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> July 21-24, 2017 MidAtl/NE Storms, Forecasts and OBS
NorEaster07
post Jul 20 2017, 05:43 AM
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Is that a clipper in the Summer??? ohmy.gif LMAO






NWS NY: Polar Vortex Mention

QUOTE
National Weather Service New York NY
506 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Although this period will start dry on Friday night, there is an
increasing chance of multiple rounds of heavy showers and TSTMs from
Saturday afternoon through Monday night.

The weather pattern favors the development of several Meso
Convective Systems/MCSs caused by short waves rotating SE around a
canadian polar vortex.
There is considerable uncertainty regarding
their track and intensity, depending on where they actually develop.



NWS Boston: Mentions a reason why the Jet is digging in the Northeast

QUOTE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
414 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

Friday and Saturday...

Anomalous closed upper level low across eastern Canada will result
in northwest flow aloft into southern New England Fri & Sat.
The
result will be dry weather into at least Saturday afternoon. Plenty
of sunshine should push high temps well into the 80s on both days,
and a few locations may reach 90 on Friday. However, drier air will
mix down resulting in lower humidity than what we have experienced
the last few days.

Sunday through Tuesday...

The anomalous closed low across the Canadian Maritimes will help to
carve out an upper level trough across the northeast. The result
will be temps averaging below normal.
Specific daily high temps are
uncertain and will depend on timing, cloud cover, and location of
any surface boundaries. Highs will mainly be in the 70s over this
time frame, to perhaps a few lower 80s. It is also possible that a
some locations have a day where it struggles to break 70 as a result
of a surface boundary to the south coupled with northeast winds/low
clouds.

Plenty of shortwave energy rotating around the upper trough will
result in periods of showers and perhaps isolated thunderstorms at
times. It does look rather unsettled, but the entire period will not
be a washout it is just impossible to try to pin down timing this
far out.


NWS Albany: mentions this clipper type storm coming

QUOTE
National Weather Service Albany NY
610 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Unsettled weather is expected for a good portion of the long term
period with a drying trend as we head toward the middle of next week.

Saturday night into Monday...More unsettled weather is expected as a
low pressure system tracks across the Great Lakes region into the
northeast.
This system will drag a warm front followed by a cold
front through the region.


This post has been edited by NorEaster07: Jul 23 2017, 05:36 PM
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KENNYP2339
post Jul 20 2017, 07:06 AM
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Severe weather threat for the MA?
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phillyfan
post Jul 20 2017, 08:59 AM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Jul 20 2017, 06:43 AM) *
April 24-26 MidAtl/NE Coastal
forecast, discussions & OBS

Is that a clipper in the Summer??? ohmy.gif LMAO

NWS NY: Polar Vortex Mention
NWS Boston: Mentions a reason why the Jet is digging in the Northeast



NWS Albany: mentions this clipper type storm coming


Henry Margusity‏:
QUOTE
At @weatheroptics WeatherOptics today we are watching the area from MN to wester PA for poss Derecho Friday to Saturday.


So i this thread for severe weather or not?

Attached Image


This post has been edited by phillyfan: Jul 20 2017, 09:21 AM


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23, 7/1, 7/13, 7/20, 8/12, 8/18, 8/22, 9/5
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 8/5, 8/12, 8/18, 8/19, 8/22, 9/5
Tornado Warning: 7/13
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19, 7/14, 7/23-24, 7/28-29(Cancelled), 8/18
Flash Flood Warning: 7/13, 7/23-24, 7/28-29, 8/18, 9/5
Pea Size Hail: 2/25, 9/5

90 Degree Days: 17 / Heat Waves: 3
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Undertakerson
post Jul 20 2017, 03:16 PM
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QUOTE
April 24-26 MidAtl/NE Coastal
forecast, discussions & OBS


April?

I do think that July 23-24 holds a load of potential. As I mentioned this morning on my FB weather page.


QUOTE
At the end of the weekend, a true "lift mechanism" compliments of a storm system dropping out of Canada (and bringing a wind shifting cold front in its wake) should spark off more organized type convective storms. So the weekend may be bookended by the storms tonight, and those on Sunday night/early Monday
.
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NorEaster07
post Jul 20 2017, 04:55 PM
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Last 4 hours today July 20th.

