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> Feb 1-3rd MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, Reality: Short Range [0-3 Days Out] FORECAST
PlanetMaster
post Feb 1 2018, 02:14 PM
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So I guess this will double as the OBS thread? Looks to me like precip is in the area and blossoming rapidly.


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HV Snowstorm
post Feb 1 2018, 02:35 PM
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QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ Feb 1 2018, 02:03 PM) *
You guys in the Hudson Valley, New Paltz, Newburgh, should be mostly snow from Peekskill North, maybe wet/mix to start but go to snow quickly later afternoon. Lots of dry air aloft so you will see some good cooling before the onset and the cold air will begin coming in by the time the moisture really gets going. I would say 1-3 / 2-4 general accum maybe locally a inch or two more at higher elevations especially.


Would be thrilled with that, definitely dry up here snow showers on radar have been virga so far today.
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StL weatherjunki...
post Feb 1 2018, 02:43 PM
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QUOTE(HV Snowstorm @ Feb 1 2018, 01:52 PM) *
No clue what to expect from this system other than some light rain/ snow mix maybe a coating at best? Confused about this one...

Total snowfall from the 18z RAP

Elevation will be the difference maker for accumulations with this system. Also, a coastal surface low develops farther east hence the higher totals there. IMHO most low elevation locations in or west of NY will be lucky to get more than 2".
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All model guidance is just that, guidance. It is the responsibility of the forecaster to take that information, make it better, and appropriately communicate the improved forecast to users.

We live in a day and age where the quantity of model guidance is overwhelming, particularly within 24 hours of an event. We must remind ourselves that all models are wrong, but some are more useful than others.
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LUCC
post Feb 1 2018, 03:03 PM
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Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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LUCC
post Feb 1 2018, 03:05 PM
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Pick your poison, nothing or something.





This post has been edited by LUCC: Feb 1 2018, 03:05 PM


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Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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NorEaster07
post Feb 1 2018, 03:47 PM
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OBS Thread Opened
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