 Jan 14-16 East EXTREME Cold Outbreak, -51 In Maine Friday! -22 In PA Saturday! |
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| Removed_Member_BaltimoreWeatherguy21_* |
 Jan 8 2009, 12:09 AM
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#1
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GFS shows extremely cold temps for the middle/end of next week.
 
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Jan 8 2009, 02:05 AM
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#2
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Rank: Tornado  Group: Member Posts: 85 Joined: 25-January 08 From: Canonsburg Pa Member No.: 13,059 |
QUOTE(BaltimoreWeatherguy21 @ Jan 8 2009, 01:09 AM)  GFS shows extremely cold temps for the middle/end of next week. I like snow minus the cold air! Yuck! |
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Jan 8 2009, 07:20 AM
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#3
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 Admin Group: Administrator Posts: 7,108 Joined: 6-March 05 From: State College, PA Member No.: 2 |
You guys just beat me to it,
 I was going to start this thread after I saw my AccuWeather.com forecast last night (for those of you who don't live around here, our normals are about 19/33 this time of year) And I read a comment on an AccuWeather.com headline last night that said NYC could approach zero next week. Our official forecast is calling for 13 as the minimum next week, as of this morning, but their normal low is 27! 
-------------------- -- Jesse Ferrell, FORUM ADMIN & MODERATOR
-- AccuWeather.com Meteorologist / Social Media Coordinator -- My Blog | My Facebook Page  HELPFUL LINKS: MODEL FAQ / WEATHER QUESTIONS | FORUM FAQ / QUESTIONS STAY ON TOPIC! TALK ABOUT PAST STORMS | TALK ABOUT NON-WEATHER STUFF |
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Jan 8 2009, 08:08 AM
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#4
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 33,197 Joined: 16-March 08 From: Covington, VA Member No.: 14,395 |
Accuweather calling for 26/11 for me with a little snow on Jan 14th, normals 41/21. Its cold but not record breaking.
This post has been edited by wxdude1964: Jan 8 2009, 08:08 AM -------------------- Snowfall 2007-2008 season-11.4 inches
Snowfall 2008-2009 season-13.1 inches Snowfall 2009-2010 season-68.6 inches Snowfall 2010-2011 season-19.5 inches Snowfall 2011-2012 season-16.5 inches. Snowfall 2012-2013 season-25.9 inches. |
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Jan 8 2009, 09:34 AM
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#5
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 276 Joined: 7-October 08 From: 5 miles south of St. Louis Missouri Member No.: 15,859 |
I like this pattern because the western end of that trough looks like it will bring storms and hopefully some snow to St. Louis. Man you guys in the east better bundle up in those heavy coats and stay warm and well. That is usually the weather that we get hear in St. Louis around mid to late January. Even though I like the cold it gets on my nerves after a few days when their is no snow and constant temps around in the teens and single digits. Once again I hope you guys stay well.
-------------------- When I need sugary energy drinks to get hyped up in the winter, you know I am lacking snow!
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Jan 8 2009, 09:53 AM
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#6
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 253 Joined: 3-February 08 From: Middleton, MA Member No.: 13,414 |
Fairbanks and much of central Alaska haven't moved from 40-50 below F in the last week. One station in East Central Alaska came in at -64 F.
My forecast for the morning of the 15th is -4 F. -------------------- Winter, 2012-2013
Dec 29th - 4" snow - Jan 16th - 4" snow - Jan 21st - 0.5" snow - Jan 28th - 1.5" snow - Feb 8-9th - 25" snow - Feb 16th - 5" snow - Feb 23rd - 3" snow - March 8th - 18" snow - March 19th - 10" snow - Total - 71" Winter, 2011-2012, Snowfall - 9.5" Winter, 2010-2011, Snowfall - 89.5" Winter, 2009-2010, Snowfall - 40" |
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Jan 8 2009, 10:08 AM
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#7
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 276 Joined: 7-October 08 From: 5 miles south of St. Louis Missouri Member No.: 15,859 |
QUOTE(Bellhorn12 @ Jan 8 2009, 11:53 AM) Fairbanks and much of central Alaska haven't moved from 40-50 below F in the last week. One station in East Central Alaska came in at -64 F. My forecast for the morning of the 15th is -4 F. And they call this global warming?  -------------------- When I need sugary energy drinks to get hyped up in the winter, you know I am lacking snow!
