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> January 26-27 Mid Atlantic/NE Blizzard Review
yankees
post Jan 27 2015, 02:53 PM
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I thought I would start a topic to discuss the models and forecasts for this storm.


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09-10 43.5 inches ( Newly Updated from 39 inches)
10-11 60.5 inches
11-12 21 inches
12-13 45.5 inches
13-14 57 inches
14-15 57.5 inches
15-16 28.5 inches
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WEATHERFAN100
post Jan 27 2015, 03:16 PM
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Good thread. I don't want to see anyone use "King" and "Euro" in the same sentence again for awhile.


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-James
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 27 2015, 03:29 PM
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QUOTE(WEATHERFAN100 @ Jan 27 2015, 03:16 PM) *
Good thread. I don't want to see anyone use "King" and "Euro" in the same sentence again for awhile.

I don't think anyone will use "King Euro" again. That is, until the next time the ECM shows 2 feet of snow in the I-95 corridor and the GFS is offshore. Then according to social media it's king again.

...and after reviewing my post I noticed I used "King" and "Euro" in the same sentence laugh.gif

This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: Jan 27 2015, 03:30 PM
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yankees
post Jan 27 2015, 03:48 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Jan 27 2015, 03:29 PM) *
I don't think anyone will use "King Euro" again. That is, until the next time the ECM shows 2 feet of snow in the I-95 corridor and the GFS is offshore. Then according to social media it's king again.

...and after reviewing my post I noticed I used "King" and "Euro" in the same sentence laugh.gif


I think we learned with this storm that you cant base forecasts mainly off of what one model is showing and I believe that is what many forecasters including the NWS did. Usually the NWS takes the other models more into account then with this storm but as somebody pointed out they canceled some of the advisories to early with last weeks ice event so maybe they overcompensated for some areas with this storm. The only other thing I think the NWS should be more careful about is putting historical in warnings. I would not put that word in a warning unless the storm is underway and appears to be on its way to being historical or every model has it being historical. I believe however the NWS especially Upton does a great job with the majority of storms. They usually forecast amount ranges that the majority of towns in that county will see.


--------------------
Summer Weather Safety
Summer is here and here are some tips to stay safe

Severe Weather
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/severeweather/index.shtml

Heat Safety
http://nws.noaa.gov/os/heat/index.shtml



09-10 43.5 inches ( Newly Updated from 39 inches)
10-11 60.5 inches
11-12 21 inches
12-13 45.5 inches
13-14 57 inches
14-15 57.5 inches
15-16 28.5 inches
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WEATHERFAN100
post Jan 27 2015, 03:55 PM
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Millersville University meteorologist tweeted this out.

QUOTE
E. Horst, MU WIC
‏@MUweather This is sad. Of course, the media madness also contributes to the hype & letdown that follows. http://www.cnbc.com/id/102371281

Attached Image

And to think most of the previous major/historic storms which were forecasted extremely well, might be all forgotten now after this one.


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-James
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AVF21
post Jan 27 2015, 04:16 PM
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QUOTE(WEATHERFAN100 @ Jan 27 2015, 03:55 PM) *
Millersville University meteorologist tweeted this out.
Attached Image

And to think most of the previous major/historic storms which were forecasted extremely well, might be all forgotten now after this one.

That's a problem. I see a lot of people saying that meteorologists are "fools", "useless", and many more things.

People have to understand that the weather is unpredictable sometimes. People will bash them for getting it wrong once, and like you said, all the times they were accurate goes to waste. Next time a blizzard is said nobody will believe it and that is when it will be dangerous.

This post has been edited by AVF21: Jan 27 2015, 04:28 PM


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