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> Feb. 20-22 MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, Closed
monsoonevans
post Feb 9 2010, 11:17 PM
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Well, lets start talking about this. The dynamics are pretty good and the temps should still be well in line to support. We shall see. Here's the GFS at for the 21st. Huge bomb potential wink.gif Matt can post the image when he gets a chance as I am having trouble doing so.


--------------------
Monsoon

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mac24312
post Feb 10 2010, 09:35 AM
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QUOTE(monsoonevans @ Feb 9 2010, 11:17 PM) *
Well, lets start talking about this. The dynamics are pretty good and the temps should still be well in line to support. We shall see. Here's the GFS at for the 21st. Huge bomb potential wink.gif Matt can post the image when he gets a chance as I am having trouble doing so.



Subbing to see if there will be anything in this for us... wink.gif
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BunkNS79
post Feb 10 2010, 11:42 AM
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QUOTE(mac24312 @ Feb 10 2010, 09:35 AM) *
Subbing to see if there will be anything in this for us... wink.gif



I had tried starting a post yesterday, however the site wouldn't upload the attachments. GFS looked solid yesterday a.m. for this storm. Should be interesting to follow..
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KennyInPA
post Feb 10 2010, 01:59 PM
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I have a trip to south Jersey planned for this weekend, so I'd like this one to go way north into New England bypassing PA and NJ. (Just asking if mother nature post here!) I could leave on the 19th early, but would rather not. I'm curious to see the runs.
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weathergurl
post Feb 10 2010, 05:21 PM
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Accu weather does 15 days out, and its not even mentioned. They actually have me in the mid 40's.
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KennyInPA
post Feb 10 2010, 06:02 PM
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QUOTE(weathergurl @ Feb 10 2010, 05:21 PM) *
Accu weather does 15 days out, and its not even mentioned. They actually have me in the mid 40's.


Here in Central PA it says "Snow" for the 20th. In Philly it is calling for morning "Snow". Baltimore says "Snow much of the time".
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telejunkie
post Feb 10 2010, 08:29 PM
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AO looks to remain in the tank, NAO looks to be rising in this time frame to closer to neutral and PNA looks at or above neutral...so am liking the possibilities here. I'm figuring NE gotta cash-in at some point in this winter from that sub-tropical jet...think it just may be during the retreating jet period of late Feb-mid March.


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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NorEaster07
post Feb 10 2010, 10:14 PM
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You gotta stick with the trend and the trend is coastal lows coming up the coast or near. So until the trend changes we need to assume what we're seeing is right.

and if the trend doesn't change...well then let the snow keep falling. smile.gif
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lifeisgo0d
post Feb 11 2010, 07:17 AM
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QUOTE(SkyPower @ Feb 10 2010, 10:14 PM) *
You gotta stick with the trend and the trend is coastal lows coming up the coast or near. So until the trend changes we need to assume what we're seeing is right.

and if the trend doesn't change...well then let the snow keep falling. smile.gif

looks interesting this morning. Way out there though.


--------------------
-------------------------




Total Snowfall this season 48.5"
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LUCC
post Feb 11 2010, 09:15 AM
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Any maps?


--------------------

Winter '17-'18
12/9 - 5.5"
12/13-14 - 1.5"
12/15 - 2.25"
12/30 - 4"
1/4 - 6.5"
1/17 - 1"
2/17 - 3.5"
3/2 - 0.5"
3/7 - 10.25" (thanks PARD)
3/13 - 2.25"
3/21 - 11.5"

Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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mac24312
post Feb 11 2010, 09:16 AM
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Very interesting again...
wink.gif
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RedDaemon
post Feb 11 2010, 09:29 AM
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QUOTE(LUCC @ Feb 11 2010, 09:15 AM) *
Any maps?



images:

Last night's 0z GFS

Hr 228:

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/gf...bTSLPp12228.gif

Hr 240:

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/gf...bTSLPp12240.gif

Hr 252:

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/gf...bTSLPp12252.gif

Hr 264:

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/gf...bTSLPp12264.gif

Hr 276:

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/gf...bTSLPp12276.gif

This post has been edited by RedDaemon: Feb 11 2010, 09:30 AM
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shaunalbany
post Feb 11 2010, 10:54 AM
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accuweather 15 day outlook has 2 storms in this time one 20th-21st and another 24th-25th..monster on the gfs in henrys video at the end, calls it a" grand finale" pattern changer

This post has been edited by shaunalbany: Feb 11 2010, 10:57 AM
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RedDaemon
post Feb 11 2010, 11:15 AM
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QUOTE(shaunalbany @ Feb 11 2010, 10:54 AM) *
another 24th-25th..monster on the gfs


indeed.
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Removed_Member_Snowrider_*
post Feb 11 2010, 11:52 AM
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QUOTE(shaunalbany @ Feb 11 2010, 10:54 AM) *
accuweather 15 day outlook has 2 storms in this time one 20th-21st and another 24th-25th..monster on the gfs in henrys video at the end, calls it a" grand finale" pattern changer


Where would I find Henry's video?

Snowrider.
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Stayhomeday24
post Feb 11 2010, 12:11 PM
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http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.a...og=meteomadness


QUOTE(Snowrider @ Feb 11 2010, 11:52 AM) *
Where would I find Henry's video?

Snowrider.

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telejunkie
post Feb 11 2010, 01:08 PM
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QUOTE(SkyPower @ Feb 10 2010, 10:14 PM) *
You gotta stick with the trend and the trend is coastal lows coming up the coast or near. So until the trend changes we need to assume what we're seeing is right.

and if the trend doesn't change...well then let the snow keep falling. smile.gif


The trends are for the coastal lows not to track up the coast...that's been NEs problem. Tracking 100-200 miles up the coast doesn't count! Last storm to seriously turn up the coast was the Dec 12-14 storm, MLK kind of did, unfortunately for me that one phased too late and I got squat.


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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snofan
post Feb 11 2010, 01:47 PM
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QUOTE(RedDaemon @ Feb 11 2010, 09:29 AM) *



Looks real nice


--------------------
Dave • Jericho, VT
Eastern Chittenden County
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NorEaster07
post Feb 11 2010, 03:54 PM
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Ummm, according to those images (oZGFS) that would be INSANE for coastal CT. that low makes a sudden turn east to go just underneath NYC?? Whenever you want the moist totals out of 1 storm you need to be near the low. It looks like that right now.

So the question now lies....1. Will there be enough Cold Air in Place. 2. How much moisture is associated with it.

I would assume all the snow cover we have will keep temps from going above 40 for a couple weeks.
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weathergurl
post Feb 11 2010, 04:05 PM
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QUOTE(Stayhomeday24 @ Feb 11 2010, 12:11 PM) *



He says the one for Monday looks like a 4-8" snow for us!
But there weather alert for us, says 2.7". I wish they would sync to what is being shown to us in our web forecast. That's what makes these so confusing, my 15 day forecast says 2.7, his video says 4-8".
Not complaing, just want to know which one to believe.
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