CODE
..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...

..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

            ..REMARKS..



0543 PM     LIGHTNING        CARBONDALE              41.57N  75.51W

07/20/2017                   LACKAWANNA         PA   911 CALL CENTER



            HOUSE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING


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so_whats_happeni...
post Jul 20 2017, 05:15 PM
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QUOTE(phillyfan @ Jul 20 2017, 09:59 AM) *
Henry Margusity‏:
So i this thread for severe weather or not?

Attached Image


Haha there is rarely a thing called a clipper in the summer it can happen but it is not in the same aspect as you would see in the winter time.

This definitely though looks like it could from from some energy and with all this heat currently in place it would not be hard to sustain something of a decent caliber to come through. Ill watch this and will know better how things will evolve tomorrow night as we get into range of meso models and see if something sparks in the midwest later friday early saturday.

NAM brings in whatever this ends up being as well as another decent shortwave for areas further south which may end up giving stratiform rain north MD/PA border.

As for the heat after this we may get a decent bout of average weather across the area, so say mid 80's and even upper 80s further south but it looks to reload out in the midwest again.


--------------------
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B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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phillyfan
post Jul 21 2017, 08:57 AM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Jul 20 2017, 05:55 PM) *
Last 4 hours today July 20th.

CODE
..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...

..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

            ..REMARKS..
0543 PM     LIGHTNING        CARBONDALE              41.57N  75.51W

07/20/2017                   LACKAWANNA         PA   911 CALL CENTER
            HOUSE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING



May want to change the thread title here to the 22-23.
Saturday:
Attached Image


Sunday:
Attached Image


This post has been edited by phillyfan: Jul 21 2017, 08:57 AM


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23, 7/1, 7/13, 7/20, 8/12, 8/18, 8/22, 9/5
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 8/5, 8/12, 8/18, 8/19, 8/22, 9/5
Tornado Warning: 7/13
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19, 7/14, 7/23-24, 7/28-29(Cancelled), 8/18
Flash Flood Warning: 7/13, 7/23-24, 7/28-29, 8/18, 9/5
Pea Size Hail: 2/25, 9/5

90 Degree Days: 17 / Heat Waves: 3
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phillyfan
post Jul 21 2017, 08:58 AM
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QUOTE
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 AM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDWEST
AND EXTENDING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING THE
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST U.S. SLIGHT RISK AREAS...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ARIZONA...

...SUMMARY...
A broad area of severe weather risk is apparent from portions of the
northern and central Plains east across the Midwest to the mid
Atlantic region. A few severe storms may also occur across portions
of southern Arizona.

...Synopsis...
Moderately strong west-northwesterly flow aloft is forecast to
persist across the northern tier of the U.S. this period, with
numerous small-scale disturbances embedded therein. A stronger
short-wave trough/low is forecast to move out of south-central
Canada and across the north-central U.S. with time.

At the surface, a migratory low is forecast to move along a
pre-existing front across the Midwest states, eventually reaching
the mid-Atlantic/southern New England coast. A weaker low/frontal
system is expected to shift across the upper Mississippi Valley
region.

...Midwest to the mid Atlantic...
A large area of convection is forecast to be ongoing over the
southern Great Lakes area and vicinity early in the period, which
should shift east-southeast with time. While some severe risk may
persist with the ongoing convection, new storm development is
forecast on the southern and western flank of this convection, as
afternoon heating of a very moist boundary layer supports
mixed-layer CAPE values in the 2500 to 3500 J/kg range across much
of the Midwest and into the central Appalachians. Multiple
bands/clusters of storms will likely traverse the area through the
afternoon and evening, before convection diminishes in coverage and
intensity late in the period. In the mean time, risk for damaging
winds and hail will exist with stronger storms/storm clusters moving
quickly east-southeast across the region.

...Upper Mississippi Valley vicinity...
In the wake of overnight/early-period convection, some
heating/destabilization is forecast across the upper Mississippi
Valley area in advance of the compact upper low/short-wave trough
progged to be shifting east-southeast out of the Canadian Prairies.
Ascent -- focused near a weak surface frontal system -- should
support scattered storm development during the afternoon and
evening, spreading east toward the western upper Great Lakes area
with time. Enhanced mid-level westerly flow -- sufficient for
updraft organization -- suggests potential for locally damaging
winds and hail with stronger cells, lingering well into the evening
hours.

