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> February 11-13 Southeast Winter Storm, Closed: Please Refer To The OBS Thread
DeepSouthSC
post Feb 10 2010, 03:51 PM
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I'm just passing along info.... Not sure how this plays out. Someone on another site mentioned something about the possibility of a 2nd axis dropping a heavier band of snow in N. MS/AL/GA/SC/TN.

I have no clue! LOL Just passing info.
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dawgnkitten
post Feb 10 2010, 03:52 PM
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QUOTE(bsudweather @ Feb 10 2010, 03:36 PM) *
Anyone that lives anywhere in the northern parts of GA and upstate SC especialy above I85 can give it up we will not see any snow with this storm. but they are some weather stations in greenville sc trying to get peoples hopes up again and i dont buy it they do that every week.

If we won't see any snow, why is the GSP NWS calling for little to light accums.? I understand that right now they're not saying how much, but this thing is still getting it's act together, there's still time for it to trend further north...And some of the weather stations in Greenville might get people's hopes up, but some tell the facts. The amounts might not hit you and might hit others, but forecasting amounts isn't an exact science, either...for example, we were supposed to get 2" of rain for last Friday/Saturday rain even, per ATL stations....we ended up getting 4". We were supposed to get 8-12" of snow with the storm before that, per ATL stations and got 1/4" instead. I'm on here to learn as much as anyone, but sometimes because you're not getting what you want, telling the whole area of N. GA and Upstate SC that they won't get ANYTHING, isn't right. Now back on topic.

Does anyone know if the storm can come more north? Is it possible without phasing? TIA


--------------------

Just having fun in FL...miss it at times, especially the gorgeous sunsets...taken on 7/14/11
Live for today, for yesterday is the past, and tomorrow is a distant dream of hope
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Weatherlover
post Feb 10 2010, 03:52 PM
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It looks like the NWS in Peachtree City,GA is gaining more confidence in this. (Atlanta,GA) smile.gif

QUOTE
Friday: Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 44. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of snow before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 28.


This post has been edited by Weatherlover: Feb 10 2010, 03:53 PM


--------------------
Winter of 2011 - 2012 in Review
Number of Snowstorms this winter --> 0
Number of Icestorms this Winter --> 0
Number of Sleetstorms this winter --> 0
Total Snowfall Accumulations --> 0 inches
Total Ice Accumulations --> 0 inches
Total Sleet Accumulations --> 0 inches


"Never underestimate the power of mother nature."

"When it comes to computer models, the final solution is NEVER the final solution."

My Youtube Weather Page!
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Robbi
post Feb 10 2010, 03:52 PM
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QUOTE(DeepSouthSC @ Feb 10 2010, 03:51 PM) *
I'm just passing along info.... Not sure how this plays out. Someone on another site mentioned something about the possibility of a 2nd axis dropping a heavier band of snow in N. MS/AL/GA/SC/TN.

I have no clue! LOL Just passing info.



Yep. Now you're just trying to tease me! wink.gif


--------------------
Wishing for some Snow in the NE Ga Mtns!!!
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Hawksfan
post Feb 10 2010, 03:55 PM
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QUOTE(dawgnkitten @ Feb 10 2010, 03:52 PM) *
Does anyone know if the storm can come more north? Is it possible without phasing? TIA



It can but without phasing all you do is move the band of snow north to south. If it moves north w/o phasing then people farther south warm up and get rain. If phasing occurs then the snow band can actually get expanded and heavier. w/o phasing all that can happen is just a swing of the snow band no increase.


--------------------
2010-11 Meteorological Winter Stats 12/1/10-3/1/11:

Total Snow for 2010-2011 - 7.0" - Yearly average 2" = 350% of normal
12/5/10 - first snow flurries
12/12/10-12/13/10 - Light dusting of snow
12/15/10-12/16/10 - Trace of snow - change over to ice
12/25/10-12/26/10 - about 2" of snow
1/9/11-1/10/11 - 4" of snow followed by 1/8"-1/4" of ice
1/11/11 - Trace of snow
1/12/11 - Trace of snow
2/9/11 - 2/10/11 - 1" accumulation
Lowest Temperature recorded - 13 on the morning of 12/14/10
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DeepSouthSC
post Feb 10 2010, 03:59 PM
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QUOTE(Robbi @ Feb 10 2010, 03:52 PM) *
Yep. Now you're just trying to tease me! wink.gif



Maybe, the tease will become reality. I'll continue to gather important info and pass it along to you, Robbi, and others on the board.
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tatertim
post Feb 10 2010, 03:59 PM
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FWIW...
http://www.wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=CAE




I wonder how much this bullseye moves. Congrats to whoever eventually wins this pool.


