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#1
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: SuperModerator Posts: 12,031 Joined: 4-May 08 From: Lake Orion, MI Member No.: 14,772 ![]() |
Each run of the GFS keeps bringing the severe weather threat closer to Oklahoma on Saturday...why not.
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#2
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 34,724 Joined: 14-February 08 From: The 630 Member No.: 13,697 ![]() |
Marginal threat.
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#3
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: SuperModerator Posts: 12,031 Joined: 4-May 08 From: Lake Orion, MI Member No.: 14,772 ![]() |
Marginal threat. I'm aware...but this is pretty much the only thing going on in the near future after the current system. -------------------- |
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#4
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Rank: Tornado ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 378 Joined: 21-April 11 From: Clark/Floyd County Member No.: 25,607 ![]() |
Marginal threat. Doesnt mean it should be disqualified from discussion. I dislike some of the elitist attitude this place has. -------------------- Clark & Floyd Counties,
Indiana 2013 Tornado Warnings: 0 Tornado Watches: 1 Severe Warnings: 2 Severe Watches: 1 Confirmed Tornadoes: 0 |
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#5
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Rank: Tornado ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 116 Joined: 7-May 10 From: west central INDIANA Member No.: 22,730 ![]() |
Doesnt mean it should be disqualified from discussion. I dislike some of the elitist attitude this place has. well there is a slight risk for parts of south east OK and parts of north east texas so it does qualify for discussion. btw i agree with some of these attitudes! but thats what it is! -------------------- READY FOR WINTER and SNOWSNOWSNOW
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#6
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 34,724 Joined: 14-February 08 From: The 630 Member No.: 13,697 ![]() |
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#7
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 7,173 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Norman, OK Member No.: 24,567 ![]() |
Everyone keep in mind the jet stream will be shifting north in coming weeks, bringing April 27 type systems up here.
-------------------- Annual Snowfall
2014-2015: 46" 2013-2014: 69.5" 2012-2013: 37'' Groundhog Day Blizzard 2011: 24" Super Bowl Sunday Blizzard 2015: 18" |
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#8
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 2,417 Joined: 9-June 09 From: Curran Illinois Member No.: 18,383 ![]() |
I thought there were moderators on these forums that monitored for people being "catty" with their posts. These forums are for civil discussion, not tongue lashing remarks. It's very distracting when people start being impolite to one another. I think the mods need to send out a friendly reminder about forum activity.
-------------------- "Auntie Em, Uncle Henry, its a TWISTER its a TWISTER!"
"I gotta go, we got COWS!" |
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#9
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Rank: Tornado ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 378 Joined: 21-April 11 From: Clark/Floyd County Member No.: 25,607 ![]() |
Everyone keep in mind the jet stream will be shifting north in coming weeks, bringing April 27 type systems up here. While I think the threat of severe weather will certainly be greater for us than it has been, I am not expecting a once in a lifetime event to occur two weeks apart. -------------------- Clark & Floyd Counties,
Indiana 2013 Tornado Warnings: 0 Tornado Watches: 1 Severe Warnings: 2 Severe Watches: 1 Confirmed Tornadoes: 0 |
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#10
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 3,948 Joined: 4-October 09 From: Wichita, Kansas Member No.: 19,356 ![]() |
Everyone keep in mind the jet stream will be shifting north in coming weeks, bringing April 27 type systems up here. It will also, as typical, not be as amplitudal as it is now. However this is not a typical year. ![]() This post has been edited by wsushox1: Apr 28 2011, 08:21 PM -------------------- Synoptics>>>>>
University of Kansas, Atmospheric Science |
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#11
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 5,857 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Bolingbrook, IL Member No.: 13,723 ![]() |
While I think the threat of severe weather will certainly be greater for us than it has been, I am not expecting a once in a lifetime event to occur two weeks apart. probably just referencing a generality that was brought up by LOT in this article today |
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#12
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 2,945 Joined: 11-February 08 From: Toledo, Ohio Member No.: 13,616 ![]() |
Everyone keep in mind the jet stream will be shifting north in coming weeks, bringing April 27 type systems up here. ![]() This post has been edited by TJ Schulte: Apr 28 2011, 08:18 PM -------------------- NW Ohio's First Poster
Weather Blog |
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#13
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Rank: Tornado ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 378 Joined: 21-April 11 From: Clark/Floyd County Member No.: 25,607 ![]() |
![]() Thats what I am saying. Everyone should be aware that the threat is very real, and its important with the fresh memory to get the word out to people in your area not to be complacent. But to say we are going to experience in a couple weeks a weather event that produced a tornado that could only be compare to one from 86 years ago and a massive outbreak that can only be compared to one that occurred 37 years ago is a reach of extreme proportions. Lets also keep in mind that with the exception of 2008 (which is only 1 year by the way out of the many years we have been collecting storm data) May and June do not experience the same increase in outbreak compared to the average may or june. -------------------- Clark & Floyd Counties,
Indiana 2013 Tornado Warnings: 0 Tornado Watches: 1 Severe Warnings: 2 Severe Watches: 1 Confirmed Tornadoes: 0 |
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#14
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Rank: Tornado ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 116 Joined: 7-May 10 From: west central INDIANA Member No.: 22,730 ![]() |
