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> el nino in Western Montana
off the grid
post Aug 10 2009, 11:32 PM
Post #1

Rank: Tornado

Group: Member
Posts: 379
Joined: 28-January 08
From: Millcrick Montana
Member No.: 13,247

correct me if im wrong. im not a professional at this weather stuff at all.

with an El Nino comes warmer temps but also increased precip correct?

so where i live In Southwestern Montana, where we are still affected by the arctic blasts in January
we will still be slightly warmer due to moisture coming off the Pacific but temps wont be as warm as say the Pacific Northwest because we are still affected by the Arctic North.

so we should see a late fall (first significant snowfall a little later) and not quite as cold maybe not -20 or -30 as much.
and maybe a mid winter thaw say around January or February?

maybe a few cold snaps but an increase in snowfall because of the El Nino and the warmer temps and increased moisture

mostly snow but maybe a few rain storms in early winter.

we usually average about 75 to 120 inches of snow yearly
so this year maybe 100 to 150 inches?

correct me if im wrong

This post has been edited by off the grid: Aug 10 2009, 11:43 PM

Count down to winter

10. Days start getting shorter
9. Average temps start getting colder
8. First sub-60 high
7. Bull Elk Bugle
6. Leaves change
5. First frost
4. First snow
3. Lakes freeze over
2. First significant snow
1. First sub 0 temperature

2010/2011 winter numbers.
Consecutive days/snow on ground :
Coldest 2011/2012 Temp: -2* 11-7-11
Coldest windchill temp 2011/2012:
Total seasonal snow this year: 21
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post Sep 11 2009, 02:06 PM
Post #2

Rank: F5 Superstorm

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Posts: 1,627
Joined: 7-January 08
From: South Shore of Long Island about 20 miles east of NYC
Member No.: 11,969

I am no expert, but this link gives a general idea of what to expect from El Nino

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