Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

 
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> Invest 91L, Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential: Low - 10%
Phased Vort
post May 31 2010, 12:19 PM
Post #1




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 17,845
Joined: 13-January 08
From: White Plains, NY
Member No.: 12,468





Look at the remnants of Agatha right over the western Caribbean already.

And hey, it's looking pretty nice there, IMO. If I were in charge of the NHC concerning the invests, I would at least mark that area as the yellow hatched area. One never knows.

The GGEM and the GFS had shown that area developing into something deeper, with the GGEM being too intense as it usually does.



Attached Image


--------------------
Phasing's done. The Vort's out.



Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
cyclonebuster
post May 31 2010, 12:29 PM
Post #2




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 439
Joined: 10-February 08
Member No.: 13,557





Looks like Alex forming just South of the Yucatan in the Western Carribean Sea! What impact would this have on the oil spill if it heads that way?







This post has been edited by cyclonebuster: May 31 2010, 12:31 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
hurricanehunter
post May 31 2010, 12:47 PM
Post #3




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 549
Joined: 7-January 08
From: Windsor Locks Ct.
Member No.: 12,104





I've noticed some banding features starting to form. Maybe reorganizing itself.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_AtownWxWatcher_*
post May 31 2010, 12:53 PM
Post #4







Guests








QUOTE(WhitePlainsNYBlizzard @ May 31 2010, 12:19 PM) *
Look at the renminats of Agatha right over the western Caribbean already.

And hey, it's looking pretty nice there, IMO. If I were in charge of the NHC concerning the invests, I would at least mark that area as the yellow hatched area. One never knows.

The GGEM and the GFS had shown that area developing into something deeper, with the GGEM being too intense as it usually does.

Attached Image

Carribean Satellite
Looks to be moving due north
Attached Image

Steering currents would support this northward movement....

And to its north....
Attached Image

Shear of 30 knots or greater..

So presently with moving in the direction it seems to be moving would be moving into a buzzcut so not expecting much of anything presently out of this.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
FLcane
post Jun 1 2010, 06:54 AM
Post #5




Rank: Whirlwind
*

Group: Member
Posts: 28
Joined: 1-September 09
From: NE Florida
Member No.: 19,107





QUOTE(WhitePlainsNYBlizzard @ May 31 2010, 01:19 PM) *
And hey, it's looking pretty nice there, IMO. If I were in charge of the NHC concerning the invests, I would at least mark that area as the yellow hatched area. One never knows.


I agree it looks pretty nice, and good call on the code yellow. Maybe you will be in charge of invests one day smile.gif

QUOTE
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUN 1 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA EAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS
OF PACIFIC TROPICAL STORM AGATHA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...PARTICULARLY
TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.



Attached image(s)
Attached Image
 
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Phased Vort
post Jun 1 2010, 08:01 AM
Post #6




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 17,845
Joined: 13-January 08
From: White Plains, NY
Member No.: 12,468





QUOTE(FLcane @ Jun 1 2010, 06:54 AM) *
I agree it looks pretty nice, and good call on the code yellow. Maybe you will be in charge of invests one day smile.gif



They actually did it.

Good for them.

Right on the first day of the Hurricane season 2010.


--------------------
Phasing's done. The Vort's out.



Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_AtownWxWatcher_*
post Jun 1 2010, 02:11 PM
Post #7







Guests








QUOTE(WhitePlainsNYBlizzard @ Jun 1 2010, 08:01 AM) *
They actually did it.

Good for them.

Right on the first day of the Hurricane season 2010.

At this point and time not expecting anything to happen with Invest 91 as far as making it to a tropical cyclone..Although the dry air is not the problem at this point and time..The current shear off to its N or NE increases significantly...

Attached Image

And current satellite
Attached Image
And the steering currents would take it off to the NE
Attached Image
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Phased Vort
post Jun 1 2010, 02:57 PM
Post #8




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 17,845
Joined: 13-January 08
From: White Plains, NY
Member No.: 12,468





Close up look:


Attached Image


--------------------
Phasing's done. The Vort's out.



Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_AtownWxWatcher_*
post Jun 1 2010, 03:52 PM
Post #9







Guests








Shear is actually increasing around this particular invest



Attached Image
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Niyologist
post Jun 1 2010, 05:49 PM
Post #10




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 7,693
Joined: 7-January 08
From: Mount Vernon, NY
Member No.: 12,006





QUOTE(WhitePlainsNYBlizzard @ Jun 1 2010, 03:57 PM) *
Close up look:


Attached Image


It looks like it's gonna burst with energy in the next 24 hours. ohmy.gif


--------------------
CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: VSonic GR06 (MSRP $59.99), MEElec M-DUO (MSRP $79.99), Beyerdynamic DTX-910 (MSRP $79.99), Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)

SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E11 Headphone Amplifier w/C3 32GB MicroSD Card Class 6

To learn more about Sound Frequency:
http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm

If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors)
http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20


Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
east coast storm
post Jun 1 2010, 05:51 PM
Post #11




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,483
Joined: 20-May 10
From: Melbourne Fla
Member No.: 22,816





QUOTE(AtownWxWatcher @ Jun 1 2010, 04:52 PM) *
Shear is actually increasing around this particular invest

Attached Image

So it don't look too promising. It will probably move across Fla. and off the coast
OTS and fizzle out. But there is always a possibility it could make a comeback
tomorrow or thursday, fighting off the shear and move up along the southeast coast.
It will still be interesting to see what happens.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
east coast storm
post Jun 1 2010, 07:19 PM
Post #12




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,483
Joined: 20-May 10
From: Melbourne Fla
Member No.: 22,816





QUOTE(Niyologist @ Jun 1 2010, 06:49 PM) *
It looks like it's gonna burst with energy in the next 24 hours. ohmy.gif

Hi My friend. Do you think 91L is pretty much done, or do you think there could
still be a surprise once the cloud area gets east of Fla. and possibly move up
along the SE coast? Reply would be appreciated. Thank you.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Niyologist
post Jun 1 2010, 07:55 PM
Post #13




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 7,693
Joined: 7-January 08
From: Mount Vernon, NY
Member No.: 12,006





QUOTE(east coast storm @ Jun 1 2010, 08:19 PM) *
Hi My friend. Do you think 91L is pretty much done, or do you think there could
still be a surprise once the cloud area gets east of Fla. and possibly move up
along the SE coast? Reply would be appreciated. Thank you.


Yeah, it's done for because the 12Z GFS and NAM do not have it any more.


--------------------
CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: VSonic GR06 (MSRP $59.99), MEElec M-DUO (MSRP $79.99), Beyerdynamic DTX-910 (MSRP $79.99), Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)

SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E11 Headphone Amplifier w/C3 32GB MicroSD Card Class 6

To learn more about Sound Frequency:
http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm

If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors)
http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20


Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_AtownWxWatcher_*
post Jun 1 2010, 08:36 PM
Post #14







Guests








Really dying out

Attached Image

Next!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Niyologist
post Jun 1 2010, 08:57 PM
Post #15




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 7,693
Joined: 7-January 08
From: Mount Vernon, NY
Member No.: 12,006





QUOTE(AtownWxWatcher @ Jun 1 2010, 09:36 PM) *
Really dying out

Attached Image

Next!


laugh.gif Classic Comma-Shape formation.

Although I do agree.

NEXT!


--------------------
CURRENT IEM/OEM SET: VSonic GR06 (MSRP $59.99), MEElec M-DUO (MSRP $79.99), Beyerdynamic DTX-910 (MSRP $79.99), Ultrasone HFI-450 (MSRP $119.99), JVC HA-FXT90 (MSRP $135.00)

SOURCE: Cowon J3 8GB DAP (WHT)+Fiio E11 Headphone Amplifier w/C3 32GB MicroSD Card Class 6

To learn more about Sound Frequency:
http://www.independentrecording.net/irn/re...ain_display.htm

If you need help with choosing the right IEMs (In Ear Monitors)
http://www.head-fi.org/forum/thread/478568...-ie-added-05-20


Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
NYCSuburbs
post Jun 1 2010, 09:41 PM
Post #16




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 32,795
Joined: 29-August 08
Member No.: 15,491





QUOTE(AtownWxWatcher @ Jun 1 2010, 09:36 PM) *
Really dying out

Attached Image

Next!

This disturbance was never really in a favorable environment for tropical formation. It did look better earlier today, though it's definitely weakening by now. Hopefully the next disturbance is in a more supportive environment.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

Reply to this topicStart new topic
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 22nd October 2014 - 07:12 AM