![]() i tend to agree. i say we are looking at the typical storms we normally have(wind damage), with a few weak tornadoes, and i deffinitely dont expect to see anything like we just seen for a few more years (10+) hopefully! anything is possible tho! -------------------- READY FOR WINTER and SNOWSNOWSNOW
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#15
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 2,329 Joined: 29-June 10 From: Northeast Ohio Member No.: 23,068 ![]() |
![]() 100% agreed! With all this new people around even though I've only been around a year you can't make remarks about another place getting devastated. Let me say this yesterday was simple no words speak for what happened, but us people who know the weather, and forecasts that we're not involved here up north need to keep on moving and keep our knowledge on here for the fact of the new people. so we move on to this. the goal is to watch it, and if severe weather is possible keep everyone safe This post has been edited by HassayWx2306: Apr 29 2011, 12:21 AM |
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#16
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Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: SuperModerator Posts: 39,563 Joined: 26-March 08 From: Columbia, MO Member No.: 14,521 ![]() |
![]() ![]() QUOTE DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1241 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2011 VALID 301200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER MUCH OF AR...NERN TX...SERN OK...SERN MO... ...SYNOPSIS... A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL SINK SWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTER SHIFTING INTO THE NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY BY 00Z. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF MODERATE FLOW ALOFT TO OVERSPREAD THE PLAINS STATES. AT THE SURFACE...ONE LOW WILL BE OVER NRN MN BY 00Z...WITH A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDING SWD ALONG THE MS RIVER AND THEN SWWD INTO SRN OK/NWRN TX. SLY FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL ALLOW FOR A RAPID RETURN NWD OF MID TO UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS ACROSS TX...LA...AR AND ERN OK. ...NERN TX/SERN OK INTO AR AND SRN MO... THE WARM SECTOR WILL REMAIN CAPPED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY WITH A WARM NOSE NEAR 700 MB...BUT STRONG INSTABILITY WILL EXIST S OF THE FRONT AS THE MOISTURE RETURNS AND HEATING OCCURS. WEAK CONVERGENCE AND PERSISTENT LIFTING NEAR THE PRE FRONTAL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY RESULT IN AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR NERN TX/SERN OK INTO AR AND SRN MO...MOST LIKELY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 50 KT WILL BE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE SURFACE BOUNDARY...SUGGESTING THAT STORM STRUCTURE COULD BECOME SOMEWHAT LINEAR...OR AT LEAST WITH MERGED STORMS LEADING TO TRAINING ECHOS. THIS IN TURN SHOULD YIELD MAINLY A DAMAGING WIND THREAT...WITH SOME HAIL THREAT AS WELL WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT. A TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST...ESPECIALLY IF STORMS CAN ACQUIRE ROTATION BEFORE MERGING. BUT...POOR LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN THE LOWEST 3KM...ESPECIALLY AFTER DARK...WILL HELP MITIGATE THE TORNADO THREAT. ..JEWELL.. 04/29/2011 -------------------- QUOTE For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER! It's a work in progress! Have a question? Look at our FAQ first. The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting Organicforecasting Blog If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse. |
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#17
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Rank: Tornado ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 378 Joined: 21-April 11 From: Clark/Floyd County Member No.: 25,607 ![]() |
100% agreed! With all this new people around even though I've only been around a year you can't make remarks about another place getting devastated. Let me say this yesterday was simple no words speak for what happened, but us people who know the weather, and forecasts that we're not involved here up north need to keep on moving and keep our knowledge on here for the fact of the new people. so we move on to this. the goal is to watch it, and if severe weather is possible keep everyone safe Ive only been on this forum for a week, and That dudes had a plethora of questionable posts. Lets just understand that we arent out of the severe weather woods yet, and take it one storm at a time (and predict based on the current data infront of us... not wishcasting) -------------------- Clark & Floyd Counties,
Indiana 2013 Tornado Warnings: 0 Tornado Watches: 1 Severe Warnings: 2 Severe Watches: 1 Confirmed Tornadoes: 0 |
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#18
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Rank: Tornado ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 378 Joined: 21-April 11 From: Clark/Floyd County Member No.: 25,607 ![]() |
![]() -------------------- Clark & Floyd Counties,
Indiana 2013 Tornado Warnings: 0 Tornado Watches: 1 Severe Warnings: 2 Severe Watches: 1 Confirmed Tornadoes: 0 |
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#19
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: SuperModerator Posts: 12,031 Joined: 4-May 08 From: Lake Orion, MI Member No.: 14,772 ![]() |
Everyone just needs to settle down...especially with calling out other members & comparing systems to April 27th for no reason at all. This is a quiet thread so I'm not going to go back and retroactively warn people, but please calm down.
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#20
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![]() Rank: F5 Superstorm ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Member Posts: 849 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Milwaukee Member No.: 13,722 ![]() |
Everyone just needs to settle down...especially with calling out other members & comparing systems to April 27th for no reason at all. This is a quiet thread so I'm not going to go back and retroactively warn people, but please calm down. I'm calling you out. Who gave you the right to be the voice of reason? ![]() ![]() (actually, thank you, from someone who has been caught outside in severe weather with no shelter several times and has a very healthy respect for the weather gods...) -------------------- Bass Drummer, Celtic Nations Pipes & Drums; Tenor drummer, Greater Milwaukee Fire & Police Pipes & Drums
Student, UW-Milwaukee, Biomedical Sciences/Medical Laboratory Technology |
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Lo-Fi Version | Time is now: 20th April 2018 - 03:04 PM |