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> July 19-31 MW/GL/OV Flooding, Forecasts & Observations
CentralIllinois
post Jul 19 2010, 08:51 PM
Post #1




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Dates might need to be changed...

HPC:
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--------------------



QUOTE
WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx

^
After 1 model run



2013-2014
# of Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
# of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:3
# of Tornado Watches:0
# of Tornado Warnings:1

2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall: 24.4"


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jdrenken
post Jul 19 2010, 08:52 PM
Post #2




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QUOTE(CentralIllinois @ Jul 19 2010, 08:47 PM) *
sounds like we might need to open a Flood Topic
Source


I'm glad that I put an end date on the other one. HPC 5 day agrees!




--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

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Seiche
post Jul 19 2010, 09:01 PM
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Burlington/West Burlington, IA (already hit hard at least twice this year by severe flash flooding) local flash flooding storm reports.

QUOTE
NWUS53 KDVN 200157
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
857 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0852 PM FLASH FLOOD BURLINGTON 40.81N 91.12W
07/19/2010 DES MOINES IA TRAINED SPOTTER

MASON AND GARFIELD STREETS FLOODED WITH 10 INCHES OF
WATER. ROOSEVELT IN FRONT OF FUN CITY SHUT DOWN BY PD.
2500 BLOCK OF FLINT HILLS DRIVE FLOODED WITH 1 FOOT OF
WATER.


Roosevelt is also US highway 61. Fun City is a large entertainment complex with two hotels, a casino, and water park.


QUOTE
NWUS53 KDVN 200145
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
845 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0843 PM FLASH FLOOD WEST BURLINGTON 40.82N 91.18W
07/19/2010 DES MOINES IA TRAINED SPOTTER

FLOOD WATERS 6 INCHES DEEP ON SOUTH BOUND LANES OF GEAR
AVENUE.


Gear Avenue is a main thoroughfare.

QUOTE
0837 PM FLASH FLOOD BURLINGTON 40.81N 91.12W
07/19/2010 DES MOINES IA TRAINED SPOTTER

MAJOR STREET FLOODING OCCURING NOW.


http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByState.p...prodtype=public

This post has been edited by Seiche: Jul 19 2010, 09:20 PM
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CentralIllinois
post Jul 19 2010, 09:04 PM
Post #4




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QUOTE
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
318 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY...

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE MIDWEST
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BRINGING PERIODIC SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO CENTRAL ILLINOIS. A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ACROSS IOWA THIS EVENING...THEN TRACK SOUTHEAST INTO
THE AREA TONIGHT. PRESENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
FROM THIS OVERNIGHT CONVECTION WILL OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH OF A
CANTON...TO DECATUR...TO PARIS LINE...WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...POTENTIALLY
BRINGING ANOTHER 1 INCH OF RAINFALL.

DUE TO HIGH RAINFALL RATES...FLASH FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS WILL BE A CONCERN WITH THE FIRST ROUND OF STORMS
TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ON TUESDAY WILL CREATE RISES ON MANY
AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. BASINS THAT WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY INCLUDE THE SPOON...MACKINAW AND NORTHERN REACHES OF
THE SANGAMON RIVER.

Source


--------------------



QUOTE
WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx

^
After 1 model run



2013-2014
# of Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
# of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:3
# of Tornado Watches:0
# of Tornado Warnings:1

2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall: 24.4"


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snowlover2
post Jul 19 2010, 09:13 PM
Post #5




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QUOTE(CentralIllinois @ Jul 19 2010, 09:51 PM) *
Dates might need to be changed...

HPC:


wow 3.5-4 inches.


--------------------
# of T-Storm Watches:6

# of Tornado Watches:2

# of T-Storm Warnings:5

# of Tornado Warnings:0
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CentralIllinois
post Jul 19 2010, 10:18 PM
Post #6




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QUOTE
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
825 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
DES MOINES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BURLINGTON...
HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MOUNT PLEASANT...
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FAIRFIELD...
NORTHERN LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FORT MADISON...
VAN BUREN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF KEOSAUQUA...
NORTHEASTERN HANCOCK COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
HENDERSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF OQUAWKA...
NORTHERN MCDONOUGH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WESTERN ILLINOIS UNIVERSITY...
MACOMB...
SOUTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MONMOUTH...

* UNTIL 230 AM CDT TUESDAY

* AT 820 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOODING FROM VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM REPEATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
ALREADY FALLEN OVER THE WARNED AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINFALL EXPECTED IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE BEFORE 11 PM TONIGHT.


* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WESTWOOD...
MAHARISHI VEDIC CITY...ROZETTA...ROME...NEW LONDON...LOCKRIDGE...
LIBERTYVILLE...BATAVIA AND ABINGDON.


--------------------



QUOTE
WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx

^
After 1 model run



2013-2014
# of Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
# of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:3
# of Tornado Watches:0
# of Tornado Warnings:1

2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall: 24.4"


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CentralIllinois
post Jul 19 2010, 11:19 PM
Post #7




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QUOTE
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
MASON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
MENARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHERN CASS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
SCHUYLER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
SOUTHERN FULTON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 500 AM CDT.

* AT 1110 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA SINCE THIS AFTERNOON.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO OCCUR.
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BEARDSTOWN...HAVANA...LEWISTOWN...MASON CITY...RUSHVILLE...
ASTORIA...BATH...BLUFF SPRINGS...BROOKLYN...BROWNING...
CHANDLERVILLE...EASTON...GREENVIEW...IPAVA...KILBO
RNE...
LITTLETON...PETERSBURG AND VERMONT.


WOW and theirs still another MCS on the way tonight ohmy.gif


--------------------



QUOTE
WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx

^
After 1 model run



2013-2014
# of Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
# of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:3
# of Tornado Watches:0
# of Tornado Warnings:1

2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall: 24.4"


Note to Accuweather.com....Please give us a dedicated video blogger for the Plains/MW/OV/GL area!
Go to the top of the page
 
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WeatherMonger
post Jul 19 2010, 11:19 PM
Post #8




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Attached Image

QUOTE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1374
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN IA...NE MO...CNTRL IL...CNTRL IND

SO IT IS
NOT CLEAR HOW LONG STORMS WILL MAINTAIN CURRENT STRENGTH. BUT VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL...ASSOCIATED WITH PERSISTENT/ TRAINING CONVECTION IN
AN ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER AND SIZABLE CAPE...AND
OCCASIONAL STRONG SURFACE GUSTS APPEAR TO REMAIN POSSIBLE AT LEAST
ANOTHER FEW HOURS.


This post has been edited by WeatherMonger: Jul 19 2010, 11:20 PM
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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 05:46 AM
Post #9




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From: Columbia, MO
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QUOTE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1377
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0439 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NE MO AND ADJACENT S CENTRAL IA

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 200939Z - 201115Z

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL PERSIST FOR ROUGHLY ANOTHER TWO
HOURS /THROUGH 1130Z/ WITH TRAINING STORMS ALONG MERGING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES IN NE MO AND A SMALL PART OF S CENTRAL IA.

A QUASI-STATIONARY NW-SE ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS NE MO IS
PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR REPEAT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AS A 45 KT
SWLY/WSWLY LLJ TRANSPORTS RICH MOISTURE OVER THE COLD POOL. GIVEN
PW VALUES NEAR 2.25 INCHES AND MODERATE INSTABILITY...EFFICIENT
RAIN-PRODUCING STORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF
HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SE PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
/ADAIR-SHELBY COUNTIES IN NE MO/. MEANWHILE...A SEPARATE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY/COLD POOL WITH ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER IN S CENTRAL
IA/NW MO WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SEWD AT 30-35 KT. RAINFALL RATES
WILL BE ENHANCED AT THE MERGER OF THE TWO BOUNDARIES...WHILE SEWD
PROGRESSION OF THE MERGER AT ABOUT 30 KT WILL BRING AN END TO THE
HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT FROM NW-SE.

..THOMPSON.. 07/20/2010


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 05:49 AM
Post #10




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Very dangerous situation unfolding over NE MO!





North Fabius...


EAX and LSX have a ton of flash flooding reports coming in from early morning. Major N/S highway in MO, US-63, has 6" of water flowing in Millard, MO.

MoDOT road closures


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






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If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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WeatherMonger
post Jul 20 2010, 06:52 AM
Post #11




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As of 1:30am already had 2.5" of rain, not sure how much has fallen since, but per the updated HWO could possibly see 4-6"+ totals
QUOTE
000
ASUS63 KILX 200636
RTPILX
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLE FOR CENTRAL ILLINOIS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
136 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010

HIGH...LOW AND PRECIPITATION FROM YESTERDAY


:
:OFFICIAL CLIMATE SITES
:
:ID LOCATION HIGH LOW PCPN
ILX : LINCOLN NWS : 81 / 63 / 2.09
PIA : PEORIA AIRPORT : 81 / 67 / 0.69
SPI : SPRINGFIELD AIRPORT : 88 / 67 / 2.51



QUOTE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
618 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010



.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND TRACK ALONG A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH SOME LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY
PICKING UP AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT
FROM THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY...AS A PERSISTENT FRONT REMAINS IN THE VICINITY. ANY
STORMS THAT OCCUR WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. TOTAL RAINFALL FROM TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES
...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS.
RUN OFF FROM THIS RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON MANY AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN
ADDITION...ANY REPORTS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OR FLOODING WILL BE
HELPFUL.


