 June 19-24th Plains/MW/GL/OV Severe Weather, SPC Risk Level: Day 1 Slight Risk - Forecasts & OBS |
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 Jun 21 2011, 12:52 PM
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#401
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 Rank: Tornado  Group: Member Posts: 420 Joined: 3-December 10 From: Elburn, IL. Member No.: 24,502  |
QUOTE(forpetessake @ Jun 21 2011, 12:48 PM)  yeppers. Jest checked it out...looks good.  Do u think they will issue us a tornado watch? They usually do when they issue a mesoscale discussion. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1337.html -------------------- My Weather Blog: http://usweather50.com
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Jun 21 2011, 12:53 PM
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#402
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,534 Joined: 26-January 10 From: Springfield, IL Member No.: 21,113 |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:01 PM
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#403
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,579 Joined: 8-December 10 From: Champaign, IL Member No.: 24,572 |
 QUOTE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1339
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1256 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO...SRN IL CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 211756Z - 211900Z STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY FROM SERN MO INTO SRN IL AND A WATCH COULD BE NEEDED. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNS OF AN MCV ACROSS SERN MO...WHICH WILL CONTINUE NEWD INTO IL AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS EXISTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND AREA PROFILERS INDICATE 40-50 KT MEAN DEEP LAYER FLOW AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR STORM ORGANIZATION. HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER CORES...AND SOME CELLS MAY EVENTUALLY MORPH INTO NNEWD MOVING LINE SEGMENTS OR BOWS WITH A DAMAGING WIND THREAT. TORNADO POTENTIAL IS A BIT MARGINAL WITH LOW LEVEL WINDS VEERING WITH TIME...BUT STRONG INSTABILITY...FAVORABLY LOW LCL/LFC HEIGHTS AND EFFECTIVE SRH ON THE ORDER OF 100 M2/S2 MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR ONE OR TWO BRIEF TORNADOES. -------------------- Severe T watch Watches: 1
Severe T watch Warnings: 1 Tornado watches: Tornado warnings: |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:15 PM
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#404
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,478 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Chicago Member No.: 24,567 |
Maybe they're just sitting, but there's a chaser on the IL/IN border.
Foreshadowing? -------------------- My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com
2013 Severe Weather Season Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 4 Slight Risk Days: 4 Moderate Risk Days: 0 High Risk Days: 0 Annual Snowfall 2012-2013: 37.5'' QUOTE When looking at the models: Trends, trends, trends! |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:28 PM
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#405
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,534 Joined: 26-January 10 From: Springfield, IL Member No.: 21,113 |
QUOTE WOUS64 KWNS 211820
WOU1 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 531 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 125 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011 TORNADO WATCH 531 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ILC003-005-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-045- 049-051-055-061-065-077-079-081-083-087-101-107-115-117-119-121- 125-127-129-133-135-137-139-145-147-151-153-157-159-163-165-167- 169-171-173-181-183-189-191-199-220100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0531.110621T1825Z-110622T0100Z/ IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER BOND CALHOUN CASS CHAMPAIGN CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE HAMILTON JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON JERSEY JOHNSON LAWRENCE LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MASSAC MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PERRY PIATT POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH RICHLAND SALINE SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT SHELBY ST. CLAIR UNION VERMILION WASHINGTON WAYNE WILLIAMSON KYC007-145-220100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0531.110621T1825Z-110622T0100Z/ KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALLARD MCCRACKEN MOC017-031-035-055-065-071-093-099-123-149-157-179-183-186-187- 189-201-203-221-223-510-220100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0531.110621T1825Z-110622T0100Z/ MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOLLINGER CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER CRAWFORD DENT FRANKLIN IRON JEFFERSON MADISON OREGON PERRY REYNOLDS SCOTT SHANNON ST. CHARLES ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS STE. GENEVIEVE WASHINGTON WAYNE MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE ST. LOUIS CITY ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...ILX... |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:25 PM
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#406
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,579 Joined: 8-December 10 From: Champaign, IL Member No.: 24,572 |
Here we go
-------------------- Severe T watch Watches: 1
Severe T watch Warnings: 1 Tornado watches: Tornado warnings: |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:30 PM
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#407
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 377 Joined: 21-April 11 From: Clark/Floyd County Member No.: 25,607 |
Here are two photos I took where there could be something going on in the middle of the photo, possibly nothing. Its difficult to see. I thought I saw a funnel cloud and after I got over the trees this was all that was left. Im totally ok with being wrong but I wanted to share with the community for confirmation purposes of what I was looking at.
