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> Jan. 20-22 SE Winter Storm, Closed: See OBS Thread
snowman233
post Jan 14 2011, 05:19 PM
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12z EURO shows a fairly significant winter storm from the Southern Plains into the SE US next weekend.

If it verifies ( yes, i do realize it is a good ways out) we could be looking at the last significant winter storm for these areas this winter.. as forecasts are for NAO to be going positive...


--------------------
Hurricane Season 2014
Named storms: 5
Hurricanes: 4
Major Hurricanes: 1
U.S. landfalls : 1
U.S. Major hurricane landfalls: 0
Strongest storm: Edouard
Tropical Cyclones intercepted: 0


2009-2010 winter total snowfall: 6.5" total ice: 0"
2010-2011 winter total snowfall: 6" total ice: 1.5"
2011-2012 winter total snowfall: .1" total ice: .3"
2012-2013 winter total snowfall: Trace total ice: .29"
2013-2014 winter total snowfall: .4" total ice: .60"

2013 Storm Chase Season
Storm chases: 12 Tornadoes seen: 6 Miles traveled: 8,300
2014 Storm Chase Season
Storm chases:12 Tornadoes seen: 2 Miles traveled: 7,550

2014 Hurricane Season
Named storms: 5 Hurricanes: 4 U.S. Landfalls: 1 Intercepts: 0
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grace
post Jan 14 2011, 05:51 PM
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QUOTE(snowman233 @ Jan 14 2011, 04:19 PM) *
12z EURO shows a fairly significant winter storm from the Southern Plains into the SE US next weekend.

If it verifies ( yes, i do realize it is a good ways out) we could be looking at the last significant winter storm for these areas this winter.. as forecasts are for NAO to be going positive...


The NAO will not stay positive for very long. Euro long range already shows Greenland block again.
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Removed_Member_Rich53_*
post Jan 14 2011, 06:38 PM
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QUOTE(grace @ Jan 14 2011, 04:51 PM) *
The NAO will not stay positive for very long. Euro long range already shows Greenland block again.



And that Means what ???
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Mid Tn. Man
post Jan 14 2011, 06:48 PM
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QUOTE(Rich53 @ Jan 14 2011, 05:38 PM) *
And that Means what ???


Fun times


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1"
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Cabinetsales
post Jan 14 2011, 07:06 PM
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Looking forward to the fun model runs upcoming as my hopes rise and fall smile.gif


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Christian, Husband, Father, Frustrated I-95 Corridor snow lover, 67-72 chevy trucks fan, and independent cabinet designer/sales
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snowman233
post Jan 14 2011, 07:42 PM
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QUOTE(Rich53 @ Jan 14 2011, 07:38 PM) *
And that Means what ???


More chances of wintry weather for the Southern States.


--------------------
Hurricane Season 2014
Named storms: 5
Hurricanes: 4
Major Hurricanes: 1
U.S. landfalls : 1
U.S. Major hurricane landfalls: 0
Strongest storm: Edouard
Tropical Cyclones intercepted: 0


2009-2010 winter total snowfall: 6.5" total ice: 0"
2010-2011 winter total snowfall: 6" total ice: 1.5"
2011-2012 winter total snowfall: .1" total ice: .3"
2012-2013 winter total snowfall: Trace total ice: .29"
2013-2014 winter total snowfall: .4" total ice: .60"

2013 Storm Chase Season
Storm chases: 12 Tornadoes seen: 6 Miles traveled: 8,300
2014 Storm Chase Season
Storm chases:12 Tornadoes seen: 2 Miles traveled: 7,550

2014 Hurricane Season
Named storms: 5 Hurricanes: 4 U.S. Landfalls: 1 Intercepts: 0
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Removed_Member_weathertree4u_*
post Jan 14 2011, 07:55 PM
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QUOTE(Mid Tn. Man @ Jan 14 2011, 05:48 PM) *
Fun times


How much snow did Lawrenceburg get last weekend?
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Mid Tn. Man
post Jan 14 2011, 08:54 PM
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QUOTE(weathertree4u @ Jan 14 2011, 06:55 PM) *
How much snow did Lawrenceburg get last weekend?


