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> Atlantic Hurricane Season 2011, All Seasonal Forecasts & Updates Here
MAC292OH10
post Aug 5 2011, 04:32 PM
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The Snowman
post Aug 6 2011, 03:16 PM
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Some eye candy for those on the East Coast.
The catch= it's hour 384. tongue.gif
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jdrenken
post Aug 6 2011, 07:18 PM
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Larry Cosgroves 2 part write up includes a hurricane threat.

Part 1
Part 2


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Niyologist
post Aug 6 2011, 07:30 PM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Aug 6 2011, 08:18 PM) *
Larry Cosgroves 2 part write up includes a hurricane threat.

Part 1
Part 2


I figured that the East Coast may have a Significant Cyclone. It was only just a matter of time. ohmy.gif

I'll be very occupied watching this threat for the next 2 weeks.


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hckyplayer8
post Aug 14 2011, 11:11 AM
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lolz how the ECM has had more fantasy canes than the GGEM.

Kudos to the CMC for seeming to fix this models need to spin up every vortex/convective cluster.

This post has been edited by hckyplayer8: Aug 14 2011, 11:12 AM


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rainstorm
post Aug 14 2011, 11:23 AM
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QUOTE(Niyologist @ Aug 6 2011, 08:30 PM) *
I figured that the East Coast may have a Significant Cyclone. It was only just a matter of time. ohmy.gif

I'll be very occupied watching this threat for the next 2 weeks.



in his newsletter last night he didnt seem as optimistic for cane threats in the near future.
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MAC292OH10
post Aug 15 2011, 03:42 PM
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for 7 named storms and a running ACE total of 12....has to be one of if not the lowest ACE total ever given the # of storms....

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This post has been edited by MAC292OH10: Aug 15 2011, 03:47 PM
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MAC292OH10
post Oct 2 2011, 03:20 PM
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QUOTE(MAC292OH10 @ Aug 15 2011, 04:42 PM) *
for 7 named storms and a running ACE total of 12....has to be one of if not the lowest ACE total ever given the # of storms....

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closing in on the ACE of 103, whitch should be easily attainable in the next couple of days...

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QUOTE
Above-normal season: An ACE value above 103 (117% of the 19512000 median), provided at least two of the following three parameters exceed the long-term average: number of tropical storms (10), hurricanes (6), and major hurricanes (2).


This post has been edited by MAC292OH10: Oct 2 2011, 04:45 PM
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east coast storm
post Oct 10 2011, 09:17 AM
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QUOTE(MAC292OH10 @ Oct 2 2011, 04:20 PM) *
closing in on the ACE of 103, whitch should be easily attainable in the next couple of days...

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Today's 10/10 6Z GFS shows another tropical low winding up off the EC of Florida along
about hour 384.
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jdrenken
post Oct 10 2011, 09:33 AM
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QUOTE(east coast storm @ Oct 10 2011, 09:17 AM) *
Today's 10/10 6Z GFS shows another tropical low winding up off the EC of Florida along
about hour 384.


The 00Z Euro has something attempting to get going in the Yucatan area again in the later part of it's run.


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jdrenken
post Nov 19 2011, 08:59 PM
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Since we don't don't have a true thread for this I guess we are stuck...


QUOTE
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT
700 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. WHILE THE ASSOCIATED
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ARE POORLY ORGANIZED...CONTINUED SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
30 PERCENT...OF SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION FROM THIS
SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






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