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Jan 9 2009, 10:09 AM
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#8
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Admin Group: Administrator Posts: 7,108 Joined: 6-March 05 From: State College, PA Member No.: 2 |
The GFS model is showing incredible, historic temperatures for next week, including:
-13 F In New York City -37 Or Below In Pennsylvania On my blog I have a more in-depth discussion and maps including: - Why you should probably not believe the model's prediction - How this factors into New York City's history Here are some highlights: QUOTE I can tell you without even looking at historical data that a -13 degree reading would be "historic" in the Big Apple. If you do look at their history, you find that -15 was the lowest they have been there since 1869. Now, there are a few things to consider here, before we freak out. 1. The graph about is a "point and click" model forecast. If you run the numbers from the "MOS" ("Model Output Statistics") program, which refines the forecast, you come out with -20.6 C or -5 F: 2. The model is attempting to predict a forecast at 8 days out, and the GFS does have a cold bias in its longer range, so it's likely it would moderate between now and then. 3. The model could be underestimating the "heat island effect" of New York City. Negative 5 is still impressive, but let's assume even the MOS is 5 degrees too cold and call it 0. Given all that, then the question becomes, when was the last time it was below zero in New York City? The answer, according to the National Weather Service, is 1994. Before that, you have to go back to 1948 to find a reading below -2. 
-------------------- -- Jesse Ferrell, FORUM ADMIN & MODERATOR
-- AccuWeather.com Meteorologist / Social Media Coordinator -- My Blog | My Facebook Page HELPFUL LINKS: MODEL FAQ / WEATHER QUESTIONS | FORUM FAQ / QUESTIONS STAY ON TOPIC! TALK ABOUT PAST STORMS | TALK ABOUT NON-WEATHER STUFF |
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Jan 9 2009, 12:02 PM
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#9
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 101 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Peacham VT Member No.: 16,602 |
Doesn't look that bad up here for that stretch. Forecast has us at -12f for a couple of nights but looks like each night is overcast, snow showers so that is probably what is keeping the temps higher.
http://www.accuweather.com/us/nh/littleton...&traveler=0 This post has been edited by the iceman: Jan 9 2009, 12:02 PM |
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Jan 9 2009, 04:54 PM
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#10
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 951 Joined: 13-April 08 From: Penn State University -- Hazleton Campus Member No.: 14,654 |
WBRE has a forecast high for W-B next Friday of 6!
-------------------- Winter storm grades:
12/26-27: F; shafted big-time 1/11: C+; kind of shafted, but decent snowfall 1/26: F; wrong side of a major cutoff again Winter grade so far: D |
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Jan 10 2009, 11:55 AM
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#11
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 2,438 Joined: 27-August 05 From: Millersville, PA Member No.: 1,182 |
Incredible cold depicted by 12Z GFS for KABE. Thickness down to 490!!!
 Anthony -------------------- |
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Jan 10 2009, 01:31 PM
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#12
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,208 Joined: 18-February 08 From: Lehigh Valley, PA Member No.: 13,770 |
GFS has a high of -2 for Friday
That would shatter all records. -------------------- Lead forecaster for Foot's Forecast SE PA Team
Follow my forecasts for eastern PA on Twitter and Facebook |
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Jan 10 2009, 03:45 PM
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#13
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,690 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Mount Vernon, NY Member No.: 12,006 |
I'm speechless........
