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> Post-Tropical Franklin, 11PM EDT: PTS 40MPH - 1005MB - ENE @ 26MPH
jdrenken
post Aug 13 2011, 07:28 AM
Post #21




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

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Posts: 32,871
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
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QUOTE
BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al062011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201108130647
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
SIX, AL, L, , , , , 06, 2011, TS, O, 2011081212, 9999999999, , , , , , WARNING, 1, AL062011
AL, 06, 2011081112, , BEST, 0, 304N, 740W, 20, 1014, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 200, 60, 0, 0,
AL, 06, 2011081118, , BEST, 0, 314N, 724W, 25, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 200, 60, 0, 0,
AL, 06, 2011081200, , BEST, 0, 325N, 706W, 25, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 200, 40, 0, 0,
AL, 06, 2011081206, , BEST, 0, 336N, 688W, 25, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 200, 40, 0, 0,
AL, 06, 2011081212, , BEST, 0, 347N, 667W, 25, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 200, 40, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 06, 2011081218, , BEST, 0, 355N, 647W, 30, 1011, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 175, 30, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 06, 2011081300, , BEST, 0, 362N, 626W, 30, 1011, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 175, 30, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, SIX, M,
AL, 06, 2011081306, , BEST, 0, 373N, 612W, 35, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 45, 60, 0, 0, 1013, 150, 40, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, SIX, M,


--------------------
QUOTE
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wxruss8
post Aug 13 2011, 07:30 AM
Post #22




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QUOTE(rainstorm @ Aug 13 2011, 06:23 AM) *
i see franklin as a bad sign for the tropical season. this is storm 3 forming on a front north of 30n. this normally happens in slow seasons. should franklin not become a cane this will be 6/6 trpoical storms this season.


Agreed, it has been dull. But, 6 named storms before Sept. isn't too shabby. Sept could be a doozie. I remember years when A didn't form until late Aug-early Sept (Andrew 8/16 1992).


--------------------
Russ

Website on ALL things Richmond VA Weather: RVAWX.com

[size=2]Location: Chester, VA (Suburb of Richmond)

PWS: Davis Vantage Pro2
My current conditions: My Station Data

Wx Stats 2012:
Rain: 1.70"
Snow: 0"
One-Day Rain/Snow Total: Rain 0.78" 1/11
Lowest Temp: 17.2* 1/16
Highest Temp: 70.9* 1/6


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jdrenken
post Aug 13 2011, 10:15 AM
Post #23




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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QUOTE
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062011
1100 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

...FRANKLIN STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BUT
REMAINS NO THREAT TO LAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.0N 57.9W
ABOUT 605 MI...970 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST. FRANKLIN
IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE EAST ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH GRADUAL
WEAKENING FORECAST TO BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.
FRANKLIN IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY SUNDAY
NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






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+Quote Post
jdrenken
post Aug 13 2011, 10:18 AM
Post #24




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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QUOTE
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062011
1100 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY...A SIGNIFICANT BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS
PERSISTED NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN. PASSIVE
MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATED A PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL
EYE-LIKE FEATURE HAD DEVELOPED BETWEEN 08Z AND 10Z...AND THAT COULD
BE WHEN FRANKLIN POSSIBLY REACHED A PEAK INTENSITY OF NEAR 45 KT.
SINCE THAT TIME...HOWEVER...THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN HAS ERODED
SOMEWHAT DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL
SHEAR AND COOLER WATER BENEATH THE CYCLONE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
OF 40 KT IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF
T3.0/45 KT FROM TAFB...T2.5/35 KT FROM SAB...38 KT FROM
CIRA-AMSU...AND 39 KT FROM UW-CIMSS ADT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 060/19 BASED PRIMARILY ON MICROWAVE
SATELLITE FIXES. FRANKLIN IS EMBEDDED WITHIN DEEP WESTERLY
MID-LATITUDE FLOW AHEAD OF A LARGE MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH THAT IS
MOVING EASTWARD OFF OF THE U.S. NEW ENGLAND COAST. THIS PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHICH
SHOULD KEEP FRANKLIN MOVING IN A GENERAL EASTERLY DIRECTION. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK
AND IS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE TIGHTLY PACKED NHC MODEL GUIDANCE.