...Southern Arizona...
Daytime heating of a moist boundary layer progged to reside over
southern Arizona will support airmass destabilization, with ample
high-based CAPE to support fairly widespread storm development over
the higher terrain. With mid-level ridging to gradually strengthen
over the Great Basin, some enhancement of northeast mid-level flow
could eventually allow storms to organize/congeal, and spread off
the rim into the lower deserts. As such, evaporatively enhanced
downdrafts could result in locally damaging winds from late
afternoon through the evening, and possibly into the overnight hours
before convection slowly diminishes.


QUOTE
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0235 AM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS VICINITY AND EAST TO THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND MID
ATLANTIC COASTS...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES AREA EASTWARD...SURROUNDING THE SLIGHT RISK AREA...

...SUMMARY...
A broad zone of risk for isolated severe storms will reside over
portions of Great Lakes/mid Atlantic/central Appalachians area Day
3/Sunday.

...Synopsis...
Advance of a slowly expanding mid-level trough across the Great
Lakes region will support the main area of severe potential Day 3,
while ridging prevails over the western states through the period.

...Lower Great Lakes/central Appalachians/mid Atlantic region...
After widespread overnight convection lingering into the start of
the Day 3 period, uncertainty prevails with respect to areas where
afternoon destabilization will become sufficient for new/vigorous
convection. Still, expect convection to redevelop/reintensify
during the afternoon across the region, aided by large-scale ascent
ahead of the advancing upper short-wave trough. Moderate westerly
flow aloft progged across the region will likely be sufficient for
clusters/bands of stronger storms -- and thus a broad risk area for
locally damaging winds and hail will be highlighted. Details remain
uncertain at this time, but risk may linger into the overnight
hours.

...Parts of the upper Great Lakes and vicinity...
In the wake of earlier convection spreading away from the region,
sufficient destabilization may occur near the trough as it crosses
the upper Great Lakes area during the afternoon to support a
secondary area of development of strong/locally severe storms. The
NAM is most bullish with this scenario, while the GFS and ECMWF
depicting much less pronounced CAPE development. Still, ample
potential for development of a few stronger cells seems apparent --
along with locally damaging wind and hail risk -- to support a
MRGL/5% probability area across the region. Any risk should
diminish through late evening.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23, 7/1, 7/13, 7/20, 8/12, 8/18, 8/22, 9/5
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 8/5, 8/12, 8/18, 8/19, 8/22, 9/5
Tornado Warning: 7/13
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19, 7/14, 7/23-24, 7/28-29(Cancelled), 8/18
Flash Flood Warning: 7/13, 7/23-24, 7/28-29, 8/18, 9/5
Pea Size Hail: 2/25, 9/5

90 Degree Days: 17 / Heat Waves: 3
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LUCC
post Jul 21 2017, 09:13 AM
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So any storms possible today in the MA?


--------------------

Winter '16-'17 Snow total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Snow total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Snow total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Snow total: 62.0"
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phillyfan
post Jul 21 2017, 10:07 AM
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QUOTE(LUCC @ Jul 21 2017, 10:13 AM) *
So any storms possible today in the MA?

Nothing in the forecast as far as I know.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23, 7/1, 7/13, 7/20, 8/12, 8/18, 8/22, 9/5
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 8/5, 8/12, 8/18, 8/19, 8/22, 9/5
Tornado Warning: 7/13
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19, 7/14, 7/23-24, 7/28-29(Cancelled), 8/18
Flash Flood Warning: 7/13, 7/23-24, 7/28-29, 8/18, 9/5
Pea Size Hail: 2/25, 9/5

90 Degree Days: 17 / Heat Waves: 3
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Undertakerson
post Jul 21 2017, 02:53 PM
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SPC afternoon update for tomorrow

QUOTE
...Illinois eastward to the Mid-Atlantic...
Considerable uncertainty exists regarding the evolution of a morning
MCS
that should be located in the general vicinity of northern
Illinois/southern Michigan at the beginning of the forecast period.
This activity should propagate eastward through noon and pose a
marginal risk of damaging wind gusts during the morning hours.
Parts of Lower Michigan may not destabilize much in the wake of
morning convection and attendant severe probabilities have been
reduced in this outlook as a result.

