 Jan. 20-22 SE Winter Storm, Closed: See OBS Thread |
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  Jan 14 2011, 05:19 PM
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#1
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Rank: Tornado  Group: Member Posts: 210 Joined: 9-November 09 From: Shreveport, la Member No.: 19,709  |
12z EURO shows a fairly significant winter storm from the Southern Plains into the SE US next weekend.
If it verifies ( yes, i do realize it is a good ways out) we could be looking at the last significant winter storm for these areas this winter.. as forecasts are for NAO to be going positive... -------------------- Severe weather season 2013
Total Storm chases: 9 Total tornadoes seen: 6 Number of tornado warnings been on: 6 Number of hail events witnessed: 3 Number of severe wind events witnessed:8 Largest hail seen: 1.75" Worst wind damage seen: Home nearly destroyed near Rozel, KS Other notable events: None Miles traveled: 5,700 2009-2010 winter total snowfall: 6.5" total ice: 0" 2010-2011 winter total snowfall: 6" total ice: 1.5" 2011-2012 winter total snowfall: .1" total ice: .3" 2012-2013 winter total snowfall: Trace total ice .29" |
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Jan 14 2011, 05:51 PM
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#2
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,426 Joined: 21-January 10 From: Paducah, Ky Member No.: 21,017 |
QUOTE(snowman233 @ Jan 14 2011, 04:19 PM)  12z EURO shows a fairly significant winter storm from the Southern Plains into the SE US next weekend. If it verifies ( yes, i do realize it is a good ways out) we could be looking at the last significant winter storm for these areas this winter.. as forecasts are for NAO to be going positive... The NAO will not stay positive for very long. Euro long range already shows Greenland block again. |
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| Removed_Member_Rich53_* |
Jan 14 2011, 06:38 PM
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#3
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QUOTE(grace @ Jan 14 2011, 04:51 PM) The NAO will not stay positive for very long. Euro long range already shows Greenland block again. And that Means what ??? |
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Jan 14 2011, 06:48 PM
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#4
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,423 Joined: 29-January 09 From: Brentwood,Tn Member No.: 17,230 |
QUOTE(Rich53 @ Jan 14 2011, 05:38 PM) And that Means what ??? Fun times -------------------- 1"
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Jan 14 2011, 07:06 PM
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#5
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 635 Joined: 7-January 08 From: Midlothian, VA Member No.: 12,093 |
Looking forward to the fun model runs upcoming as my hopes rise and fall
-------------------- Christian, Husband, Father, Frustrated I-95 Corridor snow lover, 67-72 chevy trucks fan, and independent cabinet designer/sales
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Jan 14 2011, 07:42 PM
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#6
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 210 Joined: 9-November 09 From: Shreveport, la Member No.: 19,709 |
QUOTE(Rich53 @ Jan 14 2011, 07:38 PM) And that Means what ??? More chances of wintry weather for the Southern States. -------------------- Severe weather season 2013
Total Storm chases: 9 Total tornadoes seen: 6 Number of tornado warnings been on: 6 Number of hail events witnessed: 3 Number of severe wind events witnessed:8 Largest hail seen: 1.75" Worst wind damage seen: Home nearly destroyed near Rozel, KS Other notable events: None Miles traveled: 5,700 2009-2010 winter total snowfall: 6.5" total ice: 0" 2010-2011 winter total snowfall: 6" total ice: 1.5" 2011-2012 winter total snowfall: .1" total ice: .3" 2012-2013 winter total snowfall: Trace total ice .29" |
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| Removed_Member_weathertree4u_* |
Jan 14 2011, 07:55 PM
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#7
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QUOTE(Mid Tn. Man @ Jan 14 2011, 05:48 PM) Fun times How much snow did Lawrenceburg get last weekend? |
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Jan 14 2011, 08:54 PM
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#8
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,423 Joined: 29-January 09 From: Brentwood,Tn Member No.: 17,230 |
QUOTE(weathertree4u @ Jan 14 2011, 06:55 PM) How much snow did Lawrenceburg get last weekend? It was great  We ended up with about 8".Right now on the ground we still have 2-3".Our road was plowed the day after and the next day when the kids played i played myself.Where the road was plowed the snow was more or less ice chunks mixed with snow.I made a six foot ice/snow man,it didn't get phased at all today. -------------------- 1"
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| Removed_Member_weathertree4u_* |
Jan 14 2011, 08:57 PM
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#9
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QUOTE(Mid Tn. Man @ Jan 14 2011, 07:54 PM) It was great We ended up with about 8".Right now on the ground we still have 2-3".Our road was plowed the day after and the next day when the kids played i played myself.Where the road was plowed the snow was more or less ice chunks mixed with snow.I made a six foot ice/snow man,it didn't get phased at all today. Nice, I think we are bound to be approaching the average days for snow cover around here |
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Jan 14 2011, 09:09 PM
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#10
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,423 Joined: 29-January 09 From: Brentwood,Tn Member No.: 17,230 |
