 Southeast US & Bahamas Tropical Development 2011, Until Invest Formation ONLY - Fronts, Waves, LPs |
AccuWeather.com Forums > Weather Forums > Current Weather - United States > Current Tropical Season Weather  |
 Oct 6 2011, 11:05 PM
Post
#101
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521  |
Frank's thoughts
-------------------- |
 |
 
|
|
Oct 7 2011, 02:20 PM
Post
#102
|
|
|
Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 85 Joined: 11-September 11 From: RIC, Virginia Member No.: 26,019 |
RICHMOND, VA: Reliable local weather forecaster predicts "open tropical wave" which will bring "moisture" (in the form of about 1-2 inches) here to mid-atlantic (RIC) by late Tues. night and all day Wednesday.
|
|
|
|
|
Oct 7 2011, 08:30 PM
Post
#103
|
|
 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,417 Joined: 4-January 10 From: 20 Miles "North East" of Baltimore Member No.: 20,753 |
QUOTE(KSpring1 @ Oct 7 2011, 03:20 PM)  RICHMOND, VA: Reliable local weather forecaster predicts "open tropical wave" which will bring "moisture" (in the form of about 1-2 inches) here to mid-atlantic (RIC) by late Tues. night and all day Wednesday. Hopefully it remains just a 1-2 incher, now we dont need ANY more rain for a bit......but i think we can handle an inch or two (rather then another 4-8) 
|
|
|
|
|
Oct 8 2011, 05:32 PM
Post
#104
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
 QUOTE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 1215 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES. 1. A SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED FROM THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA AND INTO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...MOST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...ALL OF THE BAHAMAS...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. THE TROUGH HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED AND SURFACE PRESSURES ARE SLOWLY FALLING. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE... 30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING GALE AREA CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART -------------------- |
|
|
|
|
Oct 8 2011, 05:35 PM
Post
#105
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: SuperModerator Posts: 31,409 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 |
Wave is from Honduras to Cuba
-------------------- |
|
|
|
|
Oct 10 2011, 05:07 PM
Post
#106
|
|
|
Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 85 Joined: 11-September 11 From: RIC, Virginia Member No.: 26,019 |
RICHMOND, VA: local weather now has a second low forming along SE coast while the other one moves inland. We are still predicted to get about 1 inch, though. So, no further tropical development, I guess.
|
|
|
|
 Oct 10 2011, 10:11 PM
Post
#107
|
|
|
Rank: Tornado Group: Founding Member Posts: 279 Joined: 3-June 07 From: orlando Member No.: 6,152 |
The Euro this morning tries to break off an ULL(from weekend trough) at 30 degrees North and 64 degrees West(early next week) and pushes it southeastwards towards the Bahama's where it meanders for several days.
Wonder if that'll form into anything... -------------------- "WINDY HAS WINGS TO FLY."
|
|
|
|
|
Oct 12 2011, 01:39 PM
Post
#108
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,136 Joined: 20-May 10 Member No.: 22,816 |
QUOTE(WEATHERFREAK @ Oct 10 2011, 11:11 PM) The Euro this morning tries to break off an ULL(from weekend trough) at 30 degrees North and 64 degrees West(early next week) and pushes it southeastwards towards the Bahama's where it meanders for several days. Wonder if that'll form into anything... Todays 12Z GFS shows a low (possibly tropical) moving north offshore the EC and turning into a monster ocean storm ( hour 384) along about 10/28. The model runs are always interesting to look at. |
|
|
|
|
Oct 12 2011, 07:23 PM
Post
#109
|
|
 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 314 Joined: 31-August 10 From: Miami FL Member No.: 23,522 |
QUOTE(east coast storm @ Oct 12 2011, 02:39 PM) Todays 12Z GFS shows a low (possibly tropical) moving north offshore the EC and turning into a monster ocean storm ( hour 384) along about 10/28. The model runs are always interesting to look at. In the 18z run it didn't show the monster low off the NE coast, but did show the development in the Caribbean as did the 12z run. I posted images of both runs in the other thread. |
|
|
|
|
Oct 12 2011, 07:55 PM
Post
#110
|
|
|
Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,136 Joined: 20-May 10 Member No.: 22,816 |
QUOTE(Ron in Miami @ Oct 12 2011, 08:23 PM) In the 18z run it didn't show the monster low off the NE coast, but did show the development in the Caribbean as did the 12z run. I posted images of both runs in the other thread. The 18Z run still shows that low winding up into a pretty good (tropical?) storm. |
|
|
|
|
Nov 15 2011, 07:24 AM
Post
#111
|
|
|
Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 178 Joined: 6-March 09 Member No.: 17,856 |
GFS shows late season subtropical or tropical storm. canadian also shows the same possibility.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?...&hour=168hr |
|
|
|
|
Nov 30 2011, 03:47 PM
Post
#112
|
|
|
Rank: Whirlwind Group: Member Posts: 2 Joined: 26-November 11 Member No.: 26,207 |
QUOTE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF GALE-FORCE WINDS NORTH OF THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml Probably a last off-season subtropical cyclone for the active 2011 season? This post has been edited by convectivecloud6: Nov 30 2011, 03:48 PM |
|
|
|
|
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:
|
Lo-Fi Version | Time is now: 25th May 2013 - 08:53 AM |