 Invest 91L, Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential: Low - 10% |
AccuWeather.com Forums > Weather Forums > Current Weather - United States > Current Tropical Season Weather  |
  May 31 2010, 12:19 PM
Post
#1
|
||
 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: SuperModerator Posts: 17,815 Joined: 13-January 08 From: White Plains, NY Member No.: 12,468  |
Look at the remnants of Agatha right over the western Caribbean already.
And hey, it's looking pretty nice there, IMO. If I were in charge of the NHC concerning the invests, I would at least mark that area as the yellow hatched area. One never knows. The GGEM and the GFS had shown that area developing into something deeper, with the GGEM being too intense as it usually does.
-------------------- |
|
 |
 
|
|
|
May 31 2010, 12:29 PM
Post
#2
|
|
|
Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 439 Joined: 10-February 08 Member No.: 13,557 |
Looks like Alex forming just South of the Yucatan in the Western Carribean Sea! What impact would this have on the oil spill if it heads that way?
  
This post has been edited by cyclonebuster: May 31 2010, 12:31 PM |
|
|
|
|
May 31 2010, 12:47 PM
Post
#3
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 529 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Windsor Locks Ct. Member No.: 12,104 |
I've noticed some banding features starting to form. Maybe reorganizing itself.
|
|
|
|
| Removed_Member_AtownWxWatcher_* |
May 31 2010, 12:53 PM
Post
#4
|
|||
|
Guests |
QUOTE(WhitePlainsNYBlizzard @ May 31 2010, 12:19 PM)  Look at the renminats of Agatha right over the western Caribbean already. And hey, it's looking pretty nice there, IMO. If I were in charge of the NHC concerning the invests, I would at least mark that area as the yellow hatched area. One never knows. The GGEM and the GFS had shown that area developing into something deeper, with the GGEM being too intense as it usually does.
Carribean Satellite Looks to be moving due north
Steering currents would support this northward movement.... And to its north....
Shear of 30 knots or greater.. So presently with moving in the direction it seems to be moving would be moving into a buzzcut so not expecting much of anything presently out of this. |
|||
|
|
|
|||
|
Jun 1 2010, 06:54 AM
Post
#5
|
|
 Rank: Whirlwind Group: Member Posts: 28 Joined: 1-September 09 From: NE Florida Member No.: 19,107 |
QUOTE(WhitePlainsNYBlizzard @ May 31 2010, 01:19 PM) And hey, it's looking pretty nice there, IMO. If I were in charge of the NHC concerning the invests, I would at least mark that area as the yellow hatched area. One never knows. I agree it looks pretty nice, and good call on the code yellow. Maybe you will be in charge of invests one day  QUOTE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE JUN 1 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA EAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF PACIFIC TROPICAL STORM AGATHA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...PARTICULARLY TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
Attached image(s)
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 1 2010, 08:01 AM
Post
#6
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 17,815 Joined: 13-January 08 From: White Plains, NY Member No.: 12,468 |
QUOTE(FLcane @ Jun 1 2010, 06:54 AM) I agree it looks pretty nice, and good call on the code yellow. Maybe you will be in charge of invests one day They actually did it. Good for them. Right on the first day of the Hurricane season 2010. -------------------- |
|
|
|
| Removed_Member_AtownWxWatcher_* |
Jun 1 2010, 02:11 PM
Post
#7
|
||
|
Guests |
QUOTE(WhitePlainsNYBlizzard @ Jun 1 2010, 08:01 AM) They actually did it. Good for them. Right on the first day of the Hurricane season 2010. At this point and time not expecting anything to happen with Invest 91 as far as making it to a tropical cyclone..Although the dry air is not the problem at this point and time..The current shear off to its N or NE increases significantly...
And current satellite  And the steering currents would take it off to the NE
|
||
|
|
|
||
 Jun 1 2010, 02:57 PM
Post
#8
|
||
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 17,815 Joined: 13-January 08 From: White Plains, NY Member No.: 12,468 |
Close up look:
-------------------- |
|
|
|
|
|
| Removed_Member_AtownWxWatcher_* |
Jun 1 2010, 03:52 PM
Post
#9
|
|
|
Guests |
Shear is actually increasing around this particular invest
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 1 2010, 05:49 PM
Post
#10
|
||
 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,689 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Mount Vernon, NY Member No.: 12,006 |
QUOTE(WhitePlainsNYBlizzard @ Jun 1 2010, 03:57 PM) Close up look:
It looks like it's gonna burst with energy in the next 24 hours. 