QUOTE(weathertree4u @ Jan 14 2011, 07:57 PM) Nice, I think we are bound to be approaching the average days for snow cover around here We've never had snowfall like the last storm though,as long as i've been living here.We live about 20-30 mi.from the Bama line and they got a foot.But it was dictated from various sources there was a band 20-30 mi. wide about 12-18 hrs away that would get slammed,we just missed it -------------------- 1"
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Jan 14 2011, 09:21 PM
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#11
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,423 Joined: 29-January 09 From: Brentwood,Tn Member No.: 17,230 |
QUOTE(weathertree4u @ Jan 14 2011, 07:57 PM) Nice, I think we are bound to be approaching the average days for snow cover around here Nothing better than watch .Waaaaaaaaar Eagleeeeeeeee..win the championship !! This post has been edited by Mid Tn. Man: Jan 14 2011, 09:21 PM -------------------- 1"
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Jan 14 2011, 09:41 PM
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#12
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,423 Joined: 29-January 09 From: Brentwood,Tn Member No.: 17,230 |
No matter what,this has all the makings to be a great winter for the South
-------------------- 1"
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Jan 14 2011, 09:56 PM
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#13
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 68 Joined: 23-December 10 Member No.: 24,828 |
QUOTE(grace @ Jan 14 2011, 05:51 PM) The NAO will not stay positive for very long. Euro long range already shows Greenland block again. On what do you base that that statement on? Web URL links to support your statement? |
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Jan 14 2011, 10:26 PM
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#14
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,375 Joined: 24-January 08 From: Atlanta,Ga Member No.: 13,032 |
QUOTE(mp184qcr @ Jan 14 2011, 09:56 PM) On what do you base that that statement on? Web URL links to support your statement? EURO shows -NAO during this period.
Attached image(s)
-------------------- Winter of 2011 - 2012 in Review
Number of Snowstorms this winter --> 0 Number of Icestorms this Winter --> 0 Number of Sleetstorms this winter --> 0 Total Snowfall Accumulations --> 0 inches Total Ice Accumulations --> 0 inches Total Sleet Accumulations --> 0 inches "Never underestimate the power of mother nature." "When it comes to computer models, the final solution is NEVER the final solution." My Youtube Weather Page! |
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Jan 14 2011, 10:38 PM
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#15
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,423 Joined: 29-January 09 From: Brentwood,Tn Member No.: 17,230 |
QUOTE(Weatherlover @ Jan 14 2011, 09:26 PM) EURO shows -NAO during this period. Looks N to me -------------------- 1"
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Jan 14 2011, 10:49 PM
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#16
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,426 Joined: 21-January 10 From: Paducah, Ky Member No.: 21,017 |
QUOTE(Weatherlover @ Jan 14 2011, 09:26 PM) EURO shows -NAO during this period. 
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Jan 14 2011, 10:50 PM
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#17
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,375 Joined: 24-January 08 From: Atlanta,Ga Member No.: 13,032 |
QUOTE(Mid Tn. Man @ Jan 14 2011, 10:38 PM) Looks N to me -NAO means negative. EDIT: 18z GFS also goes negative with the NAO after the 18th. This post has been edited by Weatherlover: Jan 14 2011, 10:53 PM
Attached image(s)
-------------------- Winter of 2011 - 2012 in Review
Number of Snowstorms this winter --> 0 Number of Icestorms this Winter --> 0 Number of Sleetstorms this winter --> 0 Total Snowfall Accumulations --> 0 inches Total Ice Accumulations --> 0 inches Total Sleet Accumulations --> 0 inches "Never underestimate the power of mother nature." "When it comes to computer models, the final solution is NEVER the final solution." My Youtube Weather Page! |
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Jan 14 2011, 10:58 PM
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#18
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,423 Joined: 29-January 09 From: Brentwood,Tn Member No.: 17,230 |
QUOTE(mp184qcr @ Jan 14 2011, 08:56 PM) On what do you base that that statement on? Web URL links to support your statement? NAO starts to look ok the 18-19th.This should last until the the end of the month,looks bad around the 30th,but still - even.We got a couple weeks to play with -------------------- 1"
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Jan 14 2011, 11:08 PM
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#19
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 143 Joined: 6-December 10 From: Lexington, NC Member No.: 24,536 |
From Van Denton's FB fan page...
QUOTE Looking way down the road...something to watch. 2 long range models that give us ideas more than a week out, the GFS and European models have shown a potential winter storm for next weekend. Yesterday the GFS (but not today) and today the EURO....suggesting a storm along the SE coast of NC that could bring snow to NC on Sat night/Sunday Jan. 22/23. We will keep an eye on this.
-------------------- So far this Winter (2010-11)...
Snow: 6.1" Sleet: 0.25" Ice: 0.13" Coldest temp: 7.5F |
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Jan 14 2011, 11:42 PM
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#20
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,426 Joined: 21-January 10 From: Paducah, Ky Member No.: 21,017 |
0z GFS has our storm back...placement & track is a little different but that doesn't matter too much right now, just as long as the models keep showing a storm. There will be plenty of time over the next 10 days to worry about the track.
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Lo-Fi Version | Time is now: 24th May 2013 - 05:37 AM |