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> 2009-2010 to 2015-2016 snowfall amounts mid-atlantic [very far longe range forecasts
will 2013-2014 be a very snowy and cold month for the mid-atlantic???
will 2013-2014 be a cold and snowy month for the mid-atlantic???
yes [ 3 ] ** [42.86%]
no [ 3 ] ** [42.86%]
maybe [ 1 ] ** [14.29%]
Total Votes: 7
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weatherpredictor...
post May 30 2009, 05:41 PM
Post #1




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here is snowfall amouts biggrin.gif

2009-2010- 35 inches of snow
2010-2011- 15 inches of snow
2011-2012- 25 inches of snow
2012-2013- 10 inches of snow
2013-2014- 45 inches of snow
2014-2015- 35 inches of snow
2015-2016- 20 inches of snow

THERE IS VERY FAR OUT SO THIS HAS A REALLY REALLY GOOD CHANCE OF BEING WRONG.

What do you guys think?


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WNYLakeEffect
post May 30 2009, 06:11 PM
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I take a stab at mine just for kicks...

Average=120 inches
'08-'09=175 inches

'09-'10= 130 inches-weak/moderate el nino
'10-'11= 100 inches-moderate/strong el nino
'11-'12= 105 inches-moderate el nino
'12-'13= 155 inches-neutral/ very weak el nino
'13-'14= 145 inches-neutral
'14-'15= 115 inches-moderate la nina
'15-'16= 130 inches-weak/moderate nina


--------------------
Winter 2010-11 Snow: 148.0"
Winter 2009-10 Snow: 128.3"
Winter 2008-09 Snow: 175.0"
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NYCSuburbs
post May 30 2009, 06:56 PM
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I'll just take a stab at the ENSO conditions.

09-10: Moderate el nino
10-11: moderate/strong el nino
11-12: weak el nino
12-13: moderate la nina
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weatherpredictor...
post May 30 2009, 07:25 PM
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QUOTE(WNYLakeEffect @ May 30 2009, 08:11 PM) *
I take a stab at mine just for kicks...

Average=120 inches
'08-'09=175 inches

'09-'10= 130 inches-weak/moderate el nino
'10-'11= 100 inches-moderate/strong el nino
'11-'12= 105 inches-moderate el nino
'12-'13= 155 inches-neutral/ very weak el nino
'13-'14= 145 inches-neutral
'14-'15= 115 inches-moderate la nina
'15-'16= 130 inches-weak/moderate nina

Where do you live because in the mid-atlantic we are not going to have 130 inches of snow that's impossible.


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Removed_Member_starsinmysky_*
post May 30 2009, 07:29 PM
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This seems more like a game, than anything else. I cannot understand how you determined these snowfall amounts. You need to determine the ENSO status first. Did you do that? mellow.gif
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weatherpredictor...
post May 30 2009, 07:32 PM
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QUOTE(starsinmysky @ May 30 2009, 09:29 PM) *
This seems more like a game, than anything else. I cannot understand how you determined these snowfall amounts. You need to determine the ENSO status first. Did you do that? mellow.gif

Yea


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WNYLakeEffect
post May 30 2009, 07:39 PM
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QUOTE(weatherpredictor123 @ May 30 2009, 08:25 PM) *
Where do you live because in the mid-atlantic we are not going to have 130 inches of snow that's impossible.

I live in the Western NY Lake Effect Snowbelt, so I get a lot of snow. My avatar is the snow map for this past winter, and regional totals are HERE.

For the ENSO, I think our el nino is going to hang with us for a few years before we fall into a long nina spell. However, now it's simply a game and throwing darts would likely be more accurate.

This post has been edited by WNYLakeEffect: May 30 2009, 07:42 PM


--------------------
Winter 2010-11 Snow: 148.0"
Winter 2009-10 Snow: 128.3"
Winter 2008-09 Snow: 175.0"
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Removed_Member_starsinmysky_*
post May 30 2009, 07:40 PM
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QUOTE(weatherpredictor123 @ May 30 2009, 08:32 PM) *
Yea


What did you come up with after you researched it? smile.gif
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weatherpredictor...
post May 30 2009, 07:59 PM
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2009-2010 winter i see a nutrul ENSO, going to weak or moderate el nino.


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weatherpredictor...
post May 30 2009, 08:05 PM
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I think 2012-1013 will have a strong la nina that will give us warm temps and below average precip.


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Removed_Member_CoolerByTheLake_*
post May 30 2009, 10:02 PM
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Wishcasting it it's very best, c'mon folks enjoy summer will ya? Move to the Archapelagos if you want to be frost bitten and snowed in. This post is nonsense.
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weatherpredictor...
post May 30 2009, 10:54 PM
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QUOTE(CoolerByTheLake @ May 31 2009, 12:02 AM) *
Wishcasting it it's very best, c'mon folks enjoy summer will ya? Move to the Archapelagos if you want to be frost bitten and snowed in. This post is nonsense.

???????????????


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weatherpredictor...
post May 30 2009, 11:09 PM
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unsure.gifI'm expecting the snowiest month to be 2013-2014 with alot of snow. There is a high chance of a blizzard. THere could be 22 inches of snow in one blizzard that could be major and i'm probaly going to be wrong. dry.gif I'm not going to make storm tracks at all maybe in 3 years but not now.

2013-2014 snowfall- 40-60

2013-2014- heavy snow and blizzards

total storms in 2013-2014- 6

have a good day: Winterpredictor123

2008 total snowfall: 19 inches

2009 snowfall: 40 inches

There should also be a weak el nino that will make temps slightly below and precip much above normal.

This post has been edited by weatherpredictor123: May 30 2009, 11:13 PM


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GeorgiaGirl
post May 31 2009, 11:29 AM
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QUOTE(CoolerByTheLake @ May 30 2009, 11:02 PM) *
Wishcasting it it's very best, c'mon folks enjoy summer will ya? Move to the Archapelagos if you want to be frost bitten and snowed in. This post is nonsense.


Yeah it is, plus if you want to enjoy summer the west and the southeast will be the place to go. Just my 2 cents on that.
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weatherpredictor...
post May 31 2009, 08:08 PM
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i just added a poll


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