March 23-? Northeast Cold Spell, Post Forecast and OBS Options

[bingobobbo]

This is the first thread I have ever started, and I hope I got the format correct. I've noticed that the Northeast is in line for a rather prolonged cold spell. In upstate New York, there will be many minimum temperatures falling into the teens after the March 23 storm passes. (I never learned how to post maps, so this thread is off to a bare-bones start!)

[NYCSuburbs]

This is the first thread I have ever started, and I hope I got the format correct. I've noticed that the Northeast is in line for a rather prolonged cold spell. In upstate New York, there will be many minimum temperatures falling into the teens after the March 23 storm passes. (I never learned how to post maps, so this thread is off to a bare-bones start!)

Not a bad start. The correct thread title, if I'm not mistaken, should be the following:

Mar 23-? MidAtl/NE Cold Spell
Forecasts & OBS

A moderator will probably fix the title, it's not a big issue. I have been seeing this potential for quite a while now as well as many others here as well as forecasters, and it looks like the cold should last for quite a while. I can't post any maps right now, though it looks like low temperatures in the 10s should be widespread, with high temperatures in the 20s and 30s for most of the Northeast.

[Fire/Rescue]

What are the temperatures looking like for "Baltimore" compared to normal for this time frame?

[UFASUPERSTORM]

What are the temperatures looking like for "Baltimore" compared to normal for this time frame?

Per the 18z gfs surface temps will fall down to the mid teens with single digits not out of the question.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcont...011+18UTC+159HR

This post has been edited by UFASUPERSTORM: Mar 21 2011, 10:08 PM

[SnowMan11]

0z GFS is cold and stormy in the long range.

[LoveNYCSnow]

0z GFS is cold and stormy in the long range.

looks like 3 potential snowstorms on the gfs, looks more like January lol

[psu1313]

What are the temperatures looking like for "Baltimore" compared to normal for this time frame?

Look for about 10 degrees below normal for an average day with the possibility of 15+ if a storm is in the area with clouds and a north wind which would keep the high around 40-45. YIKES!

[LoveNYCSnow]

Look for about 10 degrees below normal for an average day with the possibility of 15+ if a storm is in the area with clouds and a north wind which would keep the high around 40-45. YIKES!

Actually a storm with a north wind would probably keep highs in the 30s which is what Saturdays storm has the potential to do down in the Baltimore/DC area.

[Fire/Rescue]

Per the 18z gfs surface temps will fall down to the mid teens with single digits not out of the question.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcont...011+18UTC+159HR

Look for about 10 degrees below normal for an average day with the possibility of 15+ if a storm is in the area with clouds and a north wind which would keep the high around 40-45. YIKES!

Oh WOW.....I didnt realize the COLD was gonna be so impressive down here, I was under the impression it was gonna become "Chilly" but the tru Cold was gonna be comfined to up North.

Thanks for the info guys

[Fire/Rescue]

looks like 3 potential snowstorms on the gfs, looks more like January lol

Now I know that NYC is looking pretty good at the moment for some Snow in the coming weeks, but does it appear that Baltimore stands any kind of (REAL possibility) as well....or is this area only laying in the outskirts of that (Potential zone)?

[LoveNYCSnow]

Now I know that NYC is looking pretty good at the moment for some Snow in the coming weeks, but does it appear that Baltimore stands any kind of (REAL possibility) as well....or is this area only laying in the outskirts of that (Potential zone)?

you're in the southern zone of the potential but definitely within the zone of getting hit either over the weekend or by a possibly bigger storm next week.

[Fire/Rescue]

you're in the southern zone of the potential but definitely within the zone of getting hit either over the weekend or by a possibly bigger storm next week.

Wow....this is for certain a "WILD" pattern we seem to be geeting into here, it's just so hard to digest the thought of there being another potential blanket of SNOW on my lawn that is quickly becoming Green again. As just a little while ago I was standing out front of my house drinking a cup of coffee while looking at the flower beds across the front and enjoying all the (Flowers) that are now blooming

[loafer1989]

A bit unrelated, but today was quite cold with the high so far at only 41.4F with low overcast. Most of today was in the 30'S.

This post has been edited by loafer1989: Mar 22 2011, 02:35 PM

[TheMaineMan]

Friday's projected high is only 32 degrees, which is typical of mid-February. Lows look like teens and lower 20s.


With this cold spell, it looks like my continuous snow cover (since December 22) has a realistic shot of lasting into April as long as winds stay fairly calm, dew points don't go too low, and the temperature outlook is accurate. Not seeing any new snowfall in my forecast yet, but if any of next week's storms can somehow work their way up here, could add to the 92 inch total.

[bingobobbo]

I was hoping for some record low temperatures out of this upcoming cold snap, but the coldest days will coincide with the most difficult-to-break record lows, March 25-27, the first two of which are in the lower single digits. We have not even had a single-digit minimum temperature that late in the season since 1982 (April 7). Thursday (March 24) has an easy-to-beat record low (13 degrees), but it probably won't get that cold by the end of the day. I want a record low because we've had only one from Oct. 17, 2009 to the present (on June 30, 2010). In contrast, we've had 13 record high temperatures in the same period.

[Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*]

I was hoping for some record low temperatures out of this upcoming cold snap, but the coldest days will coincide with the most difficult-to-break record lows, March 25-27, the first two of which are in the lower single digits. We have not even had a single-digit minimum temperature that late in the season since 1982 (April 7). Thursday (March 24) has an easy-to-beat record low (13 degrees), but it probably won't get that cold by the end of the day. I want a record low because we've had only one from Oct. 17, 2009 to the present (on June 30, 2010). In contrast, we've had 13 record high temperatures in the same period.

I remember October 17, 2009, NYC got down to 18 that night, and for October that is incredible!!!

I think that it was 18, I may be wrong though

[Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*]

Friday's projected high is only 32 degrees, which is typical of mid-February. Lows look like teens and lower 20s.
With this cold spell, it looks like my continuous snow cover (since December 22) has a realistic shot of lasting into April as long as winds stay fairly calm, dew points don't go too low, and the temperature outlook is accurate. Not seeing any new snowfall in my forecast yet, but if any of next week's storms can somehow work their way up here, could add to the 92 inch total.

I hope that you get another 8", to get to that magical 100" mark!!!!!

[bingobobbo]

I remember October 17, 2009, NYC got down to 18 that night, and for October that is incredible!!!

I think that it was 18, I may be wrong though

strangely enough, here in upstate New York, it merely dropped to 30. If the sky stays clear and the wind dies down, we could be looking at our coldest post-equinox day since 1988.

[TheMaineMan]

Averages: high 43 low 25

Today's high hit 36 degrees, with a low of 20.
Tomorrow's forecast: 38 degrees, with a low of 17
Saturday's forecast: 34 degrees, with a low of 15
Sunday's forecast: 32 degrees, with a low of 17


Not a bad cold snap for late March... 6-10 degrees below average. Not record-challenging by any means, but it could make March end up being a below-average month temperature wise.

[NYCSuburbs]

Upton's forecast IMBY:

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 39. Northwest wind between 7 and 11 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 23. North wind between 6 and 9 mph.

Those are almost the average temperatures in January...