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> Jan. 28 MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, Reality: Short Range [0-3 Days Out] Forecasts
DomNH
post Jan 27 2010, 04:54 PM
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Snow squalls around New England tomorrow, could drop a very quick 1-2'' in places. Hopefully the afternoon commute isn't impacted too badly...snow squalls can turn road conditions very nasty very quickly.


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PSUWeatherNewbie
post Jan 27 2010, 05:04 PM
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Hey Dom. 18z NAM says 1-2" even for the Cape and Islands.
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Removed_Member_nnj snow_*
post Jan 27 2010, 05:31 PM
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I live in NNj. Maybe see a coating?
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RickRD
post Jan 27 2010, 06:29 PM
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Well, it's come to this. NWS has me for up to 1" tomorrow. Attached Image


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Bushkill Twshp, PA
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Removed_Member_iceman1_*
post Jan 27 2010, 06:36 PM
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QUOTE(DS2434 @ Jan 27 2010, 04:54 PM) *
Snow squalls around New England tomorrow, could drop a very quick 1-2'' in places. Hopefully the afternoon commute isn't impacted too badly...snow squalls can turn road conditions very nasty very quickly.



please 1 to 2inches nasty laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif better go now and get milk
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Removed_Member_whirlwind_*
post Jan 27 2010, 06:38 PM
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http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?C...76.8497&e=0

Look at that...70% chance of "Heavy Snow" tomorrow for me. Says we might get a half inch. If I take the models verbatim, that will be far more than we end up with out of the Friday/Saturday ordeal.

Kyle Elliott
Junior Meteorologist
E-Mail: kyleae@comcast.net
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RickRD
post Jan 27 2010, 06:42 PM
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My dilemma

Attached Image


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Bushkill Twshp, PA
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 27 2010, 06:43 PM
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QUOTE(RickRD @ Jan 27 2010, 06:42 PM) *
My dilemma

Attached Image


Luckily for me I live in that zone... dry.gif


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WEATHERFAN100
post Jan 27 2010, 06:45 PM
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QUOTE(whirlwind @ Jan 27 2010, 06:38 PM) *
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?C...76.8497&e=0

Look at that...70% chance of "Heavy Snow" tomorrow for me. Says we might get a half inch. If I take the models verbatim, that will be far more than we end up with out of the Friday/Saturday ordeal.

Kyle Elliott
Junior Meteorologist
E-Mail: kyleae@comcast.net

I was looking at that too! Heavy snow half inch sounds better than the weeknd storm? who would have thought that! I think it may happen because we have seen some snow showers the last two days. I think 1" is possible here, 1-3" further north into the New England area.


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-James
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DomNH
post Jan 27 2010, 06:47 PM
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QUOTE(iceman1 @ Jan 27 2010, 06:36 PM) *
please 1 to 2inches nasty laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif better go now and get milk

Lol, normally I'd agree.

But 1-2'' in an hour or less could lead to problems since it happens fast, not many people are aware of the forecast, and the roads won't be treated.


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longislandwx
post Jan 27 2010, 06:48 PM
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I believe the storm is looking healthier then most models said it would at this time.. Look at itAttached Image

This post has been edited by longislandwx: Jan 27 2010, 06:52 PM


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LONG ISLAND !

Snow Events:

11/8: 0.50"
12/14: 1"
12/27: 16"
1/7: 2.5"
1/9: 0.5"
1/12: 15.8
1/18: 0.6"
1/21: 4"
1/24: 0.5"
1/25: 16.5"


Total snowfall: 57.9"

Ronkonkoma's total accumulated snow fall for 2009-2010 : 63.5 Inches.
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pyrapurcell
post Jan 27 2010, 06:55 PM
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Will this survive the crossing of the apps to really affect the MA?


--------------------
2009-10 Winter
First date of temperature below 10 F: NA
First inch of snow: December 5th
Total snowfall: ~28 inches
First blizzard: December 19th, 2009
First snow day: December 21st, 2009
Winter Solstice Dec 21 2009 12:47 PM EST
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longislandwx
post Jan 27 2010, 06:58 PM
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QUOTE(pyrapurcell @ Jan 27 2010, 06:55 PM) *
Will this survive the crossing of the apps to really affect the MA?

Wont really effect the Mid Atlantic except for possibly the extreme north part. Even that will only be a snow shower or two.


--------------------
LONG ISLAND !

