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> Feb. 21-23 MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, CLOSED - OBS thread is open
LoveNYCSnow
post Feb 20 2009, 08:27 PM
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QUOTE(sw03181 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:24 PM) *
first and final call on this event. based on NAM, GFS, 2m temps.

NYC-SNH: all rain, .5-1.00 inches of rain

portland: snow to mix, 3-7

Central and N NH, interior ME: snow, 6-10


I'm not sure NYC is all rain, looks like rain to wet snow for me at least based on the precip type map.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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Removed_Member_NJBLIZZARD_*
post Feb 20 2009, 08:27 PM
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QUOTE(sw03181 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:24 PM) *
first and final call on this event. based on NAM, GFS, 2m temps.

NYC-SNH: all rain, .5-1.00 inches of rain

portland: snow to mix, 3-7

Central and N NH, interior ME: snow, 6-10


totally off. NYC is no where near one inch of QPF and they might mix toward the end. and central ME will be getting 10-18 most likely
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Removed_Member_starsinmysky_*
post Feb 20 2009, 08:27 PM
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QUOTE(hckyplayer8 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:24 PM) *
I'm telling you Danny....if that northern s/w does not form we have a SECS brewing.


Yup, exactly right.
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96blizzard22701
post Feb 20 2009, 08:29 PM
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QUOTE(crankee yankee @ Feb 20 2009, 09:21 PM) *
hatteras bomb!!!!!!!!.....no way!!....signs of dev off hatteras..yes!!...but untill it gets big enough to throw moisture west itll be in nne

Doesn't matter how strong it gets. We don't have a neg tilted trough. As long as there is a neutral or positive tilted trough it will continue to be to far east. If we could get rid of that northern s/w then maybe things would be different.

This post has been edited by 96blizzard22701: Feb 20 2009, 08:30 PM
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ms123
post Feb 20 2009, 08:29 PM
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Idk Im not just getting rain up in southern nh. Not saying I am getting hammered but we are seeing at least some snow.

This post has been edited by ms123: Feb 20 2009, 08:30 PM


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[b] I am ready for the Last Day of School and afternoon t-storms.
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Removed_Member_starsinmysky_*
post Feb 20 2009, 08:30 PM
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60 hrs

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07150nole
post Feb 20 2009, 08:30 PM
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QUOTE(hckyplayer8 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:26 PM) *
That's exactly why we want this "clipper" to die. The vort riding the ridge south will hit the S/W swinging across the Texas panhandle and.....BOOM. blink.gif


That clipper is doing weird things man. I still don't understand how it's taking control like that. It's crazy how people were "throwing the towel" in on this storm 2 days ago. Look how much this has changed just today!
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shane m.
post Feb 20 2009, 08:31 PM
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QUOTE(starsinmysky @ Feb 20 2009, 09:27 PM) *
Yup, exactly right.

Still alot of time to keep watching the models. Especially this winter, we all know how things can change.


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hckyplayer8
post Feb 20 2009, 08:31 PM
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QUOTE(96blizzard22701 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:29 PM) *
Doesn't matter how strong it gets. We don't have a neg tilted trough. As long as there is a neutral or positive tilted trough it will continue to be to far east. If we could get rid of that northern s/w then maybe things would be different.


That's not negative?


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Grand Forks AFB 2015-2016 Snowfall - 28.85" 52 days of trace






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Removed_Member_crankee yankee_*
post Feb 20 2009, 08:32 PM
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ahh!! model hugging......keeps the snow mongers sane....this happened 1 too many times this winter...the key word is la..nina
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LoveNYCSnow
post Feb 20 2009, 08:32 PM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:27 PM) *
Nice looking storm. Too bad it doesn't bomb out near us.
Still bad for NYC. We would still see snow but no accumulations. Still have the rest of 0z runs and tomorrow for a nice trend in our favor.


no not a good run verbatim for NYC but the trend continues to develop this storm a little further south and a little stronger each run, unfortunately we are running out of time though.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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Mike W IN herkim...
post Feb 20 2009, 08:33 PM
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Attached Image


NAM QPF from hr 24-48.
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missmarisa
post Feb 20 2009, 08:33 PM
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QUOTE(hckyplayer8 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:31 PM) *
That's not negative?



I have to agree...that looks negative to me.


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hckyplayer8
post Feb 20 2009, 08:33 PM
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Muah ha ha! The southern S/W continues to strength, while the northern weakens! Where the H E double hockey sticks is Matt at!?



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Grand Forks AFB 2015-2016 Snowfall - 28.85" 52 days of trace






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Removed_Member_crankee yankee_*
post Feb 20 2009, 08:33 PM
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QUOTE(grandpaboy @ Feb 20 2009, 09:27 PM) *
i don't really believe NYC is all rain, but it will be close


you must live in nyc..huh?
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sw03181
post Feb 20 2009, 08:34 PM
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QUOTE(Mike W IN herkimer @ Feb 20 2009, 09:33 PM) *

Attached Image


NAM QPF from hr 24-48.

man, now if surface temps were 5 below zero that would be a nice hit for the Pioneer Valley and not to mention the cape and islands


--------------------
Rob
2012-2013 Total Snowfall: 85.5"
2013-2014 Total Snowfall: 60.95"


[size=2]2014-2015 Winter Wx predictions (Nov. 1 -- Mar. 31) :
Total snowfall: 40 /- 6"
Actual: 14.25"

11/14: 0.25"
11/26: 2.5"
11/27: T
12/2: T
12/11: 0.5"
12/20: T (flurries)
12/21 2.0
1/2: T (flurries)
1/3: 1"
1/6: T (dusting)
1/7: T (flurries)
1/9: 3"
1/14: T (dusting)
1/24: 5"
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shane m.
post Feb 20 2009, 08:35 PM
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From LakeEffectKing

Good for all the NE fans, per this run....and for us Upstaters, the setup for LES looks as good as it is now!!! (Current 1 day totals running in the 1-3' range across Oswego Co. and Onondaga Cos.!!) thumbsupsmileyanim.gif

So most everyone north of PHL gets some lovin'! MA folks need one more modest trend (as the last 4-5 runs have)!!
source


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SnowMan11
post Feb 20 2009, 08:35 PM
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QUOTE(grandpaboy @ Feb 20 2009, 09:27 PM) *
i don't really believe NYC is all rain, but it will be close


Same here. Just a little more south and east and we would be looking at a SECS.

QUOTE(NJBLIZZARD @ Feb 20 2009, 09:27 PM) *
totally off. NYC is no where near one inch of QPF and they might mix toward the end. and central ME will be getting 10-18 most likely


.25-.50 QPF.


QUOTE(ms123 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:29 PM) *
Idk Im not just getting rain up in southern nh. Not saying I am getting hammered but we are seeing at least some snow.


You are going to get pounded come Sunday.


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LoveNYCSnow
post Feb 20 2009, 08:35 PM
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It is so frustrating how close we really are to a significant snowstorm for the cities(at least from Philly north) and this will probably be the last chance we have all winter, this is like the 4th quarter of the superbowl and my team is trying to rally and is ever so close but just seems like it will fall a few points short.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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yankees
post Feb 20 2009, 08:36 PM
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Well nam is like gfs tracks the low just to the southeast of nyc. Now the sad thing is that all temps except the surface are below freezing. I mean it shows nice amounts of precip for the city on north and east. The bad thing is even me 70 mkile northwest of the city have just above ffreezing temps. Now by me i am not really concerned as i would be snow. It would be though very wet. While i could still see a decent storm it would not be nearly as much as if i had colder temps


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