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> Potential Tropical Cyclone 10, Tropical Formation SR High 90% LR High 90%
Undertakerson
post Aug 20 2017, 05:31 PM
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Well - this is too close for comfort

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stretchct
post Aug 21 2017, 08:07 AM
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Well there's always the CMC if you're looking to post...


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risingriver
post Aug 21 2017, 08:54 AM
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CMC: Coastal Monster Coming
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Richie14
post Aug 21 2017, 04:32 PM
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Surprised this thread is so quiet. The euro seems to want to make something of this
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Undertakerson
post Aug 21 2017, 05:11 PM
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QUOTE(Richie14 @ Aug 21 2017, 05:32 PM) *
Surprised this thread is so quiet. The euro seems to want to make something of this

If you mean "fish storm" something - then OK.
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Undertakerson
post Aug 21 2017, 05:13 PM
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GFS on the other hand blink.gif

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poconos
post Aug 21 2017, 06:06 PM
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Euro is showning remnants of Harvey. Harvey hits south texas border and then retrogrades back to the GOM before a stalled front grabs it and forces up the east coast.

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Richie14
post Aug 21 2017, 07:43 PM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Aug 21 2017, 06:11 PM) *
If you mean "fish storm" something - then OK.

Something as in a storm off the east coast 7 days away where exact location is not nearly as important as the storm itself.. Sorry I didn't do myself any favors with no maps and only generalizations. Hopefully we can all have something interesting to track
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SnowMan11
post Aug 21 2017, 10:00 PM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Aug 20 2017, 01:50 PM) *
Keep that CMC=gospel in the Facebook groups that you are a member of! You know darn well that the Canadian turns every tropical storm it can into a CAT5. Honestly Anthony...you know better than to make post like this.


The models are going towards the CMC idea of a low near the coast.

QUOTE(jdrenken @ Aug 20 2017, 02:22 PM) *
What's funny is that a name that I haven't heard of for years, Dave Paterno, posted a warning to everyone on his FB Weather Page using the Canadian as his reasoning. I can still remember when he would flood Henry's Accuweather FB page with his junk and we had to ban him.


I had a feeling that was him on that page lol

QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Aug 21 2017, 06:11 PM) *
If you mean "fish storm" something - then OK.


We don't know yet if it will be a fish storm


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jdrenken
post Aug 21 2017, 10:02 PM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Aug 21 2017, 10:00 PM) *
The models are going towards the CMC idea of a low near the coast.


Models going towards CMC of a low near the coast IS NOT what you said in the original post.

QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Aug 20 2017, 08:39 AM) *
CMC still has 92L becoming strong

GFS and Euro are catching on

Will the CMC lead the pack?


QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Aug 21 2017, 10:00 PM) *
I had a feeling that was him on that page lol


Don't get me started on that guy! Always referencing some storm in Jersey back in the day.


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SnowMan11
post Aug 21 2017, 10:09 PM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Aug 21 2017, 11:02 PM) *
Models going towards CMC of a low near the coast IS NOT what you said in the original post.
Don't get me started on that guy! Always referencing some storm in Jersey back in the day.


From the 1880s laugh.gif


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SnowMan11
post Aug 23 2017, 08:04 AM
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92L looks very boring

Nothing for the east coast for the forseeable future


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jdrenken
post Aug 23 2017, 01:50 PM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Aug 23 2017, 08:04 AM) *
92L looks very boring

Nothing for the east coast for the forseeable future


I thought everything was moving towards the CMC? wink.gif


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stretchct
post Aug 23 2017, 07:17 PM
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QUOTE(stretchct @ Aug 21 2017, 09:07 AM) *
Well there's always the CMC if you're looking to post...

Todays 18z GFS


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis

Send some cold beer!


First measurable
First flakes
First freeze
First frost

Seasonal snow - normal 44"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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SnowMan11
post Aug 23 2017, 09:56 PM
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QUOTE(stretchct @ Aug 23 2017, 08:17 PM) *
Todays 18z GFS


Pretty close wink.gif


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TC1
post Aug 24 2017, 01:58 AM
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Not anymore tongue.gif ...
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... but the Drunk Uncle is at it again...

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The ensembles don't support what the operational is showing, though.

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jdrenken
post Aug 24 2017, 06:37 AM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Aug 23 2017, 09:56 PM) *
Pretty close wink.gif


What do the ensembles show? I can bet money maybe 2 members show it this strong. But hey, take the model run that's made fun of the most and run with it!


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Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.



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If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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SnowMan11
post Aug 24 2017, 08:00 AM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Aug 24 2017, 07:37 AM) *
What do the ensembles show? I can bet money maybe 2 members show it this strong. But hey, take the model run that's made fun of the most and run with it!


Nothing but the CMC keeps showing a strong storm nearby. You can't just discount it.


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jdrenken
post Aug 24 2017, 08:27 AM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Aug 24 2017, 08:00 AM) *
Nothing but the CMC keeps showing a strong storm nearby. You can't just discount it.


If NOTHING supports it, yes you can,and SHOULD! Again...keep that junk on the Facebook groups!

Next step is wishcasting warning for ignoring a known model bias and acting like it's gospel regarding it's pressure reading.


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It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.



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If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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poconos
post Aug 24 2017, 11:25 AM
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JB on weatherbell is not committing to an out to sea once it hits Hatteras. Proposes that warm waters north of NC may steer it closer to coast.
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