Attached thumbnail(s)
-------------------- Clark & Floyd Counties,
Indiana 2013 Tornado Warnings: 0 Tornado Watches: 1 Severe Warnings: 2 Severe Watches: 1 Confirmed Tornadoes: 0 |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:32 PM
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#408
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 377 Joined: 21-April 11 From: Clark/Floyd County Member No.: 25,607 |
There was wind damage in this storm I am about to report, A large (~>18-21 inch Radius, Too far to make a determination) trunk of a 3 trunk tree snapped at the base, fell on a power pole, and broke the pole in half... it was hanging by the lines.
-------------------- Clark & Floyd Counties,
Indiana 2013 Tornado Warnings: 0 Tornado Watches: 1 Severe Warnings: 2 Severe Watches: 1 Confirmed Tornadoes: 0 |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:42 PM
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#409
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 11,919 Joined: 27-August 08 From: NW OH Member No.: 15,447 |
QUOTE(Illinois blizzard @ Jun 21 2011, 02:25 PM) Here we go
QUOTE SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 531 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 125 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF LARGE PART OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS PARTS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY PARTS OF EASTERN MISSOURI EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL 800 PM CDT. SEVERAL TORNADOES SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL ISOLATED HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF POPLAR BLUFF MISSOURI TO 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHAMPAIGN ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. DISCUSSION...THE VERY MOIST/MDTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE WATCH HAS BECOME UNCAPPED. WITH 40KT OF SHEAR COUPLED WITH ENHANCED ASCENT AHEAD OF MCV MOVING NEWD FROM SRN MO...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NNEWD JUST AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ACROSS MO. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL/WIND DAMAGE...BUT SHEAR SUPPORTS TORNADOES WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT DEVELOPS. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035. -------------------- QUOTE(SEMIweather @ Oct 17 2010, 02:10 AM) i was lclicking on it going pelasejk not nicki minaj m-please not micni minaj hughhhhhhhhhhhhhhh |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:43 PM
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#410
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,534 Joined: 26-January 10 From: Springfield, IL Member No.: 21,113 |
Probs on watch
QUOTE Note: Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes Probability of 2 or more tornadoes Mod (40%) Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes Low (20%) Wind Probability of 10 or more severe wind events Mod (50%) Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots Mod (30%) Hail Probability of 10 or more severe hail events Mod (40%) Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches Mod (30%) Combined Severe Hail/Wind Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events This post has been edited by WeatherMonger: Jun 21 2011, 01:45 PM |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:39 PM
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#411
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,579 Joined: 8-December 10 From: Champaign, IL Member No.: 24,572 |
Is it me or is all of the NWS radars offline?