Later in the day, models suggest some re-intensification of the MCS
and/or remnant boundaries from Pennsylvania westward to Indiana/Ohio
as moderate to strong surface-based destabilization occurs within
the undisturbed pre-convective airmass.
[/color]Deep shear profiles favor
storm organization, with an evolution into forward-propagating
linear segments expected into the afternoon. Damaging wind gusts
and large hail are likely in this region - and [color="#FF0000"]portions of
Ohio/Pennsylvania may need an upgrade in later outlooks
once
finer-scale details of convective evolution become clearer.
Furthermore, an isolated tornado threat may evolve in Pennsylvania,
where low-level shear parameters (although modest) become maximized
in the early evening due to veering of flow with height
.

Isolated to scattered convection should develop as far west as the
Mississippi River in Illinois along and ahead of a surface boundary
across the region and within a strongly unstable airmass (MUCAPE
values exceeding 4000 J/kg). 15%/slight risk probabilities have
been maintained in the area to address this threat.
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so_whats_happeni...
post Jul 22 2017, 04:07 AM
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Really starting to get excited yet cautious at what may happen later today. Meso models are starting to show a really decent to maybe intense line of storms that forms later today and plows across PA and MD. This has the looks of a rather intense MCS to come across the region and with CAPE values still around from yesterday and the region currently experiencing clear skies across the area, strong destabilzation should take place. Im concerned with mainly a wind threat, maybe a few hail reports tossed in there initially, but also a big concern is on the northern end and any notched regions that form for a tornado threat. If many havent seen the pictures of what can happen with even a small complex from wednesday that produced an EF1 up near buffalo, just keep it in mind is all. The front is currently laid across PA into NJ that will allow for decent veering of winds enough so to cause that rotation and possibly local enhancement of individual cells as the system moves closer.

Systems like this tend to move a little quicker then modeled (6-7pm) so would not rule out a mid afternoon say 3-4pm passage in through much of CPA. Fun times ahead keep an eye to the sky and be prepared. I know ill be outside with my phone taking video.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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Undertakerson
post Jul 22 2017, 05:37 AM
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The CTP HWO using some very "vanilla" and uncertain terms to convey their thoughts. dry.gif


QUOTE
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
618 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

PAZ017>019-024>028-033>036-049-050-052-056>059-063>066-231030-
Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-
Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Union-Snyder-
Northumberland-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-
York-Lancaster-
618 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater and
localized flooding are possible this afternoon or evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater and
large hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible Sunday
afternoon or evening.
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Undertakerson
post Jul 22 2017, 05:45 AM
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I, like Tylor, have noticed the rather erratic performance of HRRR in recent memory. TBH - ever since two winter's ago, I really don't trust that product when it gets beyond Hr10.

We're within that time frame at present (9z currently running) and I'm taking note to the "looping" Hodograph's - not just once, but twice within the column at the same time as the reflectivity shows the best convection. Obviously, I would think rotating cells within the batch moving through Central PA at 3 p.m. or there abouts.

Soon, we'll get better images of the visible sats, and I would think, a better idea of the potential for additional destabilization.

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phillyfan
post Jul 22 2017, 08:24 AM
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Slight risk zones have shifted south a bit for the next 2 days:
Today:
Attached Image


Sunday:
Attached Image


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23, 7/1, 7/13, 7/20, 8/12, 8/18, 8/22, 9/5
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 8/5, 8/12, 8/18, 8/19, 8/22, 9/5
Tornado Warning: 7/13
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19, 7/14, 7/23-24, 7/28-29(Cancelled), 8/18
Flash Flood Warning: 7/13, 7/23-24, 7/28-29, 8/18, 9/5
Pea Size Hail: 2/25, 9/5

90 Degree Days: 17 / Heat Waves: 3
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Undertakerson
post Jul 22 2017, 08:53 AM
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QUOTE
1. A complex of strong thunderstorms over eastern OH that has
produced isolated strong/damaging gusts overnight, and the northern
OH MCV. Isolated severe potential exists over the next couple
hours; see SPC mesoscale discussion 1393 for near-term details.

