Illinois should
intensify as it moves east-southeast towards the Indiana border this
afternoon. Damaging winds are the primary hazard.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles either side of a line from 25 miles west southwest of
Peoria IL to 35 miles east southeast of Mattoon IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329981 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 10 2018, 12:38 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


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QUOTE
Mesoscale Discussion 0694
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1217 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

Areas affected...Central/Southern IL...Southwest IN

Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely

Valid 101717Z - 101915Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts and isolated hail are possible over
the region this afternoon. Convective trends across the region will
be monitored closely for increasing storm strength and a watch will
likely be needed eventually.

DISCUSSION...Abundant cloudiness and precipitation is helping to
maintain an effective warm front from southern IN northwestward to a
weak surface low about 25 mi E of BRL in far west-central IL.
Airmass south/southwest of this warm front is cloud-free, warm, and
moist. Latest mesoanalysis estimates MLCAPE near 2000 J/kg with
little remaining convective inhibition.

Thunderstorms have developed upstream of this warm and destabilizing
airmass across west-central IL, along an outflow boundary surging
southeastward. Given the downstream instability, general expectation
is for storms to continue developing along this outflow boundary.
This area is on the southern fringe of the better flow aloft but
enough overlap exists for some potential organization with the
resulting MCS capable of damaging wind gusts. Even if solid
organization doesn't occur, strong updrafts along the outflow could
still result in water-loading and the potential for damaging wind
gusts. Additionally, some isolated hail is possible, particularly as
a result of storm mergers and brief updraft intensification.

..Mosier/Grams.. 06/10/2018
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329979 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 9 2018, 12:26 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Gonna do the typical split. Top half m9ves more east where it has been worked over worse than here, bottom half will dive SSE and both will maintain strength while I'll get signal loss from all the debris laugh.gif

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329931 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 9 2018, 12:11 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Looking forward to watching this one fall apart.

Had quite the complex fire up all around me earlier, too some back building to get som showers then a non convective cell passed throughand got around 3/10" rain in the gauge.

Doubt we've recovered enough, but maybe it's feeding off something different. Sounds like one more chance later tgis evening but gonna be worked over pretty good after this one vacates the scene.


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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329930 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jun 7 2018, 08:54 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,532
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Looking like a pretty active period coming up over the next week.


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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329832 · Replies: · Views: 5,374

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