-------------------- CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: Meelec M6(MSRP $49.99), VSonic GR06 (MSRP $49.99), Meelec CC51(MSRP $80), Beyerdynamic DTX 910 (MSRP $89.99), Future Sonics Atrio X (MSRP $99.99),Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)
SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E6 Amp w/FilmPro 16GB MicroSD Card Class 10 To learn more about Sound Frequency: http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors) http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20 |
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Jan 10 2009, 09:11 PM
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#14
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 130 Joined: 12-January 08 From: Palm Coast, FL Member No.: 12,332 |
QUOTE(Niyologist @ Jan 10 2009, 04:45 PM) I'm speechless........ Can somebody please explain to me why my accuweather forecast in Palm Coast, FLORIDA shows snow flurries, 54 degrees for the last day? I know it's not accurate right now, but interesting. It also shows heavy rain with a 30 degree tempurature lol on another night. I have a feeling snow will make a nice surprise here. This post has been edited by reedzone: Jan 10 2009, 09:12 PM |
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Jan 10 2009, 09:24 PM
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#15
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,494 Joined: 3-November 08 From: Perry Hall,MD Member No.: 16,078 |
First map
-------------------- No Wishcasting,Just Forecasting
I be on facebook a lot lol Summers a skorcher, don't let it continue, 105 BWI 7/6/10 FTW Winter 2010-2011:Moderate/Strong La Nina? Stay Tuned -PDO/Global Cooling on the way? http://wxunleashed.blogspot.com/ |
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Jan 11 2009, 10:19 AM
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#16
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 951 Joined: 13-April 08 From: Penn State University -- Hazleton Campus Member No.: 14,654 |
Cold shot is quickly becoming less impressive.
-------------------- Winter storm grades:
12/26-27: F; shafted big-time 1/11: C+; kind of shafted, but decent snowfall 1/26: F; wrong side of a major cutoff again Winter grade so far: D |
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Jan 11 2009, 02:04 PM
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#17
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,391 Joined: 7-February 08 From: Scarborough, ME Member No.: 13,495 |
QUOTE(WBwxwatcher92 @ Jan 11 2009, 11:19 AM) Cold shot is quickly becoming less impressive. yup-- here in Portland, Maine? maybe -10F Friday or Saturday morning, which historically is extremely UNimpressive..... heck, in an "average" winter over the past 40 years, Portland could expect to bottom out at about -14F.... These predicted temps don't come anywhere CLOSE to record low temps. You know... we had 3-- yes, THREE-- record HIGH temps in Dec. '08 here, yet barely a word is spoken about them in the MSM or at AccuWeather...... we haven't had a record low in YEARS... literally........ |
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Jan 11 2009, 02:12 PM
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#18
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,846 Joined: 16-February 08 From: Mahopac, New York Member No.: 13,731 |
Must be an error but in thought it was funny my forcast for sunday is -80
Sunday: Cold, with a high near -80 http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?l...nit=0&lg=en -------------------- Severe Weather Safety
Spring is soon to be upon us and here are some tips for severe weather season. Thunderstorm Safety Tips http://www.dhses.ny.gov/oem/safety-info/pu...hunderstorm.cfm Lightning Safety http://www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov/ Tornado Safety http://www.ready.gov/tornadoes Snow Events 11/7-6.5 inches 12/24-12/25 1 inch 12/26-12/27 4.5 inches 12/29-2.5 inches 1/15-1/16-4 inches 1/28- 1 inch 2/8-2/9 Blizzard 12 inches 2/13- 1 inch 3/7-3/8- 8 inches 3/18-3/19 5 inches 12-13 45.5 09-10 43.5 inches ( Newly Updated from 39 inches) 10-11 60.5 inches 11-12 21 inches |
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Jan 11 2009, 02:15 PM
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#19
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 8,860 Joined: 24-January 08 From: Nowhere, ND Member No.: 13,040 |
I hope this is a typo....
Sunday: Cold, with a high near -80. SOURCE This post has been edited by Superstorm93: Jan 11 2009, 02:17 PM -------------------- -Mike P
Realism |
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Jan 11 2009, 02:15 PM
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#20
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 8,860 Joined: 24-January 08 From: Nowhere, ND Member No.: 13,040 |
QUOTE(WBwxwatcher92 @ Jan 11 2009, 11:19 AM) Cold shot is quickly becoming less impressive. Story of this winter.... -------------------- -Mike P
Realism |
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