--------------------

"If Tyranny and Oppression come to this land, it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign enemy." - U.S. President James Madison

"Once the game is over, the king and the pawn go back in the same box."
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bsudweather
post Feb 10 2010, 03:59 PM
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QUOTE(dawgnkitten @ Feb 10 2010, 03:52 PM) *
If we won't see any snow, why is the GSP NWS calling for little to light accums.? I understand that right now they're not saying how much, but this thing is still getting it's act together, there's still time for it to trend further north...And some of the weather stations in Greenville might get people's hopes up, but some tell the facts. The amounts might not hit you and might hit others, but forecasting amounts isn't an exact science, either...for example, we were supposed to get 2" of rain for last Friday/Saturday rain even, per ATL stations....we ended up getting 4". We were supposed to get 8-12" of snow with the storm before that, per ATL stations and got 1/4" instead. I'm on here to learn as much as anyone, but sometimes because you're not getting what you want, telling the whole area of N. GA and Upstate SC that they won't get ANYTHING, isn't right. Now back on topic.

Does anyone know if the storm can come more north? Is it possible without phasing? TIA


I will be the first to tell you that this is gonna be way to far south for anyone in the NORTHERN areas of ga and sc to get any snow if you are in agusta ga or columbia sc you might see some other than that i would bet money that we will not see any up this far but thats my opinion but i would bet im right. tongue.gif
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dawgnkitten
post Feb 10 2010, 03:59 PM
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QUOTE(Hawksfan @ Feb 10 2010, 03:55 PM) *
It can but without phasing all you do is move the band of snow north to south. If it moves north w/o phasing then people farther south warm up and get rain. If phasing occurs then the snow band can actually get expanded and heavier. w/o phasing all that can happen is just a swing of the snow band no increase.

Thanks Hawksfan...appreciate it....Also, I found this on Accuweather...thought ya'll would like to see..Southern snow


--------------------

Just having fun in FL...miss it at times, especially the gorgeous sunsets...taken on 7/14/11
Live for today, for yesterday is the past, and tomorrow is a distant dream of hope
Many will come into your life, a few will leave their footprints, and a couple will break your heart.
Love is the source of all things-Good and Evil. @---}---
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Robbi
post Feb 10 2010, 04:03 PM
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QUOTE(dawgnkitten @ Feb 10 2010, 03:59 PM) *
Thanks Hawksfan...appreciate it....Also, I found this on Accuweather...thought ya'll would like to see..Southern snow



Hey! I'm liking that map!!!!!!!!


--------------------
Wishing for some Snow in the NE Ga Mtns!!!
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DeepSouthSC
post Feb 10 2010, 04:05 PM
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QUOTE(Robbi @ Feb 10 2010, 04:03 PM) *
Hey! I'm liking that map!!!!!!!!



I'm gonna be honest.... Those Accuweather pre-storm maps generally sucks.
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tatertim
post Feb 10 2010, 04:06 PM
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A little off topic, but the ne storm is down to 976 mb...wow. That's roughly cat 2 isn't it?


--------------------

"If Tyranny and Oppression come to this land, it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign enemy." - U.S. President James Madison

"Once the game is over, the king and the pawn go back in the same box."
-Italian Proverb

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Hawksfan
post Feb 10 2010, 04:07 PM
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We have lots of people going on record here about what they think will happen. These threads are never deleted and you should be careful about any predictions. They will be here for everyone to see after the storm goes through for years to come. All the people saying broad statements will most likely be proven wrong, also there is not much to support some of the negative comments and are borderline bittercasting.