It was great laugh.gif We ended up with about 8".Right now on the ground we still have 2-3".Our road was plowed the day after and the next day when the kids played i played myself.Where the road was plowed the snow was more or less ice chunks mixed with snow.I made a six foot ice/snow man,it didn't get phased at all today. laugh.gif




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1"
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Removed_Member_weathertree4u_*
post Jan 14 2011, 08:57 PM
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QUOTE(Mid Tn. Man @ Jan 14 2011, 07:54 PM) *
It was great laugh.gif We ended up with about 8".Right now on the ground we still have 2-3".Our road was plowed the day after and the next day when the kids played i played myself.Where the road was plowed the snow was more or less ice chunks mixed with snow.I made a six foot ice/snow man,it didn't get phased at all today. laugh.gif


Nice, I think we are bound to be approaching the average days for snow cover around here
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Mid Tn. Man
post Jan 14 2011, 09:09 PM
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QUOTE(weathertree4u @ Jan 14 2011, 07:57 PM) *
Nice, I think we are bound to be approaching the average days for snow cover around here


We've never had snowfall like the last storm though,as long as i've been living here.We live about 20-30 mi.from the Bama line and they got a foot.But it was dictated from various sources there was a band 20-30 mi. wide about 12-18 hrs away that would get slammed,we just missed it


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Mid Tn. Man
post Jan 14 2011, 09:21 PM
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QUOTE(weathertree4u @ Jan 14 2011, 07:57 PM) *
Nice, I think we are bound to be approaching the average days for snow cover around here


Nothing better than watch .Waaaaaaaaar Eagleeeeeeeee..win the championship !!

This post has been edited by Mid Tn. Man: Jan 14 2011, 09:21 PM


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1"
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Mid Tn. Man
post Jan 14 2011, 09:41 PM
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No matter what,this has all the makings to be a great winter for the South


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1"
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mp184qcr
post Jan 14 2011, 09:56 PM
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QUOTE(grace @ Jan 14 2011, 05:51 PM) *
The NAO will not stay positive for very long. Euro long range already shows Greenland block again.

On what do you base that that statement on? Web URL links to support your statement?
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Weatherlover
post Jan 14 2011, 10:26 PM
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QUOTE(mp184qcr @ Jan 14 2011, 09:56 PM) *
On what do you base that that statement on? Web URL links to support your statement?


EURO shows -NAO during this period.


Attached image(s)
Attached Image
 


--------------------
Winter of 2011 - 2012 in Review
Number of Snowstorms this winter --> 0
Number of Icestorms this Winter --> 0
Number of Sleetstorms this winter --> 0
Total Snowfall Accumulations --> 0 inches
Total Ice Accumulations --> 0 inches
Total Sleet Accumulations --> 0 inches


"Never underestimate the power of mother nature."

"When it comes to computer models, the final solution is NEVER the final solution."

My Youtube Weather Page!
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Mid Tn. Man
post Jan 14 2011, 10:38 PM
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QUOTE(Weatherlover @ Jan 14 2011, 09:26 PM) *
EURO shows -NAO during this period.


Looks N to me


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1"
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grace
post Jan 14 2011, 10:49 PM
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QUOTE(Weatherlover @ Jan 14 2011, 09:26 PM) *
EURO shows -NAO during this period.


wink.gif
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Weatherlover
post Jan 14 2011, 10:50 PM
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QUOTE(Mid Tn. Man @ Jan 14 2011, 10:38 PM) *
Looks N to me


-NAO means negative.

EDIT: 18z GFS also goes negative with the NAO after the 18th.

This post has been edited by Weatherlover: Jan 14 2011, 10:53 PM
Attached image(s)
Attached Image
 


--------------------
Winter of 2011 - 2012 in Review
Number of Snowstorms this winter --> 0
Number of Icestorms this Winter --> 0
Number of Sleetstorms this winter --> 0
Total Snowfall Accumulations --> 0 inches
Total Ice Accumulations --> 0 inches
Total Sleet Accumulations --> 0 inches


"Never underestimate the power of mother nature."

"When it comes to computer models, the final solution is NEVER the final solution."

My Youtube Weather Page!
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Mid Tn. Man
post Jan 14 2011, 10:58 PM
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QUOTE(mp184qcr @ Jan 14 2011, 08:56 PM) *
On what do you base that that statement on? Web URL links to support your statement?


NAO starts to look ok the 18-19th.This should last until the the end of the month,looks bad around the 30th,but still - even.We got a couple weeks to play with


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mst87
post Jan 14 2011, 11:08 PM
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From Van Denton's FB fan page...

QUOTE
Looking way down the road...something to watch. 2 long range models that give us ideas more than a week out, the GFS and European models have shown a potential winter storm for next weekend. Yesterday the GFS (but not today) and today the EURO....suggesting a storm along the SE coast of NC that could bring snow to NC on Sat night/Sunday Jan. 22/23. We will keep an eye on this.


--------------------
So far this Winter (2010-11)...
Snow: 6.1"
Sleet: 0.25" Ice: 0.13"
Coldest temp: 7.5F
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grace
post Jan 14 2011, 11:42 PM
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0z GFS has our storm back...placement & track is a little different but that doesn't matter too much right now, just as long as the models keep showing a storm. There will be plenty of time over the next 10 days to worry about the track.





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