This post has been edited by WeatherMonger: Jul 20 2010, 06:56 AM
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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 07:08 AM
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Getting ready for it...view from North Columbia.



University of MO


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 07:18 AM
Post #13




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With PW amounts like this...it's going to be a long day.
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--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 07:50 AM
Post #14




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From: Columbia, MO
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LSX Estimated Rainfall...note the timeline in the upper right. Ridge 2 Display also follows..,.
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--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 08:17 AM
Post #15




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From: Columbia, MO
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QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
806 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0804 AM FLASH FLOOD MONROE CITY 39.65N 91.73W
07/20/2010 MONROE MO BROADCAST MEDIA

RELAY FROM MONROE CITY MAYOR SAYS THAT MOST ROADS IN
TOWN ARE IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLASH FLOODING.


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 08:21 AM
Post #16




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Multiple gauges already well above the 'forecasted' levels...



Mississippi at Quincy


North River in Palmyra, MO is forecasted to hit the record level already.


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 08:33 AM
Post #17




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 32,871
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521





QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
803 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0801 AM FLASH FLOOD NEW LONDON 39.58N 91.40W
07/20/2010 RALLS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER IN NEW LONDON REPORTS BEING UNABLE TO LEAVE THE
HOUSE DUE TO FLOODED RESIDENTIAL ROADS. SPOTTER MEASURED
APPROX 6 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 4P YESTERDAY.


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
Go to the top of the page
 
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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 08:35 AM
Post #18




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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From: Columbia, MO
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QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
743 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 W MONROE CITY 39.65N 91.81W
07/20/2010 MONROE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

EASTBOUND LANES OF HIGHWAY 36 CLOSED AT ROUTE HH DUE TO
FLOODING AND CARS STRANDED IN WATER. SPOTTER BELIEVES
WATER TO BE UP TO THE CAR DOORS.


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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CentralIllinois
post Jul 20 2010, 09:22 AM
Post #19




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From: Mount Zion, IL
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QUOTE
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...CASS...CHRISTIAN...DE
WITT...FULTON...LOGAN...MACON...MASON...MENARD...M
RGAN...
MOULTRIE...PIATT...SANGAMON...SCHUYLER...SCOTT AND SHELBY. IN
EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...CHAMPAIGN...CLARK...COLES...
CUMBERLAND...DOUGLAS...EDGAR AND VERMILION. IN SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS...CLAY...CRAWFORD...EFFINGHAM...JASPER...
AWRENCE AND
RICHLAND.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

.A STATIONARY FRONT POSITIONED OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS WILL PROVIDE
THE FOCUS FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA OVER
AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAS
AVERAGED FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS AROUND 4 INCHES
HAVING OCCURRED NEAR SULLIVAN IN MOULTRIE COUNTY.
ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS PRIMARILY THE SAME AREAS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...DUMPING ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH
LOCAL 5 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS TRACK OVER THE
SAME AREAS FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME.


* ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OF BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES IS LIKELY IN
THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCALLY UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING.


* CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE RUNNING HIGH ACROSS CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA.


Yikes! ohmy.gif


--------------------



QUOTE
WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx

^
After 1 model run



2013-2014
# of Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
# of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:3
# of Tornado Watches:0
# of Tornado Warnings:1

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jdrenken
post Jul 20 2010, 10:13 AM
Post #20




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QUOTE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
949 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 949 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WAS COMMON OVER THE LAST 24-36
HOURS...IN A LARGE SWATH FROM AROUND MACOMB AND QUINCY...SOUTHEAST
TO THE WABASH RIVER. RECEIVED A PUBLIC REPORT OF 6 INCHES IN
NORTHEAST SCHUYLER COUNTY...WHICH MATCHED FAIRLY WELL WITH RADAR.
MORE MCS ACTIVITY LIKELY LATER ON...WHICH UNFORTUNATELY MAY TRACK
OVER THESE SAME AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR MUCH OF
THE CWA AS A RESULT...EXCEPT FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-74 WHICH LARGELY
MISSED THE HEAVY RAIN.

GEELHART


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QUOTE
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