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> Winter 2011-2012 Poll (Northeast and Mid Atlantic), How do you think it will turn out?
Winter 2011-2012
Temperature, will it be:
Well Below Average [ 4 ] ** [11.76%]
Below Average [ 18 ] ** [52.94%]
Average [ 6 ] ** [17.65%]
Above Average [ 3 ] ** [8.82%]
Well Above Average [ 2 ] ** [5.88%]
Not Sure [ 1 ] ** [2.94%]
Precip., will it be:
Much drier than average [ 1 ] ** [2.94%]
Drier that average [ 1 ] ** [2.94%]
Average [ 9 ] ** [26.47%]
Wetter than average [ 19 ] ** [55.88%]
Much wetter than average [ 3 ] ** [8.82%]
Not Sure [ 1 ] ** [2.94%]
Snowfall, will it be:
Much below average snowfall [ 2 ] ** [5.88%]
Below average snowfall [ 3 ] ** [8.82%]
Average snowfall [ 11 ] ** [32.35%]
Above average snowfall [ 12 ] ** [35.29%]
Much above average snowfall [ 5 ] ** [14.71%]
Not sure [ 1 ] ** [2.94%]
Will there be a:
Strong El Nino [ 1 ] ** [2.94%]
Moderate El Nino [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
Weak El Nino [ 1 ] ** [2.94%]
Neutral conditions [ 4 ] ** [11.76%]
Weak La Nina [ 24 ] ** [70.59%]
Moderate La Nina [ 2 ] ** [5.88%]
Strong La Nina [ 1 ] ** [2.94%]
Not Sure [ 1 ] ** [2.94%]
If there are no neutral conditions will there be a:
East based La Nina [ 13 ] ** [38.24%]
West based La Nina [ 5 ] ** [14.71%]
Not sure but there will be a La Nina somewhere [ 12 ] ** [35.29%]
East Based El Nino [ 2 ] ** [5.88%]
West Based El Nino [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
Not sure but there will be an El Nino somewhere [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
Not sure but there will be no neutral conditions [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
Not sure in general [ 2 ] ** [5.88%]
Total Votes: 35
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Jun 13 2011, 07:27 PM
Post #1







Guests



I am conducting this poll in order to get a general idea on what you are thinking the conditions will be like for this upcoming winter.

If you have any suggestions or comments on what the winter of 2011- 2012 will be like, please feel free to post them here.

BTW; if you are not from the northeast or the Mid Atlantic, you could still vote in this poll, but please just let me know who you are.

This post has been edited by NYsnowlover: Jun 13 2011, 07:31 PM
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Niyologist
post Jun 13 2011, 07:57 PM
Post #2




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From: Mount Vernon, NY
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Looks like a West Based La Nina could be on board this winter because the eastern regions are warming up. That is if a La Nina is in store.


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Torontoweather
post Jun 14 2011, 08:37 AM
Post #3




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Joined: 18-October 09
From: Toronto, Ontario
Member No.: 19,500



Thinking there will be a weak La Nina somewhere... I have not looked into it much, but once exams finish in 2 days, I will start to look into it much more. wink.gif


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Discussions on other parts of North America as well(particularly for winter storms)!
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BtownWxWatcher
post Jun 21 2011, 12:29 PM
Post #4




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 7,773
Joined: 3-November 08
From: Perry Hall,MD
Member No.: 16,078



Not sure ATM about Temp, Precip and Snowfall but preety sure about a Neutral and maybe a Weak La Nina


--------------------
No Wishcasting,Just Forecasting

I be on facebook a lot lol

Summers a skorcher, don't let it continue, 105 BWI 7/6/10 FTW

Winter 2010-2011:Moderate/Strong La Nina? Stay Tuned
-PDO/Global Cooling on the way?

http://wxunleashed.blogspot.com/
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Jun 21 2011, 01:01 PM
Post #5







Guests



QUOTE(BtownWxWatcher @ Jun 21 2011, 01:29 PM) *
Not sure ATM about Temp, Precip and Snowfall but preety sure about a Neutral and maybe a Weak La Nina



why do you think that it will be a neutral year, and not just a weak La Nina?
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Jul 16 2011, 04:02 PM
Post #6







Guests



So as of now, it looks like the majority of you are thinking that it will be another year where we will have to deal with a La Nina. You are also thinking that the overall temps will be below normal with average snowfall, but there will be wetter conditions.
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Removed_Member_Garrett_*
post Jul 16 2011, 09:53 PM
Post #7







Guests



QUOTE(Niyologist @ Jun 13 2011, 08:57 PM) *
Looks like a West Based La Nina could be on board this winter because the eastern regions are warming up. That is if a La Nina is in store.


That doesn't mean that will continue. Things are RAPIDLY becoming very unfavorable for any El Nino anything. Pretty much. I would say, in my opinion, weak La Nina is a safe bet.

I voted BN temps, AVG precip, AN Snowfall, Weak La Nina, East-based.
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Removed_Member_Snowstorms_*
post Jul 16 2011, 09:50 PM
Post #8







Guests



At this point I think we'll see a Weak La Nina this Winter and I think it will be West Based since the coldest anomalies currently are across Nino regions 3.4 and 4.

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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Jul 16 2011, 09:51 PM
Post #9







Guests



QUOTE(Snowstorms @ Jul 16 2011, 10:50 PM) *
At this point I think we'll see a Weak La Nina this Winter and I think it will be West Based since the coldest anomalies currently are across Nino regions 3.4 and 4.



That is what I was also thinking!!
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Removed_Member_Garrett_*
post Jul 17 2011, 02:26 PM
Post #10







Guests



QUOTE(Snowstorms @ Jul 16 2011, 10:50 PM) *
At this point I think we'll see a Weak La Nina this Winter and I think it will be West Based since the coldest anomalies currently are across Nino regions 3.4 and 4.


I most definitely hope not! That would be very bad for us in the east. Last year was east-based transitioning to basin-wide. One of the things that led to a surprisingly snowy winter.
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Aug 13 2011, 05:08 PM
Post #11







Guests



QUOTE(Garrett @ Jul 17 2011, 03:26 PM) *
I most definitely hope not! That would be very bad for us in the east. Last year was east-based transitioning to basin-wide. One of the things that led to a surprisingly snowy winter.



I thought that it had said east based.
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BtownWxWatcher
post Aug 18 2011, 10:15 AM
Post #12




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 7,773
Joined: 3-November 08
From: Perry Hall,MD
Member No.: 16,078



Suprised no one is going for a Mod to Strobg La Nina


--------------------
No Wishcasting,Just Forecasting

I be on facebook a lot lol

Summers a skorcher, don't let it continue, 105 BWI 7/6/10 FTW

Winter 2010-2011:Moderate/Strong La Nina? Stay Tuned
-PDO/Global Cooling on the way?

http://wxunleashed.blogspot.com/
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Removed_Member_Garrett_*
post Aug 18 2011, 10:28 AM
Post #13







Guests



QUOTE(BtownWxWatcher @ Aug 18 2011, 11:15 AM) *
Suprised no one is going for a Mod to Strobg La Nina


98-99-00 repeat performance is still highly unlikely despite what the CFS says. The CFS has never been very accurate to begin with. It would most definitely be a safer bet to go the weak-moderate route.
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Aug 19 2011, 02:40 PM
Post #14







Guests



QUOTE(BtownWxWatcher @ Aug 18 2011, 11:15 AM) *
Suprised no one is going for a Mod to Strobg La Nina



I wonder who voted for the strong El Nino?
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