This convection primarily is located along and north of an outflow
boundary from earlier convection that extends east-southeastward
into central WV. As the MCV and trailing trough proceed
east-southeastward, either ongoing activity or newly generated
storms will encounter a destabilizing boundary layer across the
central Appalachians and across the adjoining Piedmont and Fall
Line, to the lowlands of NJ and the Delmarva Peninsula. Pockets of
strong surface heating are probable through breaks in cloud cover,
contributing to minimal MLCINH and well-mixed subcloud layers
supporting wind-gust potential.
Forecast soundings suggest modest
midlevel lapse rates will be offset by sufficient low-level
moisture/destabilization to yield 800-1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Deep shear
will diminish southward, with buoyancy weakening northward past the
front -- the optimal overlaps between supportive westerlies aloft
and instability being in the outlook area. Some subset of this
swath may need 30%/enhanced wind probabilities as mesoscale
trends/details become better focused.
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Undertakerson
post Jul 22 2017, 09:11 AM
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When Cranky does the heavy lifting by illustrating graphics - why not borrow them if they align with your particular train of thought.



Attached Image
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Undertakerson
post Jul 22 2017, 09:25 AM
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3K NAM at 12z is trying to make Round One also contain rotating cells

Attached Image
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MaineJay
post Jul 22 2017, 09:32 AM
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Simply gorgeous, by my metrics, for a summer day. 81, but finally on the dry side of things. Like 50/50 sun/clouds. Perfecto, that's Spanish for perfect.

#alotofopeopledontknowthat

biggrin.gif


--------------------
The Solar Eclipse is coming!! Thread

"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein
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phillyfan
post Jul 22 2017, 12:35 PM
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From: Wernersville, PA (Berks Co.)
Member No.: 12,448





Only meso discussion out right now, watch unlikely even south of the mason dixon line:


QUOTE
Mesoscale Discussion 1394
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1212 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

Areas affected...Portions of MD...DE...northern VA...southern
PA...Washington DC

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 221712Z - 221945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A small, remnant convective system will spread across
parts of the Mid-Atlantic through the afternoon, posing a risk for
at least isolated wind damage. While present indications are that
Watch issuance is unlikely, convective and environmental trends will
continue to be monitored across the area.

DISCUSSION...The leading convective line of a persistent MCS is
crossing the Appalachians, and should continue along its eastward
track across portions of the Mid-Atlantic region through the
afternoon hours. This activity lies well in advance of a mid-level
speed maximum crossing the lower Great Lakes region, and principally
south of a broader belt of enhanced westerly flow aloft.

The LWX VAD wind profile is indicating only around 10-20 kt of flow
in the 1-2-km layer, suggesting that convective momentum transport
will be quite limited, as the remnant system maintains some
semblance of pseudo-organization amid modest 25-30 kt of effective
shear. Regardless, diurnally strengthening baroclinicity along the
gust front owing to surface heating ahead of the convective line has
resulted in a slight uptick of convective cores, as convective
inflow destabilizes. With surface temperatures breaching 90F amid
dewpoints in the lower 70s, adequate buoyancy may exist for
sufficiently robust convective cores to produce sporadic wind damage
eastward toward the Atlantic Coast.

Modest deep shear, the lack of a more substantial convectively
driven cold pool, weak low-level flow, and weak mid-level lapse
rates should all limit the severe risk. Regardless, if a stronger,
convectively-driven cold pool were to eventually evolve from
convection as it spreads east of the Appalachians and encounters
steeper low-level lapse rates, prospects for Watch issuance could
increase.

..Cohen/Grams.. 07/22/2017


--------------------
Severe Weather 2017:

High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23, 7/1, 7/13, 7/20, 8/12, 8/18, 8/22, 9/5
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 8/5, 8/12, 8/18, 8/19, 8/22, 9/5
Tornado Warning: 7/13
Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
Flash Flood Watch: 6/19, 7/14, 7/23-24, 7/28-29(Cancelled), 8/18
Flash Flood Warning: 7/13, 7/23-24, 7/28-29, 8/18, 9/5
Pea Size Hail: 2/25, 9/5

90 Degree Days: 17 / Heat Waves: 3
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