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> Potential Tropical Cyclone 10, Tropical Formation SR High 90% LR High 90%
PlanetMaster
post Aug 29 2017, 01:53 PM
Post #101




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Getting some decent rain here in in central LI past 30 minutes. Looks like a very wet drive home this evening on the LIE and N & S State Hwys

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so_whats_happeni...
post Aug 29 2017, 02:09 PM
Post #102




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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From: Millersville, PA
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QUOTE(TC1 @ Aug 28 2017, 09:57 PM) *
Oh. Seems odd, considering that they have no problem with putting up tropical storm warnings and such, but hey... these are the people who stopped classifying Sandy as a hurricane just as it was getting ready to hit NJ as a CAT 1. So I guess now they go the other way and putting out warnings for what it's... not... in their eyes?

blink.gif


Yea that transition with sandy was a difficult one for sure but I think they learned from these situations to not just let the guard go down with a system that could have the potential to become something and issue the necessary warnings/ watches as needed. Whether it was tropical or not near landfall is besides the point sticking with continuity is your best bet in situations like this to give people a general idea of what to expect and bounce ideas off local WFOs as needed.

It is just a tough situation because if you do not issue the warnings then people may be misled with what may happen and maybe not take it as serious as it could be, where as if they do issue the warnings and it doesnt pan out as such then people will moan and groan saying it was fake and never happened and why was this issued. I could honestly go on for days about this because it irks me everytime that people try to downplay situations when the potential is there but just because it did not hit your area does not mean someone is not getting walloped and luckily took those advisory/watches/warnings into consideration and planned what they needed to.

I know many are not necessarily avid weather enthusiasts and very rarely look at much more than the app on their phone but people need to start taking situations like this into their own hands when situations like occur and make a decision that is best suited for you. You see a cat 3 hurricane coming into areas to your south you better believe that it will come north maybe not as strong but still affect you with winds and heavy heavy rains. If you know you are in an area that floods even from thunderstorms and your forecasted to get 10-15" might be a good thing to just take precautions and get out of dodge because as we have seen conditions can always be a lot worse then expected.

With the amount of information that is out there for folks it blows my mind how we still see numerous situations like this unfold. It shows we clearly still need to work out mass evacuations plans and even probably systematic evacuation plans for regions when we now seem to have a lead time on systems for general regions of about 2-3 days.

Just because you do not get hit by the strongest part of the storm does not mean you are out realm of being affected. Hopefully people take a new respect to weather systems when things are being forecasted to be bad more seriously in the future so we do not continue to see such tragedies.

Sorry end of rant.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


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AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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stretchct
post Aug 29 2017, 03:50 PM
Post #103




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York river buoy with some sustained over TS force


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My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis

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First measurable
First flakes
First freeze
First frost

Seasonal snow - normal 44"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Aug 29 2017, 08:44 PM
Post #104




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Rappahannock in the Chesapeake at or over 40kts
Chesapeake Bridge 36kts, but neat how the wind speed drops off as the pressure bottoms out.
Delaware Bay approaching TS storm force

NY/NJ buoys steadily increasing but not at 30kts, let alone 35kts.


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis

Send some cold beer!


First measurable
First flakes
First freeze
First frost

Seasonal snow - normal 44"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Aug 30 2017, 12:45 PM
Post #105




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From: Newtown, CT
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Bye bye

Texas Tower had 35 kt sustained. Rest of the buoys aren't functioning right. Its not like science is a priority in this country.


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis

Send some cold beer!


First measurable
First flakes
First freeze
First frost

Seasonal snow - normal 44"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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