 ILX This post has been edited by Illinois blizzard: Jun 21 2011, 01:41 PM -------------------- Severe T watch Watches: 1
Severe T watch Warnings: 1 Tornado watches: Tornado warnings: |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:47 PM
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#412
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,534 Joined: 26-January 10 From: Springfield, IL Member No.: 21,113 |
Ugh, 2 hours and 45 minutes until I'm off. Hopefully something still left by the time I get home, if anything comes through that is
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Jun 21 2011, 01:50 PM
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#413
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,534 Joined: 26-January 10 From: Springfield, IL Member No.: 21,113 |
QUOTE(Illinois blizzard @ Jun 21 2011, 01:39 PM) Doesn't have a status message and still works on my phone app. Only one in sligt risk that appears inoperable is KIND Actually I think it's the site, ILX hasn't had a recent update from Capital airport since noon This post has been edited by WeatherMonger: Jun 21 2011, 01:51 PM |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:44 PM
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#414
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 531 Joined: 15-February 08 From: Milwaukee Member No.: 13,722 |
QUOTE(Illinois blizzard @ Jun 21 2011, 01:39 PM) MKX, LOT and GRB are all offline, too. Not good on a day like this. I was looking at GRB radar and it was raining here in west 'Tosa. It wasn't on the radar at all. This post has been edited by SADBadger: Jun 21 2011, 01:46 PM -------------------- Bass Drummer, Celtic Nations Pipes & Drums; Tenor drummer, Greater Milwaukee Fire & Police Pipes & Drums
Student, UW-Milwaukee, Biomedical Sciences/Medical Laboratory Technology |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:44 PM
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#415
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,579 Joined: 8-December 10 From: Champaign, IL Member No.: 24,572 |
QUOTE BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 146 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL DAKOTA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... NORTHWESTERN GOODHUE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA... * UNTIL 215 PM CDT * AT 144 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF CANNON FALLS...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE... CANNON FALLS... NEW TRIER... RANDOLPH... HAMPTON... VERMILLION... COATES... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON RADAR...IT MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. && -------------------- Severe T watch Watches: 1
Severe T watch Warnings: 1 Tornado watches: Tornado warnings: |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:55 PM
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#416
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 9,534 Joined: 26-January 10 From: Springfield, IL Member No.: 21,113 |
Did anyone have their weather radio go off with watch issuance? Wonder if it's just a data transmission problem through the website or if all communications, satellite or something is down
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Jun 21 2011, 01:49 PM
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#417
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,579 Joined: 8-December 10 From: Champaign, IL Member No.: 24,572 |
QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Jun 21 2011, 01:50 PM) Doesn't have a status message and still works on my phone app. Only one in sligt risk that appears inoperable is KIND Actually I think it's the site, ILX hasn't had a recent update from Capital airport since noon Yeah it is, the site not showing watches, warning, ect.. -------------------- Severe T watch Watches: 1
Severe T watch Warnings: 1 Tornado watches: Tornado warnings: |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:55 PM
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#418
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Moderator Posts: 14,054 Joined: 29-March 08 From: Decatur, IL Member No.: 14,540 |
QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Jun 21 2011, 01:47 PM) Ugh, 2 hours and 45 minutes until I'm off. Hopefully something still left by the time I get home, if anything comes through that is It's been sunny here all day....I didn't even know we were under a tornado watch till I went to to the spc page because the nws page isn't updating --------------------  QUOTE WCIA_dfabert Forecast is much more believeable! Notice that the legend has changed! #cILwx ^ After 1 model run Severe Thunderstorm Watch/Warning 2/2 Tornado Watch/Warning 0/0 2012 Snowfall: 24.4" Note to Accuweather.com....Please give us a dedicated video blogger for the Plains/MW/OV/GL area! |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:51 PM
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#419
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,579 Joined: 8-December 10 From: Champaign, IL Member No.: 24,572 |
QUOTE BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 150 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN KANDIYOHI COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA... * UNTIL 215 PM CDT * AT 149 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS 2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE LILLIAN...AND MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE... WILLMAR... THORPE... LAKE LILLIAN... BLOMKEST... SVEA... KANDIYOHI... PRIAM... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON RADAR...IT MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. && -------------------- Severe T watch Watches: 1
Severe T watch Warnings: 1 Tornado watches: Tornado warnings: |
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Jun 21 2011, 01:58 PM
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#420
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,518 Joined: 24-January 09 From: Beavercreek/Columbus, OH Member No.: 17,080 |
Let's see what we can get to popup around here. Currently 93 with a DP of 75. Feels very muggy outside...
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