 Dec. 25-27 Plains/MW/GL/OV Blizzard, Reality: Short Range (0-3 Days) Forecast |
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 Dec 25 2012, 12:01 AM
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#3461
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 Rank: Tornado  Group: Member Posts: 387 Joined: 27-January 09 From: Garland, TX (Far N. Dallas County) Member No.: 17,143  |
And now it starts!
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Dec 25 2012, 12:03 AM
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#3462
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 231 Joined: 17-December 10 From: St. Francois County Missouri Member No.: 24,729 |
QUOTE(Dtownokie @ Dec 24 2012, 11:01 PM)  And now it starts! id like to see it ride just south of I 44 -------------------- Farmington Missouri Trained Skywarn Weather Spotter
- Home of the dry slot. 2012- 0 Tornadoes 3 Inches of Dry snow. 2013- ? Dont get to hung up on the weather models until about 48-60 hours out, and even then, the world of weather can change in a matter of minutes. |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:03 AM
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#3463
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,080 Joined: 18-October 09 From: Toronto, Ontario Member No.: 19,500 |
00z HRWs coming in more amped than the 12z runs:
Hour 36 of the HRW-NMM:  Same time 12z:  500MB VORT: 00z:  12z:  HRW-ARW: 00z:  12z: 
-------------------- New blog for southern Ontario!
Discussions on other parts of North America as well(particularly for winter storms)! http://weatherintoronto.blogspot.com/ "Get Up-To-Date Forecasts on Upcoming weather events across South-Eastern North America!" |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:03 AM
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#3464
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 262 Joined: 19-January 11 From: Charleston, IL Member No.: 25,153 |
QUOTE(southeastmissouri @ Dec 24 2012, 11:00 PM) yeah, i figured that, I dont normally watch 4, im a Dave Murray Fan myself over on KTVI. I like it when he gets excited and starts calling for snowflakes the size of Gerbils, and his hair gets to bobbing around. "Snowy Times in the neighborhood follks, its all about the big snowflakes" lol. I cant stand Chambers, or that Hutti Chick over on 2,and as far as KSDK 5 goes, they havent had a good weatherman since Bob Richards. heh I think he gets excited because there's a LOT of us "snow bunnies" around the St Louis region, and they're Hamsters not Gerbils  and yes Channel 5 hasn't been the same since Bob Richards, and really since they canned Fuller because he wouldn't take a paycut. -------------------- Formally jhamps10
Weekday home Charleston, IL at EIU Weekend home Flora, IL |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:03 AM
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#3465
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,080 Joined: 18-October 09 From: Toronto, Ontario Member No.: 19,500 |
00z HRW-ARW 500MB VORT:
 12z:  Both models are also stronger with the low. -------------------- New blog for southern Ontario!
Discussions on other parts of North America as well(particularly for winter storms)! http://weatherintoronto.blogspot.com/ "Get Up-To-Date Forecasts on Upcoming weather events across South-Eastern North America!" |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:06 AM
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#3466
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,277 Joined: 17-November 08 From: Knoxville, TN Member No.: 16,188 |
Guess we can start an OBS thread soon
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Dec 25 2012, 12:03 AM
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#3467
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,426 Joined: 21-January 10 From: Paducah, Ky Member No.: 21,017 |
FWIW, right now the Rap at 18hrs out, which cannot be trusted....anyway has the H5 low a little further south than the 0z NAM.
RAP 500mb 18HR http://www.instantweathermaps.com/RAP-php/...mb&hour=018 0z NAM 23HR http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/...mb&hour=022 |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:05 AM
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#3468
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,426 Joined: 21-January 10 From: Paducah, Ky Member No.: 21,017 |
QUOTE(Torontoweather @ Dec 24 2012, 11:03 PM) 00z HRWs coming in more amped than the 12z runs: Hour 36 of the HRW-NMM: Same time 12z: 500MB VORT: 00z: 12z: HRW-ARW: 00z: 12z: Sweet!! 
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Dec 25 2012, 12:09 AM
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#3469
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,565 Joined: 30-December 08 From: Dayton,OH Member No.: 16,713 |
OBS thread now open here
-------------------- # of T-Storm Watches:2
# of Tornado Watches: # of T-Storm Warnings: # of Tornado Warnings: |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:07 AM
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#3470
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 231 Joined: 17-December 10 From: St. Francois County Missouri Member No.: 24,729 |
QUOTE(jhampsten @ Dec 24 2012, 11:03 PM) heh I think he gets excited because there's a LOT of us "snow bunnies" around the St Louis region, and they're Hamsters not Gerbils and yes Channel 5 hasn't been the same since Bob Richards, and really since they canned Fuller because he wouldn't take a paycut. thats right, hamstersl I remember Cory Barron on Ch 4 years ago, he was another favorite. I can tolerate Chris Higgins on 2, but Zimmerman drives me crazy. Im pretty sure we could be in the middle of the biggest blizzard of the ages and he would be slurring and acting like it was no big deal as usual, dont get me wrong I like him, but hes so boring. -------------------- Farmington Missouri Trained Skywarn Weather Spotter
- Home of the dry slot. 2012- 0 Tornadoes 3 Inches of Dry snow. 2013- ? Dont get to hung up on the weather models until about 48-60 hours out, and even then, the world of weather can change in a matter of minutes. |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:07 AM
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#3471
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,426 Joined: 21-January 10 From: Paducah, Ky Member No.: 21,017 |
QUOTE(Torontoweather @ Dec 24 2012, 11:03 PM) 00z HRWs coming in more amped than the 12z runs: Hour 36 of the HRW-NMM: Same time 12z: 500MB VORT: 00z: 12z: HRW-ARW: 00z: 12z: Could I get a link bro? Thanks |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:11 AM
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#3472
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 370 Joined: 20-December 09 Member No.: 20,483 |
QUOTE(southeastmissouri @ Dec 25 2012, 01:03 AM) id like to see it ride just south of I 44 you and me both.. would be funny and wonderful (for us) if that happened and this storm said forget you, weather models... we are going to smash Missouri whether you give us permission or not!  |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:09 AM
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#3473
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 64 Joined: 18-August 11 Member No.: 25,899 |
Being in louisville i am lol at the models. Verbatim not much for me and if i go 20-50 miles north or west and i am in a good snowstorm. Could the models move 20-40 miles to the south please? Ha.
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Dec 25 2012, 12:09 AM
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#3474
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Moderator Posts: 14,054 Joined: 29-March 08 From: Decatur, IL Member No.: 14,540 |
OBS thread now open OBS
--------------------  QUOTE WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx ^ After 1 model run Severe Thunderstorm Watch/Warning 2/2 Tornado Watch/Warning 0/0 2012 Snowfall: 24.4" Note to Accuweather.com....Please give us a dedicated video blogger for the Plains/MW/OV/GL area! |
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Dec 25 2012, 12:26 AM
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#3475
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,426 Joined: 21-January 10 From: Paducah, Ky Member No.: 21,017 |
It may have already been posted but the 0z GFS Ensemble mean also shifted east of Nashville
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs...emblep12036.gif http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs...emblep12036.gif This post has been edited by grace: Dec 25 2012, 12:27 AM |
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