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> March 1st-2nd Winter Storm For Southern ON, Will this finally be the "the big one"?
SNOWBOB11
post Feb 28 2018, 01:09 PM
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There has been a shift south on models. GTA could be dropping out of the game for big time accumulation. Still time for shifts though.
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markj138
post Feb 28 2018, 01:27 PM
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The 12 z euro shifted south of the gta,still looks like a decent hit on all models

Attached File  ecmwf_acc_snow_greatlakes_60.thumb.png.5e0bf8b6a7c9e19e45fc324bbea13e6b.png ( 521.75K ) Number of downloads: 4
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frosty
post Feb 28 2018, 01:36 PM
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biggrin.gif I'm going out to wash my car ! laugh.gif
That usually helps to move precipitation my way

This post has been edited by frosty: Feb 28 2018, 01:37 PM
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snowbelt
post Feb 28 2018, 01:56 PM
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^^^ Very true frosty , I will do the same........
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Lake effect
post Feb 28 2018, 02:11 PM
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Shouldn't have started a thread, SE she goes.
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snowgeek93
post Feb 28 2018, 02:33 PM
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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 28 2018, 01:09 PM) *
There has been a shift south on models. GTA could be dropping out of the game for big time accumulation. Still time for shifts though.

What a surprise... rolleyes.gif tongue.gif


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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SNOWBOB11
post Feb 28 2018, 02:51 PM
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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Feb 28 2018, 02:33 PM) *
What a surprise... rolleyes.gif tongue.gif

Itís not completely over. Just might not be in the higher amounts. One plus is with a further SE track areas more NW should have lower temps and ratios no less than 10:1.
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markj138
post Feb 28 2018, 03:10 PM
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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 28 2018, 02:51 PM) *
Itís not completely over. Just might not be in the higher amounts. One plus is with a further SE track areas more NW should have lower temps and ratios no less than 10:1.


laugh.gif 18z nam disagrees
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markj138
post Feb 28 2018, 03:15 PM
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WOW that is ridiculous

Attached File  namconus_ref_frzn_us_31.png ( 159.28K ) Number of downloads: 6
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SNOWBOB11
post Feb 28 2018, 03:16 PM
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QUOTE(markj138 @ Feb 28 2018, 03:15 PM) *
WOW that is ridiculous

Attached File  namconus_ref_frzn_us_31.png ( 159.28K ) Number of downloads: 6

What the flip? Wow that is a major shift. Iím really curious if the other models will follow.
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Astronomer
post Feb 28 2018, 03:32 PM
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Brett's storm prediction:

Attached File  Storm_MAr_1.jpg ( 360.49K ) Number of downloads: 11

Attached File(s)
Attached File  590x330_02281953_storm228.png ( 257.58K ) Number of downloads: 1
 
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dsichewski
post Feb 28 2018, 03:36 PM
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Attached File  202004F5_3D51_4BD1_B9C4_D1F88F5829BE.jpeg ( 65.21K ) Number of downloads: 0
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markj138
post Feb 28 2018, 03:41 PM
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QUOTE(Astronomer @ Feb 28 2018, 03:32 PM) *
Brett's storm prediction:

Attached File  Storm_MAr_1.jpg ( 360.49K ) Number of downloads: 11


These must be going on the 12z runs because its a complete miss now.
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puttin
post Feb 28 2018, 03:50 PM
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QUOTE(markj138 @ Feb 28 2018, 03:41 PM) *
These must be going on the 12z runs because its a complete miss now.


That's just amazing to me how fast that happened. Oh well, it is what it is.... but you never know. Wish I could move that fast!
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Lake effect
post Feb 28 2018, 04:04 PM
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QUOTE(puttin @ Feb 28 2018, 03:50 PM) *
That's just amazing to me how fast that happened. Oh well, it is what it is.... but you never know. Wish I could move that fast!



Really? you find it amazing after every single storm has either gone SE or NW this season since Christmas...cursed I tells you, we're cursed to forever watch storms go to our gun slinging neighbors.
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Lake effect
post Feb 28 2018, 04:07 PM
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I told you we shouldn't start a thread. You couldn't make it up, it's like someone has put masking tape over ontario and sprayed the can at the North East:

Attached File  namconus_asnow_neus_29.png ( 146.93K ) Number of downloads: 2
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frosty
post Feb 28 2018, 04:25 PM
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Well I did an extra good job washing my car, its quite nice out there today

EC is keeping the faith

5 day forecast typically call for Snow at times heavy. Amount 10 to 20 cm. (on Thursday night)

SWS in place for communities on the west end of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie shore

"Potential for heavy snowfall late Thursday into Friday morning.

Rain is expected to develop Thursday as a strong low pressure system from Texas approaches the Great Lakes area. The rain will likely change to snow late in the day or Thursday evening as colder air moves into the region.

There is still considerable uncertainty regarding the exact evolution of this strong Texas low.

However, there is a potential for snowfall amounts of 15 cm or more late Thursday into Friday morning for portions of Southwestern Ontario and the Golden Horseshoe. In addition, strong and gusty northeast winds to 60 km/h may result in areas of blowing snow and very poor visibility.

This late winter snowfall may have a significant impact on the commute to work on Friday morning."

mellow.gif I'm surprised Mr Music hasn't jumped in yet
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plowguy
post Feb 28 2018, 04:29 PM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 28 2018, 04:07 PM) *
I told you we shouldn't start a thread. You couldn't make it up, it's like someone has put masking tape over ontario and sprayed the can at the North East:

Attached File  namconus_asnow_neus_29.png ( 146.93K ) Number of downloads: 2

LMAO!
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plowguy
post Feb 28 2018, 04:31 PM
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I'll take the miss.
Had some surgery last Friday going to be out for a while. Either way...I'm on the couch watching Magnum PI reruns. No snow in Hawaii cool.gif
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Apocalypse
post Feb 28 2018, 04:39 PM
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Attached File  nam3km_asnow_ferrier_neus_49.png ( 167.26K ) Number of downloads: 1


Looks a lot further south than previous runs.
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