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EF-3 (Very Frequent Poster)
21 years old
South Central Minnesota
Born Nov-16-1997
weather, sports, tech


Strongest winds: 84 mph
Largest hail: 1''
Tornadoes: 1
Highest temperature: 102F
Highest dew point: 82F
Highest heat index: 125F
Coldest temperature: -26F
Coldest wind chill: -43F
Most snow: 18''
Most rain: 5.5''

2017-2018 Winter

Winter Weather Advisories: 7

Winter Storm Warnings: 6

Blizzard Warnings: 2

Windchill Advisories: 4

Windchill Warnings: 0

Largest snowfall: 8.8''

Seasonal snowfall: 58.3''

Coldest temperature: -19F

Coldest windchill: -40F


Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 8

Tornado Watches: 4

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1

Tornado Warnings: 0

Largest hail: 1''

Warmest Temperature: 99F

90F+ days: 21

Highest Heat Index: 116F

2016-2017 Winter

Winter Storm Warnings: 3

Blizzard Warnings: 1

Windchill Warnings: 1

Largest snowfall: 11.5''

Seasonal snowfall: 24''

Coldest temperature: -26F

Coldest windchill: -40F

Tornado Watches: 1
Joined: 20-January 12
Profile Views: 105,009*
Last Seen: 30th September 2018 - 11:30 PM
Local Time: Dec 12 2018, 01:48 PM
715 posts (0 per day)
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My Content
23 Jul 2018
There's a system moving in from the west today.

Attached Image

Wednesday (could be upgrade)
Attached Image
28 Jun 2018
Surprisingly no topic yet. Today looks really active with all threats. Tomorrow looks mild and Saturday looks to pick up.
Attached Image

Severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the northern
Plains Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. The primary threat
will be damaging winds, but large hail and perhaps a couple
tornadoes will be possible as well. Elsewhere, isolated
strong/severe storms will be possible from the mid Mississippi
Valley to the Southeast, as well as over parts of the Northeast.

Pertinent features for this convective outlook will generally be
situated around the periphery of an expansive mid-level ridge
anchored over the central Plains. Although 500mb height tendencies
will be neutral/slightly positive across the northern Plains
initially (owing to lower-level warm advection), heights will
gradually fall through Thursday night with the approach of an
upstream trough over the Pacific Northwest. Farther east, a compact
impulse will cross the Hudson Valley and southern/central New
England through the afternoon. Meanwhile, a series of
low-amplitude/convectively augmented impulses will drop southeast
from the mid Mississippi Valley to the Southeast through the period.

...Northern Plains...
In response to continued warm advection over Montana and the
Dakotas, a warm front will lift northward towards the Canadian
border through the day. Meanwhile, a cold front will begin to
accelerate southeast over central Montana during the evening hours.
Between these two surface features, southeasterly flow will
transport mid/upper 60s dew points over the western Dakotas and into
eastern Montana. Closer to the trough / cooler temperatures aloft,
convection should initiate near/ahead of the cold front over the
higher terrain of Montana. Here, steep mid-level lapse rates and
strong effective shear will likely yield a few supercells and/or
bowing segments, capable of large hail and damaging winds during the
afternoon and evening.

Saturday NAM. SPC forecast will tell us more.
12 Jun 2018
Another system coming in two days across the Dakotas.
Attached Image

Northern Plains...
Broad mid-level ridging and a related subsidence inversion around
850-700mb will likely preclude thunderstorm development through much
of the day Thursday. However, gradually falling heights and
associated cooling/moistening aloft over western/central North
Dakota should sufficiently weaken the inversion for severe
thunderstorm development during the evening and early overnight
hours. Most of these storms are expected to develop along/ahead of a
surface front/trough pushing east through the overnight.

Ahead of the surface boundary, a plume of upper 60s/lower 70s dew
points will spread northward through the day, beneath very steep
700-500mb lapse rates across much of the region. Resultant buoyancy
should be strong, and favorable effective shear will organize
updrafts sufficiently for a threat of very large hail and damaging
winds with initial supercellular development. The magnitude of the
tornado threat remains more uncertain. Although low-level shear will
strengthen with time and eastward extent, strong downdraft momentum
and initially modest boundary-layer flow may favor quick upscale
growth during the evening hours. Therefore, convective mode
evolution could limit tornadic potential late Thursday. Still, a
damaging wind threat would likely be maintained, especially if a
larger convective system organizes and accelerates eastward from
North Dakota into northwest Minnesota during the overnight.
2 Jun 2018
Severe weather looking possible middle of this upcoming week for the midwest.

The primary focus for the extended period will be centered on
shortwave troughs cresting the top of an amplifying ridge over the
Plains states. As these perturbations cross the northern Plains and
upper Midwest, they will provide some focus for strong/severe
convective development, with the most likely period being
D4/Tue-D5/Wed, primarily from North Dakota to the upper Mississippi
Valley. A relatively narrow reservoir of adequate
moisture/instability will likely have returned to the region ahead
of these systems, offering some potential for damaging winds and
large hail. Despite this potential, no highlights are introduced,
owing to deterministic/ensemble guidance exhibiting considerable
uncertainty with regards to the amplitude/timing of individual
impulses cresting the ridge. In turn, the most likely zone for
severe convection remains too nebulous/broad at present.

Models look decent

Dr. Greg Forbes:
Attached Image

Attached Image
30 Apr 2018
Every email I try I get this.
The error returned was:
That email address cannot be used as it is already in our records

I know the email I want to use is not in use. I even tried spam emails I have and still get the error. The email I'm registered with now is from an old ISP and unusable. Anyway to fix this?
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