Snow Events:

11/8: 0.50"
12/14: 1"
12/27: 16"
1/7: 2.5"
1/9: 0.5"
1/12: 15.8
1/18: 0.6"
1/21: 4"
1/24: 0.5"
1/25: 16.5"


Total snowfall: 57.9"

Ronkonkoma's total accumulated snow fall for 2009-2010 : 63.5 Inches.
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ArmonkStorm
post Jan 27 2010, 06:59 PM
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Upton says Rain/Snow showers for me tomorrow


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Average Seasonal Snow: 35"

Total Snow for the 09-10 Season--- 43.5"
Total Snow for the 10-11 Season--- 70.5"
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AccuChris
post Jan 27 2010, 07:07 PM
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I know downsloping usually kills clippers but this just might survive over the Apps because it has so much dynamics given the intense strength of the PV. This is going to be forcefully driven over the mountains unlike a normal clipper.


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Chris H.

SKYWARN Spotter/Chaser for NWS Mt. Holly, NJ & State College, PA
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Mike W IN herkim...
post Jan 27 2010, 07:08 PM
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WHILE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AT GENERALLY 1-2" WITH
POSSIBLY AROUND 3" IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THE ACCUMULATING SNOW
SHOWERS WILL FALL IN AROUND 30-45 MINUTES SEVERELY REDUCING THE
VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 35-45 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE DUE TO MOMENTUM TRANSPORT

AS INVERSION HEIGHTS LOWER TO
AROUND 5KFT WITH MIXED LAYER FLOW GENERALLY 300 DEGREES...MAINLY
AFFECTING CENTRAL NEW YORK. WILL MENTION CHANCE POPS FOR LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS...MAINLY WEST OF ALBANY WITH A SMALL AREA OF LIKELY FOR
SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY DUE TO 300 TRAJECTORY. AGAIN...LIGHT
AMOUNTS EXPECTED DUE TO COLD/DRY AIR MASS AND LOW INVERSION HEIGHTS.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?si...p;highlight=off

hoping i can pick up 1-2" tomorrow and tom night lol

This post has been edited by Mike W IN herkimer: Jan 27 2010, 07:09 PM


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western monmouth county avg snowfall 27"-30"

Last 6 yr avg snowfall 46.8"

Freehold boro snowfall
2008 - 2009: 26.8"
2009 - 2010: 74.2"
2010 - 2011: 61.1"
2011 - 2012: 8.5"
2012 - 2013: 38.2"
2013 - 2014: 72.0"
2014 - 2015: 0.3"
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 27 2010, 07:09 PM
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QUOTE(longislandwx @ Jan 27 2010, 06:48 PM) *
I believe the storm is looking healthier then most models said it would at this time.. Look at itAttached Image


And to think that this small thing actually has a better chance to bring us snow than that big storm to our south laugh.gif


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WNYLakeEffect
post Jan 27 2010, 07:10 PM
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QUOTE(longislandwx @ Jan 27 2010, 06:48 PM) *
I believe the storm is looking healthier then most models said it would at this time.. Look at itAttached Image

Definitely looks pretty good:



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Winter 2010-11 Snow: 148.0"
Winter 2009-10 Snow: 128.3"
Winter 2008-09 Snow: 175.0"
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longislandwx
post Jan 27 2010, 07:15 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Jan 27 2010, 07:09 PM) *
And to think that this small thing actually has a better chance to bring us snow than that big storm to our south laugh.gif

lol I know! Im officially more interested in the thing then I am in the storm that shifted 500 miles south in a matter of 2 runs! laugh.gif


--------------------
LONG ISLAND !

Snow Events:

11/8: 0.50"
12/14: 1"
12/27: 16"
1/7: 2.5"
1/9: 0.5"
1/12: 15.8
1/18: 0.6"
1/21: 4"
1/24: 0.5"
1/25: 16.5"


Total snowfall: 57.9"

Ronkonkoma's total accumulated snow fall for 2009-2010 : 63.5 Inches.
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Mike W IN herkim...
post Jan 27 2010, 07:23 PM
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From hr 30-36 of the NAM soundings are showing TSSN IMBY ohmy.gif laugh.gif

This post has been edited by Mike W IN herkimer: Jan 27 2010, 07:30 PM


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western monmouth county avg snowfall 27"-30"

Last 6 yr avg snowfall 46.8"

Freehold boro snowfall
2008 - 2009: 26.8"
2009 - 2010: 74.2"
2010 - 2011: 61.1"
2011 - 2012: 8.5"
2012 - 2013: 38.2"
2013 - 2014: 72.0"
2014 - 2015: 0.3"
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