June 10 MidAtl/NE Severe Weather, SPC Risk Level: See Text - Forecasts & OBS Options

[Sprintz M.]

Maybe someone should've looked at the possibilities of severe weather in the MidAtl/NE today versus the weekend, have some pretty good storms in CT and NJ ( worst seems to be a line moving to the south in CT ).

[WeatherDudeNYC]

Yes i had a strong storm go to my south, but now one is coming for me

Attached image(s)

 

[WeatherDudeNYC]

I have noticed some storms today, some severe, post your obs here

I got one coming

[ridgefield734]

Funnel cloud in Litchfield county CT

At 3:14 p.m., a funnel cloud was reported over the Litchfield Green, but it did not touch the ground.

Source

This post has been edited by ridgefield734: Jun 10 2010, 04:31 PM

[ridgefield734]

Funnel cloud in Litchfield county CT

At 3:14 p.m., a funnel cloud was reported over the Litchfield Green, but it did not touch the ground.

Source

[WeatherDudeNYC]

well got some moderate rain but nothing special

[NYCSuburbs]

Just 1/2 hour ago, an interesting cell came out of nowhere and brought pouring rain, definitely the heaviest I've seen so far this year (even more than the severe weather "outbreaks"). There was no thunder though, it was just rain, with my daily rain total around 1/4 inch.

[WeatherDudeNYC]

Just 1/2 hour ago, an interesting cell came out of nowhere and brought pouring rain, definitely the heaviest I've seen so far this year (even more than the severe weather "outbreaks"). There was no thunder though, it was just rain, with my daily rain total around 1/4 inch.

lol i told you, our biggest storms will come on days when nothing is expected

Actually it as expected

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0880
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE LWR HUDSON VALLEY/NRN MID ATLANTIC
COAST

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 101859Z - 102030Z

THE NEED FOR A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE MONITORED.

AXIS OF STRONGER HEATING FROM THE LEE OF NORTH CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
INTO THE HUDSON/CHAMPLAIN VALLEYS HAS CONTRIBUTED TO WEAK BOUNDARY
LAYER DESTABILIZATION...AS CHARACTERIZED BY MIXED LAYER CAPE OF 500+
J/KG...BENEATH A SEASONABLY COLD UPPER TROUGH ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF
THE NORTHEAST. THIS HAS SUPPORTED SCATTERED VIGOROUS STORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG AND NORTH OF A 50-70 KT 500 MB JET STREAK DIGGING
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. THE TENDENCY
SHOULD BE FOR STORMS TO WEAKEN AS NORTHWESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW
ADVECTS STORMS EAST OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS INTO WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND...AND INFLOW BECOMES MORE STABLE. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL
STORM DEVELOPMENT STILL APPEARS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON
VALLEY...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA
THROUGH 22-23Z...BEFORE STRONGER MID/UPPER FORCING SHIFTS OFFSHORE.
LOW-LEVEL FLOW FIELDS ARE FAIRLY WEAK ...BUT THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR HAIL AND LOCALIZED STRONG WIND GUSTS...SOME OF
WHICH COULD APPROACH OR BRIEFLY EXCEED SEVERE LIMITS.

This post has been edited by WeatherDudeNYC: Jun 10 2010, 05:11 PM

[windman]

From NWS Upton:

"Statement as of 5:58 PM EDT on June 10, 2010

... Strong thunderstorms will impact eastern Passaic... Hudson... Kings
(Brooklyn)... New York (Manhattan)... northeastern Essex... Queens...
southern Bergen and southwestern Nassau counties...

At 552 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from Central Park to
Rutherford... moving southeast at 35 mph.

Winds up to 40 mph are expected with these storms. In
addition... heavy rain... with rainfall rates of up to an inch an
hour... is occurring with these storms. This could cause ponding of
water on roadways... and minor flooding of poor drainage areas.

Lightning is one of natures number one killers. Remember... if you can
hear thunder... you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move
to safe shelter immediately.

Lat... Lon 4059 7379 4061 7380 4061 7384 4065 7384
4064 7388 4088 7432 4082 7392 4080 7391
4080 7385 4063 7356 4061 7364 4060 7356
4061 7351 4060 7348 4060 7356 4058 7358


Jc"

They look more like showers than thunderstorms to me, but we'll see.

[NYCSuburbs]

The storm that passed here showed a hail signature on the radar, though there was no hail here. Maybe some areas nearby picked up some hail.

[NYCSuburbs]

lol i told you, our biggest storms will come on days when nothing is expected

Actually it as expected

This is just strange... we have a higher chance of seeing strong thunderstorms with a 5% "See Text" risk than a 45% moderate risk in place.

[east coast storm]

Maybe someone should've looked at the possibilities of severe weather in the MidAtl/NE today versus the weekend, have some pretty good storms in CT and NJ ( worst seems to be a line moving to the south in CT ).

Right now there is a moderate T Shower to my north so I think within the next 1/2
hour I will receive a moderate shower with thunder. BTW I think the warm front
will make it north of L.I before stalling sunday. So L.I. will be in the warm sector
with an unstable atmosphere and a few thunderstorms. It won't be a washout sunday
but a typical summer day. Sun and clouds warm humid, a couple of thunderstorms.

[WeatherDudeNYC]

This is just strange... we have a higher chance of seeing strong thunderstorms with a 5% "See Text" risk than a 45% moderate risk in place.

Yes it is strange, i guess we should relax our trust in the SPC

[SnowMan11]

Just had rain this afternoon. Nothing exciting.