--------------------
2010-11 Meteorological Winter Stats 12/1/10-3/1/11:

Total Snow for 2010-2011 - 7.0" - Yearly average 2" = 350% of normal
12/5/10 - first snow flurries
12/12/10-12/13/10 - Light dusting of snow
12/15/10-12/16/10 - Trace of snow - change over to ice
12/25/10-12/26/10 - about 2" of snow
1/9/11-1/10/11 - 4" of snow followed by 1/8"-1/4" of ice
1/11/11 - Trace of snow
1/12/11 - Trace of snow
2/9/11 - 2/10/11 - 1" accumulation
Lowest Temperature recorded - 13 on the morning of 12/14/10
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susiered
post Feb 10 2010, 04:10 PM
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QUOTE(dawgnkitten @ Feb 10 2010, 03:59 PM) *
Thanks Hawksfan...appreciate it....Also, I found this on Accuweather...thought ya'll would like to see..Southern snow


Now that map showed all the snow north. I am so confused. I wish I understood more about how this all works. I guess that is why I am here to try to fiqure things out. I just don't understand how there is so much uncertainty. Some say way south, some I-20 corridor, and still others north. Am I the only one that is having a hard time understanding it all?
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Robbi
post Feb 10 2010, 04:11 PM
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QUOTE(DeepSouthSC @ Feb 10 2010, 04:05 PM) *
I'm gonna be honest.... Those Accuweather pre-storm maps generally sucks.



I can still keep the hope alive though! Eventually a huge snow is going to hit us. Hopefully?


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Wishing for some Snow in the NE Ga Mtns!!!
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DeepSouthSC
post Feb 10 2010, 04:14 PM
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Does this link provide anything substantial to the Deep South?

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/wcir.html
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Georgiapeach
post Feb 10 2010, 04:15 PM
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NWS switched me back to snow after 1pm on Friday and has added slight snow/rain for Sunday night. Up down and all around...

Friday: Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of snow before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46.

Sunday Night: A slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 20%.


--------------------
I wanna be a redneck hippie!!!
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Georgiapeach
post Feb 10 2010, 04:20 PM
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LOL LOL laugh.gif
But TWC now has me as all rain Friday night when earlier they had snow. So NWS has switched from Snow to Rain back to Snow and TWS has switched from Snow to Rain all in a 12 hour period. Wonder what accuweather's forecast says???

*Capitalization for emphasis


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I wanna be a redneck hippie!!!
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PleaseSnowforAtl...
post Feb 10 2010, 04:24 PM
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Yay me too!!! NWS saids 70% of Snow likely After 1 PM adn 50% chance of snow up until 1 AM...Yay!!!I think Atlanta pretty much has some snowfall secure.


--------------------
Winter of 2010-201(Better then last season by far!)
Total Snow Accumulation for 10-11: 10 inches(Average is 2.0 inches)
Winter Storm Warnings: 1
Winter Weather Advisories: 1
Snow Storms: 2
Christmas 2010 Snowstorm: 1.5 inches
January 9th-10th Snowstorm: 8.5 inches






The Epic Winter of 2009-2010(You will never be forgotten)

Total Snow Accumulation for 09-10: 6.75 inches(Average is 2.0 inches)
Winter Storm Warnings: 2
Winter Weather Advisories: 4
Snow Storms: 3
January 6th-8th SnowStorm - .75 inches
February 12-13th SnowStorm - 5.0 Inches

March 1st-3rd SnowStorm- .75-1.2 inches in areas where it could accumulate

Last Snowfall Over 4 inches- January 9th, 2011
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Removed_Member_TNsnowgoose_*
post Feb 10 2010, 04:24 PM
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QUOTE(susiered @ Feb 10 2010, 04:10 PM) *
Now that map showed all the snow north. I am so confused. I wish I understood more about how this all works. I guess that is why I am here to try to fiqure things out. I just don't understand how there is so much uncertainty. Some say way south, some I-20 corridor, and still others north. Am I the only one that is having a hard time understanding it all?
Its easy to get confused no matter what level of knowledge you have about weather systems.One forcaster says this,one forcaster says that,then another says no it's not this or that.Meteorology is not a perfect science by far.IMO it is only exactly right about 50% of the time.Ultimately it is up to mother nature of where a storms path is.Sure there is favored parts of the country that recieves alot of winter weather and in that case it is alot easier to predict since the south is not a favored part of the U.S for winter weather it makes it much more difficult to predict because it just dont happen very often.In the end the storm travels were it wants to.We only know a general area of the storms path even when its in our backyard.
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