FRANKLIN LIKELY PEAKED EARLIER THIS MORNING AND IS NOW ENTERING A
WEAKENING PHASE AS IT MOVES OVER WATER COOLER THAN 26C AND WESTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR GRADUALLY INCREASES. FRANKLIN IS FORECAST TO
MERGE WITH A COLD FRONT IN 24-36 HOURS INDUCING EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THERE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH
BAROCLINIC ENERGY TO CAUSE FRANKLIN TO RE-STRENGTHEN AS A
SIGNIFICANT EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND REMAINS LOWER
THAN ALL OF THE AVAILABLE INTENSITY GUIDANCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/1500Z 39.0N 57.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 14/0000Z 39.9N 54.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 14/1200Z 40.6N 50.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 15/0000Z 40.6N 45.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 15/1200Z 40.0N 41.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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+Quote Post
Removed_Member_OHweather2_*
post Aug 13 2011, 11:49 AM
Post #25







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QUOTE(rainstorm @ Aug 13 2011, 06:23 AM) *
i see franklin as a bad sign for the tropical season. this is storm 3 forming on a front north of 30n. this normally happens in slow seasons. should franklin not become a cane this will be 6/6 trpoical storms this season.

Your so full of *bleep* we have two waves in the deep Atlantic that have potential to develop in the coming days, and I have a feeling at least one of them will become a hurricane and possibly a major player.

Who cares, at least we are getting named storms. Would you rather be at 0 named storms instead with no storms spinning off of fronts? Would that be a sign of a slow season?

This post has been edited by OHweather2: Aug 13 2011, 11:56 AM
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kab2791
post Aug 13 2011, 11:51 AM
Post #26




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Member No.: 16,278





+1000
QUOTE(OHweather2 @ Aug 13 2011, 12:49 PM) *
Your so full of *bleep* we have two waves in the deep Atlantic that have potential to develop in the coming days, and I have a feeling at least one of them will become a hurricane and possibly a major player.

Who cars, at least we are getting named storms. Would you rather be at 0 named storms instead with no storms spinning off of fronts? Would that be a sign of a slow season?



--------------------
University of Detroit Mercy Math Minor 2009-2011
Central Michigan University Meteorology Major, GIS Minor


DTW Stats:
2011 Number of 90F+ days: 19
Max Temp: 100F (7/21)
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wxruss8
post Aug 13 2011, 01:22 PM
Post #27




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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From: Richmond, VA
Member No.: 23,281





QUOTE(OHweather2 @ Aug 13 2011, 12:49 PM) *
Your so full of *bleep* we have two waves in the deep Atlantic that have potential to develop in the coming days, and I have a feeling at least one of them will become a hurricane and possibly a major player.

Who cares, at least we are getting named storms. Would you rather be at 0 named storms instead with no storms spinning off of fronts? Would that be a sign of a slow season?


I agree, though not in such a crass way tongue.gif

QUOTE
wxruss8 Posted Today, 08:30 AM

QUOTE
But, 6 named storms before Sept. isn't too shabby. Sept could be a doozie. I remember years when A didn't form until late Aug-early Sept (Andrew 8/16 1992).


--------------------
Russ

Website on ALL things Richmond VA Weather: RVAWX.com

[size=2]Location: Chester, VA (Suburb of Richmond)

PWS: Davis Vantage Pro2
My current conditions: My Station Data

Wx Stats 2012:
Rain: 1.70"
Snow: 0"
One-Day Rain/Snow Total: Rain 0.78" 1/11
Lowest Temp: 17.2* 1/16
Highest Temp: 70.9* 1/6


PC Weather Software: GRLevel2, GREarth, Weatherlink
Android Weather Apps: Radar Alive Pro, Radarscope, My-Cast Weather Classic, WeatherGeek Pro, NBC12 Weather, Scanner Radio Pro
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+Quote Post
jdrenken
post Aug 13 2011, 06:24 PM
Post #28




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 32,871
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521





Frank's thoughts


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






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If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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+Quote Post
jdrenken
post Aug 13 2011, 09:44 PM
Post #29




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 32,871
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From: Columbia, MO
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QUOTE
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FRANKLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062011
1100 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

...FRANKLIN LOSES TROPICAL CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NORTH
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.5N 51.8W
ABOUT 435 MI...695 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.8 WEST.
THE CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST ON
MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FRANKLIN HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE AND HAS LOST ITS TROPICAL CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS.
GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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+Quote Post
jdrenken
post Aug 13 2011, 09:45 PM
Post #30




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 32,871
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521





QUOTE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062011
1100 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

SATELLITE IMAGERY...INCLUDING MICROWAVE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
DATA...INDICATE THAT FRANKLIN HAS BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC. THE LOW IS MOVING 065/23 AND IS EXPECTED TO
TURN EASTWARD WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AFTER THAT...A SOUTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE
SYSTEM WEAKENS TO A TROUGH IN ABOUT 72 HR.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/0300Z 40.5N 51.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12H 14/1200Z 40.8N 47.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 15/0000Z 40.5N 42.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 15/1200Z 39.5N 39.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 16/0000Z 38.0N 38.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.






89.5 FM KOPN Weather Blog

If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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