-------------------- CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: Meelec M6(MSRP $49.99), VSonic GR06 (MSRP $49.99), Meelec CC51(MSRP $80), Beyerdynamic DTX 910 (MSRP $89.99), Future Sonics Atrio X (MSRP $99.99),Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)
SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E6 Amp w/FilmPro 16GB MicroSD Card Class 10 To learn more about Sound Frequency: http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors) http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
 Jun 1 2010, 05:51 PM
Post
#11
|
||
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,136 Joined: 20-May 10 Member No.: 22,816 |
QUOTE(AtownWxWatcher @ Jun 1 2010, 04:52 PM) Shear is actually increasing around this particular invest
So it don't look too promising. It will probably move across Fla. and off the coast OTS and fizzle out. But there is always a possibility it could make a comeback tomorrow or thursday, fighting off the shear and move up along the southeast coast. It will still be interesting to see what happens. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 1 2010, 07:19 PM
Post
#12
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,136 Joined: 20-May 10 Member No.: 22,816 |
QUOTE(Niyologist @ Jun 1 2010, 06:49 PM) It looks like it's gonna burst with energy in the next 24 hours. Hi My friend. Do you think 91L is pretty much done, or do you think there could still be a surprise once the cloud area gets east of Fla. and possibly move up along the SE coast? Reply would be appreciated. Thank you. |
|
|
|
|
Jun 1 2010, 07:55 PM
Post
#13
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,689 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Mount Vernon, NY Member No.: 12,006 |
QUOTE(east coast storm @ Jun 1 2010, 08:19 PM) Hi My friend. Do you think 91L is pretty much done, or do you think there could still be a surprise once the cloud area gets east of Fla. and possibly move up along the SE coast? Reply would be appreciated. Thank you. Yeah, it's done for because the 12Z GFS and NAM do not have it any more. -------------------- CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: Meelec M6(MSRP $49.99), VSonic GR06 (MSRP $49.99), Meelec CC51(MSRP $80), Beyerdynamic DTX 910 (MSRP $89.99), Future Sonics Atrio X (MSRP $99.99),Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)
SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E6 Amp w/FilmPro 16GB MicroSD Card Class 10 To learn more about Sound Frequency: http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors) http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20 |
|
|
|
| Removed_Member_AtownWxWatcher_* |
Jun 1 2010, 08:36 PM
Post
#14
|
|
Guests |
Really dying out
 Next! |
|
|
|
|
Jun 1 2010, 08:57 PM
Post
#15
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 7,689 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Mount Vernon, NY Member No.: 12,006 |
QUOTE(AtownWxWatcher @ Jun 1 2010, 09:36 PM) Really dying out Next!  Classic Comma-Shape formation. Although I do agree. NEXT! -------------------- CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: Meelec M6(MSRP $49.99), VSonic GR06 (MSRP $49.99), Meelec CC51(MSRP $80), Beyerdynamic DTX 910 (MSRP $89.99), Future Sonics Atrio X (MSRP $99.99),Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)
SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E6 Amp w/FilmPro 16GB MicroSD Card Class 10 To learn more about Sound Frequency: http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors) http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20 |
|
|
|
|
Jun 1 2010, 09:41 PM
Post
#16
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 29,261 Joined: 29-August 08 Member No.: 15,491 |
QUOTE(AtownWxWatcher @ Jun 1 2010, 09:36 PM) Really dying out Next! This disturbance was never really in a favorable environment for tropical formation. It did look better earlier today, though it's definitely weakening by now. Hopefully the next disturbance is in a more supportive environment. -------------------- Visit my weather website for the NYC area
Past winter totals for Albany (Avg ~60"): 11-12: 23.3", 12-13: 51.4" Past winter totals for NE NJ (Avg ~30"): 06-07: 14.7", 07-08: 17.0", 08-09: 34.5", 09-10: 58.7", 10-11: 68.5", 11-12 disaster: 12.5 inches 12-13: 36.6" |
|
|
|
|
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:
|
Lo-Fi Version | Time is now: 18th May 2013 - 07:58 PM |